BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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T20 PLAN OF ATTACK.
I will be looking to work around a par score strategy for the upcoming IPL and T20WC.
Working on what is considered to be par at the 3 venues to be used I’ll look to enter at the earliest around the 10th over give or take. This strategy was shown to me at the start of the last IPL which was also held in the UAE in 2020 (not counting the first half of this years.)
The advantage and what I like about this strategy is that you’re not entering early and if the team batting first has a disaster you are not already in the market staring at Red. Like @Nathan-Bennett said in his post and as was taught to me I will only enter if no more than 3 down, with 1 settled batter at the crease and power hitters in the shed still to come.
Ideally we are getting 1.80+ when entering and if the batting side scores in excess of 180 I will hold my position. Chasing 180+ is never easy and 9RPO can very quickly balloon to 10.5-11.0 if the chasing side loses a couple early in the PP.
Obviously things can turn quickly in T20 and the batting first team may be in a strong position when I enter and if it goes pear shaped in the last 8-10 overs then I’ll take the red and reassess during the chase.
TEAM TOTAL - Something I did sparingly
in the past but did have some success with. I did it sparingly because I’m absent minded and a lot of the time just forgot. This is a strategy I will be looking at this year thanks for the reminder @Nathan-Bennett.
Normally also I’ve hopefully greened up by the back end of the innings or taken a 2nd position if I think the chasing side has a chance to reel in the target. Again it’s the same theory as the first dig (no more than 3 out at 10 overs if that’s the entry point req run rate 8-10. With wickets in hand I will assume a chasing team can get 39 from the last 3 overs. If the RRR is over 13 with 3 to go I’ll bail. -
@nathan-bennett thank you for sharing, as a newbie it’s great to read what people think about in matches
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T20 SOME ENTRIES I LOOK FOR
Back batting team first INNS
After 8-10-12 overs if only 2-3 down and seeing a few settled strokes / timing
Odds 1.8+ or above SP
Look to close this position end INNS or if think its a winning score @1.2 favRuns markets Back overs late in INNS 6-4 overs to go
Laying under 1.11
Especially the bowling team 2nd INNS even more so late in games
We all know this one and its crazy good when market is on your side
This point of trading becomes feel belief in whos at the crease stats help and v bowler stats pressure can be the intangible factor to counter all stats , helps more so using this sort of trade when already have banked green
Mentally feels like eliminating the gambling aspect and hope somewhatTry to avoid laying batting teams
but couple entries to lay low odds at times is
when chasing a low total
seems odd too
However don't know if its cockiness from the chasers thinking its all said and done , sometimes wickets are just thrown away
Another can be
If batting teams well on top late in there first INNS and super low fav sometimes a lay here is ok as above wickets can be thrown away but mainly whats on your side is the chasing power play to play fearless and shoot the market upMore often than not i try to free roll the low odds trades by removing liability at double or triple the entered price
[email protected] lay [email protected] back [email protected] styles
and manage from there#alwayslearning
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Poor choice from Somerset to bowl first in my opinion, Kent have won 80% of matches when batting first and average 169 runs with Somerset averaging around 159 batting second.
45 needed from 10 balls, safe to say well done Kent
Scratch day for trading but a great day of cricket
Roll on the IPL
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@tom sub 1.11 lays love it
Didn’t quite manage to get out of this one with any profit although I good have but after the first semi final I was chancing my luck. Would do the same again so happy to move on
Bring on the final
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Bring on the Blast Final what a great day of cricket.
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Small lay at 1.06 playing with green.
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@tom sub 1.11 lays love it
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@james-woodroffe no foot work this funny good work you
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Greened up now at 1.23 @Nathan-Bennett yeah some poor shot selection panic batting.
Dam should have stayed in a bit longer I forgot about the Stevo factor with the ball.
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@james-woodroffe total guess work shot selection
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Greened up now at 1.23 @Nathan-Bennett yeah some poor shot selection panic batting.
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@tom concur 1.5 be nice remove some
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Laying Kent around 1.24
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@james-woodroffe chasing hard with charging slogs like that from salt . Cool heads prevail
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Backed Kent at 2.08 after 15 overs. Looking for them to get 175.
I’ll take 169 as a target it’s about par for Edgbaston in the Blast but will wait and see reckon it will take some chasing.
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Backed Kent at 2.08 after 15 overs. Looking for them to get 175.
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backed KENT o159.5
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@tom amazing
takes just one over
they were close to where HAM were similar stage
those low full toss missed yorkers under pressure happen alot
