@sameer said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

game on Ireland vs NZ ,having a lay here after sterling wicket at 1.51,looking for 3.00 nz
7 wickets in hand,short boundaries,fingers crossed

greening up 3.20,squaring book here

Level 20

game on Ireland vs NZ ,having a lay here after sterling wicket at 1.51,looking for 3.00 nz
7 wickets in hand,short boundaries,fingers crossed

last edited by Sameer
Level 20

@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@sameer interestingly i actually backed England further during the innings change as i felt 4.1 was excellent value. That then pushed the exit requirement much higher so potentially just a couple of powerplay wickets would have been enough, let alone what happened.

I am finding cricket trading unlike anything else. I often get asked about stop losses, but the issue with a financial stop loss is that can often be hit early thanks to unexpected wickets, like today, but then you watch your initial trade go green after taking a loss...

I prefer a time loss rather than a money loss, for example, I'll watch India until the end of their powerplay and if its still going against me I'll trade out...

I'd love to hear peoples thoughts on this.

Yeah, thats a good way of putting it Matt, i am always generally (especially in limited overs) looking for time milestones, start and end of powerplays, when cerrtain bowlers are likely to start bowling (for example Rashid Khan always tends to bowl from over 10 in ODI0s for AFG), when new balls are due,and also looking for run rates, many, many things to take into the equation.
As i said before, Cricket provides me with by far the best return for me in Trading.

last edited by Stuart Wallace
Level 62

@sameer interestingly i actually backed England further during the innings change as i felt 4.1 was excellent value. That then pushed the exit requirement much higher so potentially just a couple of powerplay wickets would have been enough, let alone what happened.

I am finding cricket trading unlike anything else. I often get asked about stop losses, but the issue with a financial stop loss is that can often be hit early thanks to unexpected wickets, like today, but then you watch your initial trade go green after taking a loss...

I prefer a time loss rather than a money loss, for example, I'll watch India until the end of their powerplay and if its still going against me I'll trade out...

I'd love to hear peoples thoughts on this.

Level 52

@matt-ayles yeah mate,i was wishing you hold your trade.
well done

Level 20

@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

As expected, little to no swing, this takes away some of Indias power... i have had a back of England at 1.75, looking to exit between 1.4 - 1.5 and will reassess.

If England set anything between 250-300 I'd expect their odds to be around 1.6 which may be a value lay if India can get in... but we're getting ahead of ourselves.

Ahh trading. How much fun you can be... back at 1.75, 30 mins later England have collapsed again. Marvellous.

Holding for now as England bat deep.

Patience is everything in cricket trading. Yet again pays off.

Level 52

what a turn around,laid india after rohit's wicket at 1.59,now squaring book at 1.22

Level 20

When the spin comes on after a good batting start
Bossing it

Level 93

@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

As expected, little to no swing, this takes away some of Indias power... i have had a back of England at 1.75, looking to exit between 1.4 - 1.5 and will reassess.

If England set anything between 250-300 I'd expect their odds to be around 1.6 which may be a value lay if India can get in... but we're getting ahead of ourselves.

Ahh trading. How much fun you can be... back at 1.75, 30 mins later England have collapsed again. Marvellous.

Holding for now as England bat deep.

Level 52

As expected, little to no swing, this takes away some of Indias power... i have had a back of England at 1.75, looking to exit between 1.4 - 1.5 and will reassess.

If England set anything between 250-300 I'd expect their odds to be around 1.6 which may be a value lay if India can get in... but we're getting ahead of ourselves.

Level 52

Small bet
ENG IND
runs under 302

Level 93

India won the toss and bowl...

I honestly can't see England doing as badly as the other day... however I'm not confident enough to have a pre-match trade.

Trading plan however remains the same, see how the powerplay goes. Average at Lords of only mid 200s but i think these teams are better than that, on a sunny hot day etc.

Level 52

There was a time many years ago when i had a Celtic home win v Dunfermline to complete my ACCA. Celtic were top, and had won every home game that season, Dunfermline were bottom without a win...what happened... of course,Dunfermline won 1-0. The following week it was the same fixture in the cup and Celtic won 7-0.
The moral of the story is that since then i have swerved all trading with a Scottish theme. Until today.!!
Thanks Scotland for effing up my day again. Cant even beat Nepal - this is almost the Cricket equivalent of Celtic v Dunfermline. Mothers!

Level 62

@stuart-wallace yeah green taken. That went as hoped.

Nothing else in the diary for me today, back for another crack at England tomorrow.

Level 52

Sorta as expected, WIN struggling against the spin, currently 44-4

last edited by Stuart Wallace
Level 62

Looks like Scotland have decided to mimic England's performance yesterday, currently 51/6 against Nepal

Level 17

Did a little bit of analysis on the WI v BAN game...

Rain is forecast.

A lot (about 50 per cent) of the games at Guyana over the last 10 ODI's have resulted in sub 200 scores for the batting team, with spin being in dominance.

WI have only won 1 of last 5 ODI's, BAN 3.

My play is likely to be to lay the team batting first, in view of the low scores and also that team batting second tends to get an advantage in shortened games. And/or take Matts advice and take the value trade of WI lay.

Might be a game to keep a close eye on the D/L.

Level 62

WI v Bangladesh.

Seems this is the one format the Windies simply don't like. The last game saw them plod along at test level run rates, losing wickets regularly. Bangladesh however have a good record in ODIs.

I think an initial lay of the Windies would be a value play.

Level 52

@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace yes it can. I had a bad day today. Thought England were value early on given the players they had to come. Trade never recovered. Some red numbers today.

Having reflected on this overnight, i don't think it was a bad trade. I think variance kicked my *ss but there's no way you could have predicted England flop like that.

India, in my opinion, have the best bowling lineup on the international stage. However, how many of those England players are amongst the best batters in the world? Most of them played in the IPL, Buttler won the orange cap etc... so it wasn't unrealistic to think they'd recover and at least post a half decent total.

Seeing as India won the toss and chose to bowl, you could argue backing them would have been value but they were around 1.5 i think after Roy fell, and if England had smashed 6s all around the park that would have gone wrong...

Anyway, we move on!

Level 52
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