BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@richard-futter was just thinking do we lay eng now! Lol. Go Aus!
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No Hazlewood and no Cummins. England will never have a better chance of winning in Adelaide. Win the toss Rooty!
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If aus do win toss bat first I’m starting off with a small back to lay draw
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Captain Smith how good hahaha love this
Come on the toss -
Betfair crashed about an hour ago. Bang goes my afternoon's race trading; hope it's okay for the next five days.
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NB. No match has come close to being a draw since the first pink ball Test here back in 2015, although Australia do have a couple of mammoth scores against England and Pakistan when batting first. So if they do bat first, we might get some tasty lay prices on day two.
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@sean-fitzgerald Really like the idea of laying the draw if the batting side has two good sessions tomorrow. Trouble is, if England bat first they may all be out by then
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@matt-ayles @Nathan-Bennett
Assume the fact it’s a pink ball test is playing largely in to that draw price.
I was looking this afternoon (not in any great depth) to see if I could easily find any data to support the narrative around wickets falling at a greater rate in night session of pink ball tests. I couldn’t find anything already done on it (as I said though, it wasn’t a thorough search). If the narrative is supported by data there are angles to look at there.
On that note, if whoever bats tomorrow has a good first 2 sessions that may be the best entry time for LTD?
C’mon Aussies
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@nathan-bennett yeah too soon to LTD at that price... only real option with pre match odds would be a lay of Aus but thats hugely risky.
Gotta hope whichever side bats first bats all day for very few wickets.
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Seems to be a couple of digits missing in front of the draw price tmr AUS ENG
As always be nice to get a better price to layBring on another great trading test
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Different pitch today in Karachi more of the same expected.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Is there a website with a comprehensive international test cricket calendar please?
https://www.icc-cricket.com/mens-schedule/list
Can select by format
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Is there a website with a comprehensive international test cricket calendar please?
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
If England can survive the first hour tomorrow this will be pretty much a 50-50 match, considering Australia have to bat last which is always a big disadvantage.
You can't totally rule out the draw, although I do think 4.9 is far too short. About a one in ten chance by my reckoning.
Spot on! With a day to spare!
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42-26 matched bang then wicket
lucki'm well out of this now
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foxtel shat itself
suspect no vision worldwide
comedyall ready played the lay low game but gees 1.04-1.12
many ways to make money
learn and watch markets -
maybe last gamble trade to try add some green
backed draw 42
square up 26all good if fails
good result all up .., just not great as hoped ha -
It's always the hope that kills you when it comes to England playing Down Under. Actually thought they might be on the verge of something special overnight. Any chance of Stokes doing a Botham? I won't hold my breath.
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yip sad for test
these two must erase deficit and add 50
then be able smash all the way to all out -
Pleased I got a draw lay and didn't wait
