BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Things seem to have dried out in Galle, and a positive result again looks a distinct possibility. SL skipper Dimuth Karunaratne has a difficult decision though. Normally he might bat for the rest of the day, then look to bowl out the Windies tomorrow. But with rain in the offing and the ball spinning sharply, he might decide to take a gamble with an early declaration. Worth looking out for that, because if that happens the draw price, which has already drifted from 1.16 to 1.73, will rise very quickly indeed.
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@dan-peacey Hi Dan. Laying the draw is by far my most profitable strategy when it comes to Test cricket, as it is nearly always overbet at various stages during a typical match. I'm old enough to remember the Sixties, when the vast majority of matches - especially those involving England - ended in pretty dull stalemates. But nowadays - probably due to the advent of white ball cricket - they are very rare unless weather makes a major impact.
The trick is picking the right time to make the trade, and that really comes with match and market watching. I've been watching Test cricket for well over half a century and trading on the markets for the last 15 years, so am reasonably good at spotting those opportunities and, whenever possible, try to share what I'm doing on this forum.
But I never 'tell' anyone what to do. Everyone has to take responsibility for their own trades. Take advice on board, but always back your own judgment.
As for white ball cricket, there is no better sport for laying low (under 1.1) because things can change so very quickly with quick wickets or a couple of sixes. I never do that in women's matches or very one-sided men's matches though.
Hope that helps a bit.
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@DJ-Reid I have looked at the strategies on the page, but I thought that they were geared up towards t20 and ODIs.
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@dan-peacey just do what @Richard-Futter tells us!
Have you seen the strategies on the site?
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Im interested in trading cricket, as much as i love the excitement of the t20 and the hundred. I am more of a test match lover and would like to trade on test matches. Just wondering if anyone has a test match strategy either pre or inplay that they would like to explain to me please
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No more play today
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@andy Hi Andy. Doesn't look great on any of the forecasts, which have been pretty much spot on so far; worth keeping an eye on tomorrow but I wouldn't be laying at all at the moment.
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Play restarting at 10 am. Still looks pretty dark though, so I wouldn't be laying the draw too enthusiastically just yet.
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
The forecasts turned out to be very accurate for today. Looking very gloomy still in Galle, but the band has started to belt out a tune so perhaps things are looking up. Not surprising to see the draw price crash in to odds on.
Glad we took the green. How do you see the weather playing out from here? Would be nice to use some green to lay odds on.
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The forecasts turned out to be very accurate for today. Looking very gloomy still in Galle, but the band has started to belt out a tune so perhaps things are looking up. Not surprising to see the draw price crash in to odds on.
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The sun is still shining in Galle and the Windies are fighting back well, so just taking a watching brief at the moment and keeping an eye on the weather. I'm watching on Bet365 btw; I keep a token amount in there as their live streaming is excellent.
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
For those interested in SL v WI test series. If you have Sky. I believe it’s on one of the international channels Hum Masala. Channel 732.
Was that information wrong? I’ve just got home and cannot see it on any program guides. Has anyone been able to watch other than on SLC YouTube channel?
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@richard-futter chapeau Mr Futter, I'll confess I haven't yet started attempting trading cricket, enough to learn on the football, but you're reading of the markets is something I've loved reading over the last few months, incredible stuff. Guru status! Thank you for the content.
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Looks like the rain will be coming a bit later than originally expected tomorrow... that's if the forecasts are right of course, as they do tend to be a bit hit and miss in this part of the world.
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Out to 6. You can always rely on the West Indies for a batting collapse these days - let's hope England don't follow suit at the Gabba!
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@richard-futter outstanding stuff!
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@martin Will green up at the end of play today, as there could be more wickets yet - but don't want to take any risks with the weather tomorrow morning. Could be some good swings tomorrow if there is rain early tomorrow, because as I've said this ground can very quickly recover from heavy downpours.
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@richard-futter what are you thoughts at the moment regarding position? have you taken any liability out?
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Draw drifting nicely after tea on day two. Will need to keep an eye on the early weather tomorrow. The price could steam in very quickly if there are thunderstorms early in the day. Normally, though, they tend to come later in the day.
