BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Good morning cricket traders,
just arrived in Singapore checked into hotel and now can't leave till I get the dreaded PCR result luckily for me we have 3!! test matches going on.Most attention obviously is on Day 5 at Kanpur but hoping the weather isn't too bad at Galle for the 2nd test. Draw is currently 2.40 and the pitch is dry with the deck expected to turn from day 1 but will just wait and see how things pan out this morning as far as the toss and weather is concerned. Same in Chittagong will just wait and see like Nathan if Bangladesh can recover in this 2nd dig,
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PAK BANG
If signs of bang digging in like first INNS say after 6-8 overs today and be able to set 200+ could see market stay same as current
So could entertain
A lay of PAK for a swing -
NZ IND
The play is LAY THE DRAW set and forget or square it off @20’s
There will be some swings today in draw market wickets spikes , time/partnerships dips (obvious)
Always risky to trade draw BACK TO LAY day 5 -
Not sure how to play this last day, any thoughts?
NZ need 3.1 rpo for 90 overs to win. Very unlikely so they will be batting for the draw.
They batted for 142 overs in their first innings but a main chunk of that was with Latham and Young, One of which is out already, and on a day 2 and 3 pitch. Latham, Williamson, Taylor and Nicholls can all bat for long periods but you have to think the lefties (Latham and Nicholls) won't survive against Ashwin too long
India win is probably more likely to happen ? Maybe this is a no-brainer...
Is it best then to back India or lay the draw? O wait for value in play
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This post is deleted!
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Im looking to gather some stats for test matches. I was wondering if anybody could advise as to what I should be including.
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Ive taken the hit and traded out for a loss on the BANG v PAK match as 4 quick wickets and only a lead of 83. Maybe I was too quick to trade out? Wonder if I can reclaim some losses later in the match?
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IND LAY was good
Flipped
DRAW LAY @2.24
will again 1.75 1.50 -
i was hoping BANG go odds on and lay hard for a target trade
bit ambitious
think 1 down as type ? maybe notNZ IND
gees this draw could go odds on and massive lay if so -
IND Creeping up to the 250 lead I mentioned, 3 wickets remaining. My lay the draw there looks good for now. I reckon that India will either get bowled out or they will declare in the last hour today.
BANG V PAK I backed the draw here yesterday, didnt expect a batting collapse from PAK but somehow BANG have a 44 run lead going into their 2nd innings. Need BANG to bat sensibly for the rest of the day and well into tomorrow, they will need to bat long as the highest successful run chase is 395. Thoughts?
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@andy I was on it yesterday
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Having a lil LAY IND
might see 2's some point -
cant script this PAK BANG
however
pak will need to dig deep to get close to bang score
longer this takes better for draw trim
tightness of the match and time
what could also happen if bang when bat survive first 3-4 overs the draw market could steam in
happens heaps
drip laying prices 3.5 ish could be sound ?total speculation of course
anyone else
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Thoughts on the draw in bang pak now?
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squared book PAK BANG for now
pak making life difficult
next play could same yday lay bang if short enough when pak bat again -
Excellent morning for the draw layers.... price actually hit 19.5 at one stage. NZ have done well but it's going to be extremely tough batting last here. A target of 180 or more makes India firm favs IMO.
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Boom... That'll do me, got what I came for and traded out of my draw lay at 15
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Loving all the test chat !!! The scenario below is gold and yes 250 ball park lead would be great !! I’d expect plenty of market swings in the 4th INNS
No doubt plenty of trading opportunities and fast moving markets
Can’t wait -
@jonathan-busch said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
My predictions/position:
If India bat for 80 overs tomorrow and score at 2.8 rpo they will set a target of 290
This gives them 10 overs at the end of day four and 90 overs on day 5 to bowl NZ out
NZ will have to score at 2.9 rpo for 100 overs to win...or bat for 100 overs to draw. This could be a tough equation for the World Champs.
- India might get skittled
**Or they might not be able to score at 2.8
250 will be more than enough me thinks
- India might get skittled
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My predictions/position:
If India bat for 80 overs tomorrow and score at 2.8 rpo they will set a target of 290
This gives them 10 overs at the end of day four and 90 overs on day 5 to bowl NZ out
NZ will have to score at 2.9 rpo for 100 overs to win...or bat for 100 overs to draw. This could be a tough equation for the World Champs.
- India might get skittled
**Or they might not be able to score at 2.8
- India might get skittled
