BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@jonathan-busch said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Pakistan starting price 1.07...Seems like a massive over-reaction here when the game hasn't started yet...
I feel Pakistan are the only team in it who could give England a game. Although even Sri Lankas spin attack fell apart yesterday thanks to a superb stand by Buttler and Morgan...
Where I know cricket prices swing alot, I have always used Ryans "what has to happen" process before trading. In this case, if Pakistan bowl first you'd be relying on them not taking early wickets (they've taken 11 of the 18 total in the opening 10 overs of their matches). If Pakistan bat first, you're relying on them losing early wickets (they've lost 3 of their total 10 in the opening 10 overs).
Granted the toss plays a big part, and Pakistan have chased all 3 so far, England showed the way yesterday with bat and ball.
For me, I would wait... as I would rather do what I did yesterday with England and back Pakistan at a decent price IF they do lose early wickets. That way if they win the toss, bowl first, and skittle Namibia out for a low score you'll avoid a potential hole.
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Pakistan starting price 1.07...Seems like a massive over-reaction here when the game hasn't started yet...
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Out to 2.0.... that will do very nicely. Anyone on?
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On average, 140+ in the first innings has been a winning score, so I'm liking the lay of South Africa at around 1.46.
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Backed Pakistan at 1.65 following the wicket of Rizwan.
Awesome performance from Pakistan ends the day at scratch after the earlier loss but the cricket nerd in me loved that last match.
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@james-woodroffe I’ve gone for exactly the same.
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Backed Pakistan at 1.65 following the wicket of Rizwan.
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I’ve backed Bangladesh at 2.02 following the wicket of Roston Chase in the 19th over.
Took a loss there, was a nail biter of a match hard to get out of. Never reached my stop loss and never hit an odds range I was happy to green up with. Bangladesh by rights should have won. Not to be onwards and upwards.
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I’ve backed Bangladesh at 2.02 following the wicket of Roston Chase in the 19th over.
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
On Australia here at 1.55 chasing 155. SL to me about 15-20 short of what they should have got. It’s pretty bog standard chase for Dubai so let’s see.
Out with Australia at 1.02 after 10 overs and 1.6 points. Bring on England on Saturday
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On Australia here at 1.55 chasing 155. SL to me about 15-20 short of what they should have got. It’s pretty bog standard chase for Dubai so let’s see.
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@james-woodroffe sounds like a good strategy there!
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Pakistan now into 3.80 favourites for the T20 WC after backing them at 5.50 and with arguably their two toughest matches out the way the question now is can they top the group and thus perhaps (early call here) dodge England should they top group 1. Anyway will let it ride and hopefully come the semi finals will be able to lock in a profit.
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Backed Pakistan at 1.45 early in the chase.
After the previous talk over stop losses, I had determined my SL and this was reached so I traded out.
I got back on Pakistan at 1.35 in the 17th and ended up with a scratch tradeSo happy in a way in that I turned a losing trade into a scratch trade
But not happy in that my original decision was right and I traded out of it...
Might come down to value. If my entry price was higher, around 1.6 or over, the stop loss wouldn't have been touched in this case.
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Backed Pakistan at 1.66.
Went again at 1.80 and out after Shoaib’s 6 to get Pakistan to 1.02.
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@matt-ayles
I've gone again at 1.48 , two new batsman in now. below average total even if a good finish and pakistan bats in form vs a bowling attack with a couple great bowlers but only slightly above average bowling unit. -
@keelan-kanji said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@james-woodroffe
Me too, that was a huge wicket and doesn't seem to be reflected in the odds.Make that 2 wickets in 3 balls!
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@james-woodroffe
Me too, that was a huge wicket and doesn't seem to be reflected in the odds.
