BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Just a quick word about laying the draw in the Aus-India Test match currently taking place at Carrara. It's always worth bearing in mind that 64% of women's Test matches finish in draws, as opposed to under 20% in men's cricket.
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@tom said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
IND AUS W pink ball test starts tmr
Spewing some rain could ruin parts day 1 and two
Both teams have plenty bowlers that can swing it and take wickets
looking forward to this
Hopefully can lay the s%%t out of the draw some point for swingsThis is the one mate
Easy moneyDo you just lay the draw from the start as per the lay the draw strategy or wait until the weather may have changed the odds a little. It looks as though there is a chance it won't have a massive effect.
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
IND AUS W pink ball test starts tmr
Spewing some rain could ruin parts day 1 and two
Both teams have plenty bowlers that can swing it and take wickets
looking forward to this
Hopefully can lay the s%%t out of the draw some point for swingsThis is the one mate
Easy money -
RR V RCB
Below par score from RR and markets favored RCB quite heavily so difficult to find value here in the 2nd innings, and didn't quite fit the criteria for trading plan.
However...Layed RCB at 1.1 in the 4th over of the chase when they were behind on the scorecard and probably still would be at the 10 over mark. I got out in the 12th over at 1.1 again when Maxwell was looking to get going. During that time odds moved to 1.3. I may explore this as a strategy B.
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IND AUS W pink ball test starts tmr
Spewing some rain could ruin parts day 1 and two
Both teams have plenty bowlers that can swing it and take wickets
looking forward to this
Hopefully can lay the s%%t out of the draw some point for swings -
MI V PK
Followed the plan today with success
Backed MI in the 14th over at 1.50 with 1 set batter and Pandya just getting set, needing 8.5/over
Exited in the 18th at 1.16
Probably could have stayed in a bit longer, hopefully will get more confident with time. -
Another cheap u1.10 lay
Something
One more pole and really game on -
@matt-ayles unsure this competition
another t20 league started up in SA
witness few games before hooking in but happy lay low odds hard to post at times happens so fast
profitable u1.10 - 1.40
think hit 1.55
best -
Backed DC o127.5
didnt deserve it if it got up but bugger off with this nonsense ha
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Lancashire 6 down very early... forecast poor today, but should be a few days play expected, albeit on and off. Draw price still at 4.0...
Thoughts, cricket experts? -
SH V RR
Exactly the same set up as the match before, so I was determined not to get in too early. Only difference was SH were tracking ahead in comparison. Waited until the 10th over where SH were 1.3 but while bet was being placed, prices plummeted and missed out. Within 6 balls price dropped to 1.04
Because this is Sunrisers who could still loose from here, I placed a lay at 1.04 and got out at the 15th over at 1.1
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@jonathan-busch no ones perfect mate I’m certainly not
Easy to say now after your post
But win lose or draw
First trade a back bet in the 1’2’s I’d avoid
Strike rate needs to be too good overall and in this format both teams can trade in the 1.2’s within overs -
RCB V MI
Another trade to chalk up some experience
Got on MI in the 9th over at 1.22. Little value, high risk. Justification being they only needed 93 in 11 overs, and by 10th over they were tracking to have knocked off 50% of the target. Although there was probably a degree of FOMO here. If I'm getting in at these odds, I need to be certain that they are going to win, and there was still a long way to go in this match. The score/wicket comparison at this point was essentially the same so given 166 is a defendable score on this ground, it would have been better and less risky to lay here. Or at least wait. Got out around 2.0
Put what was left of my stake on RCB in the 15th at 1.26 when required rate was 13 from here. Could/should have got on earlier but having Pollard there made me hesitate, even though he wasn't set yet. Got to get that 'fanboy' aspect out of my trading as well.
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@james-woodroffe ropeable just knew max and ab back to back balls f**k me
Kholi is actually the issue
50 off 40 is sad really -
@nathan-bennett RCB really need to sort this 11-20 over problem. It could well cost them a play off place.
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$2 for RCB
I’ll buy that for a dollar
Till end INNSBacked o167 runs
Runs to chop me out bailed RCB match ofds
Some 4 letter words coming up
165
9 runs last two overs
How the &$$& too good Burma boult -
CSK Winning 30-15 req 3.5+
one boundary bowler shits line and length
Jadeja the man -
Amazing innings from England
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ENG LAY 1.06
Aim here is 1.18likely a giveaway and may green at 1.06 now and move on
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@tom agree
