BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Changing the test match, granted a touch early, but New Zealand are 1.21 to beat Bangladesh, and the long range forecast is dodgy for days 4 and 5... surely that's low......?
So the forecast is now set fair for the match, and NZ are even shorter at 1.13! The draw price is huge so won't be laying that just yet!
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Adelaide v Sydner Thunder.
Sydney hit by Covid, 5 first choice out. However, made a good start, but Rashid still got 2 overs to bowl.
Got a medium trade lay on Thunder at 2.3 with Rashid to come.Edit an hour later: Oh well, thats not a good start. Lets hope Strikers get away to good start - its a flat deck so they should be able to get close at some point.
Edit at end of match : Phew, managed to end up with very small red (pence) , after some aggressive trading ! Got out of jail with that one ! Adelaide are quite a poor batting team. Sangha looks a real prospect for Sydney. -
@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Despite a full day lost, another not drawn test!
Not to worry though, NZ v Bangladesh starts tomorrow night, 10pm (UK time).
It's amazing isn't it!
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De Kock announces immediate retirement from Test Cricket
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Despite a full day lost, another not drawn test!
Not to worry though, NZ v Bangladesh starts tomorrow night, 10pm (UK time).
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Greened up nicely now and that’ll do me now. Happy with how I traded this one.
Off to bed now and up early for road trip and family holiday up to the Gold Coast!
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That's likely all she wrote from SA chances
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LAYING SOME 1.5 here a wicket now ish may not spike market to hard to thinking can get away with a small loss on trade styles
Could see some sweaty ness in this market another 20 runs
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Scalping the lay of the draw quite nice this morning, as runs or wickets push the price out.
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Nathan, Perth v Melb postponed today - Covid ? Was looking forward to trade that.
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Be real interesting where the state of the test is when de kock comes in and the direction of markets pending aggression or not
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace Definitely worth keeping an eye on the weather - any rain will see some big swings, although it looks beautiful at the moment.
Yep, i will be looking to green up at lunch, hopefully with SA either losing 3 wickets or having scored 70 runs for no los, then to come back in at 15.30
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@stuart-wallace Definitely worth keeping an eye on the weather - any rain will see some big swings, although it looks beautiful at the moment.
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weather looks good this morning
Haysman saying possibility of rain at 13.00 and 15.00 - sounds like not enough to save SA
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Missed final few overs lastnight due to eyes being shut .., early suspicion think can make early money LAY SA before any hint of partnerships stroke playing
Currently 12’s a little high single figures I might lay something like 8’ and get out at 25’s
Just a thought
And
Could entertain a sub 1.2 or 1.1 IND LAY for 20 30c swing -
@matt-ayles I dunno who England can even bring in to strengthen their side as I’m pretty sure the Lions have left Oz? It will be a wait and see for me as to how the weather unfolds but if England do bat first it will be almost impossible to ignore if it hangs around that price even 4’s. As for taking the foot off the pedal I don’t see that being an issue. Australia are still smarting from losing to India and as a result missing the WTC final last season so they will definitely be motivated. It just seems like it’s a strange market given what’s already transpired. I’d have to look at past results but I can’t remember the last time we had a draw in Sydney but I can remember rain days with little or no play but then again even that could have been a fair while back.
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
The draw lay for the 4th Ashes test is at 3.60 despite weather looking suss. I reckon that’s great value given we probably only need 200 overs for a result over 5 days…………………….sorry couldn’t help myself.
I've just been looking at this. They've set the market exactly the same as the previous test with Aus at 1.67 and the draw at 3.5
Unless the Aussies are going to stop trying now the Urn is theirs, surely thats a crazy price on them and as you say, the draw? England haven't looked like getting remotely close!
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The draw lay for the 4th Ashes test is at 3.60 despite weather looking suss. I reckon that’s great value given we probably only need 200 overs for a result over 5 days…………………….sorry couldn’t help myself.
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@stuart-wallace it’s an interesting one cause the weather still looks a little suspect despite the commentators talking it up earlier. If you’re happy with your profit maybe just take the green and move on. A lot of test cricket coming up.
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@Stuart-Wallace glad you waited mate. I have been loving test cricket trading the last few months. Seems that there are always swings and you can always find green if you plan/research etc. As @James-Woodroffe mentioned, patience is key!
