ENG v SA i am treading carefully, for 3 reasons....
- Historically, along with Antigua and Sydney, Lords has one of the highest avergaes for draws.
- The weather will likely mean a flat track
- Lords always brings another 5 per cent out of the opposition.
However, draw price looks attractive at 3.7.
Might look for LTD at start of innings then back when Duke ball goes soft after 20 overs, as has been the case all summer.
Weather looks uninterrupted all through Test.
Just read that...
- SA are current Test league leaders having not lost a series all year
- Rabada is doubtful for first Test
However, they got smashed by an innings by the Lions earlier this month.
Also just noticed some rain around on first day, then clear after. So, expect draw price to shorten until about 16.00 on day 1.
I've been looking into a strategy where you'd lay a short price favourite if the bowl first... seems to have some potential as I've been finding that in the first innings powerplay there are often less wickets than the second innings PP (especially when teams are chasing big numbers).
You could certainly see out the first few overs, see how aggressively or not the underdogs are batting, and how easily boundaries are scored, and then lay the bowling side with an exit at either your chosen profit or the end of the innings.
not trading related, but i notice there is a new T20 league starting in UAE next year, which clashes with the OZ BBL, where several regulars of the BBL , such as Andre Russell, Hales,Vince, and several others have signed up.
Cricket Australia apparently not very happy !
@stuart-henry yeah on way to Bangkok from Singapore now 3 nights central then 2 nights bush ha. Phuket KL on way home … well yeah we likely be doing stuff ev day but if there’s an evening night window where chilling at a bar etc I’ll give ya a msg through the chat
@nathan-bennett where are you off to? In Bangkok, Thailand from Tuesday and then to Udon Thani for a few weeks after a few days seeing family. If you are anywhere close by, come say hello!
Taking my computer but the internet isnt the best at the house, so it may be better to not trade at all .
@nathan-bennett yeah i get that. I often think what I would deem value and start there... like with NZ later, 1.09 is no good, but give me 1.2 - 1.3 and I'd be happy with that.
However really depends on the toss this one. If NZ bat first I can see them drifting a little but if they bowl first I don't expect much movement upwards.