BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@tom purely from a stats perspective I think England to win is a lay but I'm already on that at a slightly higher price and it's not short enough yet for a top up for me. When it goes below three I will be highly interested.
England may well win of course but these lay teams chasing really high totals have made me a lot of money over the long term as the market always rates the win more likely than it actually is.
hope a few got on, candy from a baby and all that, yet again!
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GREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEN
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The Draw still at 3.1...
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Closing yesterday’s India lay, not pushing too much here as it’s been a great test for trades and finishing with a healthy profit. Time to kick back and watch it play out.
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Anyone scalp that was awesome lay ind back draw 20c a piece
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How much boundary protection
Could that 1.85 ish be the shortest we see the draw today
Taking anything of touches 1.9 again even singles are huge this first session
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
im laying IND for a swing when root in if happens early today
1.8-2.6 styles exampledraw if 1.8 1.5 1.2 all lays for targets
Good plan; especially with the draw now a firm favourite - must admit that one caught me on the hop!
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im laying IND for a swing when root in if happens early today
1.8-2.6 styles exampledraw if 1.8 1.5 1.2 all lays for targets
series on the line hope this an epic
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A solid start with no wickets this morning and two of the best T20 batsmen in the world to come could make this very interesting. Early wickets for a lay of India maybe?
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@tom purely from a stats perspective I think England to win is a lay but I'm already on that at a slightly higher price and it's not short enough yet for a top up for me. When it goes below three I will be highly interested.
England may well win of course but these lay teams chasing really high totals have made me a lot of money over the long term as the market always rates the win more likely than it actually is.
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So how is every feeling this morning, England chasing 291 runs with new ball due in 48 overs, so we should see this mid 2nd session.
I can’t see India taking 10 wickets today so for me an England win or draw are most likely outcomes.
Aside from being an absolutely absorbing test there should be some great opportunities for a trade today, it’s going to come down to the final hour in my opinion and typically I’m busy between 5&6!
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If India don’t win this test everyone will bring it back to the non selection of Ashwin. India may also look to regret the decision that it looks like they’ve decided that Jadeja is the answer to their middle order problems. Jadeja’s great strength is he works well with Ashwin and is a destructive lower order batsman. Now he’s been expected to score runs batting at 5 and bowl his side to victory on day 5. Jadeja doesn’t lack confidence and was probably all for the batting promotion but by failing in both innings that confidence may have an impact on what he can do tomorrow. England might very well tomorrow look to attack him and put more pressure on the quicks to bowl for on a deck they’re getting nothing from.
Side note he’s my favourite cricketer so I’d rather see him take 8-80 tomorrow.
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If there was any series in which a team would chase down this total it would be this one, one of the best series iv seen, if jadeja doesnt start finding a bit of consistency then could be an interesting final day
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Had a lay of India here at 1.68. Highly unlikely England chase this down. If England make a solid start that draw price should come in hard and India may well drift out.
36 overs and another potential draw lay.Closed that lay out at 2.50 and used a bit to back India at 2.54. In a really good spot so happy to chill now for a bit.
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@martin England will just be trying to survive tonight with no wickets down, any wickets today and its over for England so expect a slow run rate. Any wickets tonight and it will mean they shell up totally. Ambitious is the word for anyone thinking England have a chance here. Iv done all my trading for this test already but its really upto jadeja here to get the wickets going for india.
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@matt-ayles let's say we get 100 today before the close (which is pretty ambitious an estimate unless we lose no wickets) that's 260 required on the final day 80+ a session which isn't easy if defending a lot to not get out.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Will England try to chase this, or try to see out the time? We know how poorly that went last time... makes the draw at 4.5 seem everso short?
this is the thing isn't it, usually teams don't end up trying to chase it too hard in this situation.
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Had a lay of India here at 1.68. Highly unlikely England chase this down. If England make a solid start that draw price should come in hard and India may well drift out.
36 overs and another potential draw lay. -
Will England try to chase this, or try to see out the time? We know how poorly that went last time... makes the draw at 4.5 seem everso short?
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@nathan-bennett crazy isn't it surely not many chases above this in 4th innings here
