BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Can't understand how India can be 200-7 and still be favourites. Have a feeling the draw odds will just continue to drift.
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@matt-ayles took a loss this test had a main bet of draw back to lay 9.2 - low 5's in head to flip and lay the draw
5.9 think lowest dipped toso one sided hard for many swing angles
didn't bother to look at nz runs line or selected run offers
could of been one way to play
prob not much help here ha
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I'm interested to learn how the more experienced cricket traders here would trade thar last NZ v Ban test. For me, NZ were too short to back, and the draw too high to lay... therefore given how the test panned out with a hugely dominant performance from NZ, it seemed like there were no opportunities to trade without high liabilities?
My knowledge and experience however is that of a new trader so if anyone has any advice on how they would have handled that i have my notebook ready lol.
Thank you.
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Vaughan saying that Bairstow has broken his thumb.
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Backed SA 2.9
Actually aborted
Headed out
No real feels only suspicions
Suspect runs could be like goldCheck in again later
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Free money
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@tom-david-1 start !!
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@tom-david-1 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I don't think the 151 chase for the Renegades will be as easy as the market is indicating.
Marsh, Finch, Maddinson and Harvey have all been out of sorts
Yep, got a back on Sixers, they are the form team.
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I don't think the 151 chase for the Renegades will be as easy as the market is indicating.
Marsh, Finch, Maddinson and Harvey have all been out of sorts
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My daughter tells me its raining in Tokai, which is about 5 miles south of Newlands
Bit of rain 12-13 ish today, then totally clear til Saturday.
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41-2 and draw at 7
Should have been 7s pre running.
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how hard does batting look IND SA early
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Looking forward to a cracking match at Newlands. I'm pretty sure whoever wins the toss will bat first - despite overcast conditions to start with - and their price will shorten.
Only one match has been drawn in Cape Town in the last 12 Tests, so I reckon the draw price should be much longer than the current 4.8 odds. As ever, though, I'll be looking at the early exchanges before deciding whether to lay the draw early or whether to wait for even more generous odds.
The weather looks set to be dry for 5 days and it's going to get very hot, so batting last could very well be extremely difficult.
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come on bang 160 more to see taylor bat ha
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The Windies v Ireland game is off tomorrow due to covid cases.
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BAN to bat again !
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Chance of rain on day 4 , so, should Latham decide to not enforce follow-on, may come into play in BAN second innings (assuming NZ bat again, and get lead of 600, to put BAN back in again before Tea), however, unlikely to change outcome of match.
I'm already sitting at 88 per cent green for my LTD, so , may Green up if Latham decides to bat again, else i will just let it run expecting a result by end of day.
One factor is that this is Taylors last Test, so a lot of people saying Latham should bat again.Ive greened up - currently running at 93 per cent for my lay, so taking this, and releasing my liability.
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BTW Kohli is back for third Test.
ive had a cheeky back on India before it becomes common knowledge tomorrow morning. -
@stuart-wallace handy to have close contacts there!
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@tom-david-1 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
This mornings BBL game between Melbourne Stars and Adelaide Strikers was a simple trading game, both sides were a little out of sorts, started poorly and were saved by middle order. Stars just made it in the end keeping the run rate just in sight but just at the rate that the market wasn't too sure so lots of volatility towards the final 3 overs, perfect to trade.
Looking forward to the 3rd SA v IND test tomorrow, how is everyone feeling about the draw lay?
It's trading at around 5 at the moment, 25 tests here in the last 20 years with only 5 draws, none of which were weather related.
South Africa have a great record at Newlands and everything to play for in this series with it currently being 1-1 this should be a great test!
Weather ok for Cape Town, but will get a daily morning update from my kids who live in CT.
As mentioned before, the latest first class match there had a first innings of 650+ with 3 centuries, but then Simon Harmer proceeded to take 10 wickets, so, will likely take spin later. Check out the team news first, as can see SA especially going in with 2 spinners, with maybe Olivier being dropped (commentators were saying he had been Countyised, as he was bowling much slower after his 4 year stint in England).