Did a little bit of analysis on the WI v BAN game...
Rain is forecast.
A lot (about 50 per cent) of the games at Guyana over the last 10 ODI's have resulted in sub 200 scores for the batting team, with spin being in dominance.
WI have only won 1 of last 5 ODI's, BAN 3.
My play is likely to be to lay the team batting first, in view of the low scores and also that team batting second tends to get an advantage in shortened games. And/or take Matts advice and take the value trade of WI lay.
Might be a game to keep a close eye on the D/L.
WI v Bangladesh.
Seems this is the one format the Windies simply don't like. The last game saw them plod along at test level run rates, losing wickets regularly. Bangladesh however have a good record in ODIs.
I think an initial lay of the Windies would be a value play.
@stuart-wallace yes it can. I had a bad day today. Thought England were value early on given the players they had to come. Trade never recovered. Some red numbers today.
Having reflected on this overnight, i don't think it was a bad trade. I think variance kicked my *ss but there's no way you could have predicted England flop like that.
India, in my opinion, have the best bowling lineup on the international stage. However, how many of those England players are amongst the best batters in the world? Most of them played in the IPL, Buttler won the orange cap etc... so it wasn't unrealistic to think they'd recover and at least post a half decent total.
Seeing as India won the toss and chose to bowl, you could argue backing them would have been value but they were around 1.5 i think after Roy fell, and if England had smashed 6s all around the park that would have gone wrong...
Anyway, we move on!
Well, what do i know !
SOooo lucky today, was going to exit after Roy wicket, but wi-fi was playing up and couldnt get on. When i did get on ,ENG were 5 down , and my India back at 1.96 had slipped to 1.15 ...happy days...and all purely by accident.
Really shows that you need totally repsonsive internet to do this successfully, else next time it could go the other way.
ENG v IND ODI today at the Oval.
With recent heatwave and the Ovals propensity for runs, this should def be a 300+ par.
First team to bat will have an advantage, however, ENG like to chase, so maybe my new theory about backing the opposition pre game then exit at ball1 i might try . IND currently slight favourites at 1.96
IMO, ENG look weak in bowling dept, however, incredibly strong in the batting with Bairstow,Root and Buttler (excluding recent T20 results !) in the form of their lives .
@matt-ayles Ha ha.
What a turnaround! , and a result within 4 days.
There i was this morning before work looking at it and worried about my draw lay position at Lunch in the game, and then i came home from work at lunchtime here, and find the game is over
! Brilliant ! Again, staring at a big red most of the game, but patience pays in the end.
Just gotta keep away from laying ENgland from now on
What a fill up in the end !
Dicey book at stages first draw lay 3.75
Hein site Kicking self not laying aussie 1.4-1.3’s first INNS still needed 20 wickets to win usually love that scenario but trust wasn’t there .., what would of backed that lay up was pitch wasn’t disastrous at the time but we live and learn etc
Still got some odds on draw lays
Good profits from laying the draw in Galle, as ever. Things always seem to change quickly in the latter stages there, and there have been some very tasty lay prices available at under 1.5, before it shot out to over 6. The best I managed was 1.73 at tea. If the Aussies can get through without losing another wicket today, it could make for a very interesting final day tomorrrow. There is a possibility of thunderstorms, which could also make for some big moves.