BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@thomas-foster I like your thinking - and the fact that you were willing to take a loss rather than stick rigidly to your initial trade despite the evidence. Agree with you about the run chase.... about a one it ten chance I would say.
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@stephen-morfey said in 2019 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@dave-jessop
Agreed. The highest successful run chase in WC history is 329 by England in 2011...
Will be laying WI during this innings.
The Irish will be after you..... it was they who beat England to record the highest successful run chase, thanks to a hundred in 50 balls from Kevin O'Brien.
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Hi guys
New to the group and have been starting trading cricket during WC using small stakes.
The plan today was initially to back SL after over 1 as they had highest run rate during power play 1, then lay off in the 10th over.
Stats showed SL run rate then slows right down after PP1 so looked to lay them from 10th over, but as both openers were set I decided to stay out until some new batsmen came in.
Once both openers were out and the two new batsmen were at the crease - SL 104/2 at the time. I entered and was hoping for a few wickets. As I didn’t think run rate would be high I didn’t think price would move against me much from my lays of 2.1 and 2 split stakes. However, both batsmen settled and had to exit at 1.82 as I didn’t think price would move past my entry even if there was a wicket which looked unlikely at the time.
Entered again this time backing SL at 1.6 at I think around 250 or 260 for 4. My thinking was that they looked set to go past 300 and as long as they did price would shorten by end of the innings.
Have decided to stay in as I can’t see this chased down especially if Gayle goes early. Hoping for few early wickets to green up.
Exit TBC - if Windies start well am considering drip backing up until 2’s
Any advice on above or any flawed thinking is welcome.
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@dave-jessop mate of mines filled up gayle first wicket of late , the better teams just line length no foot work gonzo … feeling goes well today tho good luck
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@dave-jessop
Agreed. The highest successful run chase in WC history is 329 by England in 2011...
Will be laying WI during this innings.
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first 10 overs could be fun
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Just get the feeling that, unless they mess things up badly, Sri Lanka will go on to win this game quite comfortably. The West Indies have the air of a beaten team.
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@richard-futter perfect thank you.
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1.9 - 2.2 - getting out there before the SL middle order possibly gets exposed. Nice early profit there.
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Like the way SL have started and laying WI at 1.9
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On the off chance, if anyone following this thread is going to the England Vs NZ game on Wednesday give me a message, I’ll be there, and can meet for a drink and a chat at the interval. Looking forward to it after yesterday’s performance.
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@richard-futter similar thoughts hard to back either may hold for a low lay
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Well done to England. I was at the baseball yesterday - great fun - so didn't watch or trade the match but I reckon they'll beat NZ quite comfortably and make the semi finals.
But what about today's match? West Indies look short to me at around 1.6. Without Dre Russ and with The Universe Boss struggling to find his touch, the Caribbean cricketers look low on confidence.
So it all depends which Sri Lankan side shows up. Will it be the sharp, focussed side which upset the England applecart, or the lacklustre outfit who folded tamely next time out?
Definitely one to watch, rather than trade, in the early stages at least. Hopefully there will be a predictable swing or two later on.
PS. Teams batting second have won four of the last five one day internationals at Chester-Le-Street, so whoever wins the toss could well insert the opposition. And their price is likely drop a good few ticks.
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Good to see England back to doing what they do well. Will be an interesting run chase this.
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@simon said in 2019 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
Finally England decide to bat first! Will look to back them if they make a good start.
Was interrupted by an impromptu family visit so closed my position. Could have been a good green there. The risk of trading on a Sunday haha!
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greened up scalping boundary's now
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Roy will feel this innings a free roll now, Eng could be silly low soon
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or not , will swallow this and trade out whilst Pandya is bowling, 15 ticks loss.
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wicket due.
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Backed India at 2.3
