BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Having a lil LAY IND
might see 2's some point -
cant script this PAK BANG
however
pak will need to dig deep to get close to bang score
longer this takes better for draw trim
tightness of the match and time
what could also happen if bang when bat survive first 3-4 overs the draw market could steam in
happens heaps
drip laying prices 3.5 ish could be sound ?total speculation of course
anyone else
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Thoughts on the draw in bang pak now?
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squared book PAK BANG for now
pak making life difficult
next play could same yday lay bang if short enough when pak bat again -
Excellent morning for the draw layers.... price actually hit 19.5 at one stage. NZ have done well but it's going to be extremely tough batting last here. A target of 180 or more makes India firm favs IMO.
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Boom... That'll do me, got what I came for and traded out of my draw lay at 15
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Loving all the test chat !!! The scenario below is gold and yes 250 ball park lead would be great !! I’d expect plenty of market swings in the 4th INNS
No doubt plenty of trading opportunities and fast moving markets
Can’t wait -
@jonathan-busch said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
My predictions/position:
If India bat for 80 overs tomorrow and score at 2.8 rpo they will set a target of 290
This gives them 10 overs at the end of day four and 90 overs on day 5 to bowl NZ out
NZ will have to score at 2.9 rpo for 100 overs to win...or bat for 100 overs to draw. This could be a tough equation for the World Champs.
- India might get skittled
**Or they might not be able to score at 2.8
250 will be more than enough me thinks
- India might get skittled
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My predictions/position:
If India bat for 80 overs tomorrow and score at 2.8 rpo they will set a target of 290
This gives them 10 overs at the end of day four and 90 overs on day 5 to bowl NZ out
NZ will have to score at 2.9 rpo for 100 overs to win...or bat for 100 overs to draw. This could be a tough equation for the World Champs.
- India might get skittled
**Or they might not be able to score at 2.8
- India might get skittled
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Draw lay in Kanpur again looks the right play. It’s a patience game but as Nath said should well pay dividends. It’s what makes test cricket trading so much different to white ball trading. You can be watching the match unfold and convinced it will be a draw and then days 4 and 5 behave like days 4 and 5 should do.
I’m going to ignore the remainder of Bangladesh v Pakistan as I have to travel for work tomorrow on a long haul and already have a small green from it so will just focus on India v NZ. -
Im backing the draw in the other game as it looks like that scoring is quite slow. Pak have avoided the follow on. So they could either make an attacking declaration by giving Bang the lead of say 50-100 and then try skittling them out quickly. Or they could bat long and hope that they will bat once and also hope that the pitch deteriorates enough to force a winning result.
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@dan-peacey draw lay should yield a divi
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IND lead 48 so I reckon if they bat steadily, they will only need to score 200 odd runs. Day 5 NZ need to chase 250, I dont fancy that. The average 4th innings score is 135.
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Good timing to get all out
Doubt many runs till stumps
Wouldn't want to be a batter right now -
@dan-peacey would be interesting to see what target NZ get and how realistic it is time wise as we may get some juicy lay odds! I'm in on the draw lay at 2.5 at the moment, quite small though so I will hold for a while.
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Ive decided to lay the draw in the IND v NZ game @ 3.10. Reasoning behind this is that I reckon India will get a small 1st innings lead say around 50 runs. India bat out most of day 4 and score 200, meaning that NZ will need to chase down 250 on a turning wicket. Highest successful chase being 83. Thoughts?
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@jonathan-busch said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Holding my draw lays but only just...Looks like NZ are batting for the draw, Blundell 13 off 94
Hard to see how NZ bat through a 5th day on this pitch, just will be a case of if India declare with plenty of time left assuming they don't get bowled out quickly
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Holding my draw lays but only just...Looks like NZ are batting for the draw, Blundell 13 off 94
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how can it be a draw in IND with a ball like that
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@dan-peacey depends on how long you plan to hold, if long term I'd look at 2% liability, if shorter term you could push to 5% knowing you aren't risking the whole stake.
