BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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The rain has closed in at the Wanderers, and it could last all day, bringing the draw back into the equation. If that does happen, it should be a dry start tomorrow with rain back later in the day. Could yet be touch-and-go, although with only 122 more runs needed the draw is still an outside bet. Worth using a bit of the green to back it at 34, looking for a few extra quid I reckon.
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Hello everyone. Just recently joined the forum.
Should be an interesting 4th day in South Africa!
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got em yes p**s off your out
oh starc??
makes me fume
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@jonathan-busch said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Draw Layers...From what I can tell the weather seems like it will be pretty similar tomorrow and should get in a lot of cricket. However there is a chance it may rain and odds could come back in overnight.
Do we hold on?
Do we reduce liability?
Or do we get out completely at end of play and get back in if weather looks good again tomorrow?No right answer I suppose?
I like to actively manage my position pretty much all the time, so I like to green up whenever there's a good profit to be had, feeling that I can always get back into the market later. I move in and out of the market more often than most I reckon, so if there's any realistic chance of rain tomorrow I wouldn't want to leave myself in an exposed position. I'd hate to wake up tomorrow and find a sizeable green has turned into a nasty red!
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Amazing how much a price can move in two overs. Ridiculous really.
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@jonathan-busch I'm usually in it for the long haul when I lay the draw but each to their own of course! Still early on in the test so I'd say you don't have to make a decision yet but do as you want to it's your money.
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smart patrick
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have to now think AUS focusing on staying out there runs are huge
all tho pictures show carey gloves on hawas going to say they may want runs for the chance if arose to enforce follow on
if potential rains cut test short -
I'm surprised Australia haven't been more aggressive since tea; a declaration and a couple of England wickets before close would have made them very firm odds on favourites. Also very surprised at the draw odds; the weather forecast has been hopelessly wrong so far, and I certainly wouldn't dream of backing the draw at odds on with the state of English batting in recent times.
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Draw Layers...From what I can tell the weather seems like it will be pretty similar tomorrow and should get in a lot of cricket. However there is a chance it may rain and odds could come back in overnight.
Do we hold on?
Do we reduce liability?
Or do we get out completely at end of play and get back in if weather looks good again tomorrow?No right answer I suppose?
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@richard-futter agree all that especially lyon
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@nathan-bennett I think this is a good cricket wicket; bat well and you'll make runs, but there's always something in it for the bowlers. It's difficult to envisage the England top three surviving long unless there's a dramatic improvement on recent performances, and I would expect Lyon will be a big factor later in the match.
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Think AUS be odds on change of INNS
re LAY DRAW 1.7 and could well again top up 1.5
fingers crossed weather appears to be better tmr than initial looks
AND does anyone else think this pitch could become baked up
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SA IND
Missed last hour play
SA halfway to victory
Could be the hardest 120 odd runs they’ll ever get
1.46 have had a LAY -
Aus going for a big score here hopefully
Pressure that draw market now matter a few showers -
Weather seems better than expected today and tomorrow, starting to fancy a lay on over 350+ runs but will let this partnership develop
Hoping to see England at the crease final session and draw price above evens but draw backers seem to hold on to the last
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@stuart-wallace thanks for the stats link. From the data I've compiled NZ since 2015 as a whole shows 20% draw, only one bigger is WI at just under 22%. From what I can see unlike SCG and lords, it looks more flat deck related then weather. Could be wrong on WI, but appears that way in NZ.
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
AUS ENG DRAW market easing like yday before ball bowled
Hopefully it’s actually the sun and not botsYeah, notice weather forecast is relatively good for today, and not too bad for tomorrow. Eng odds coming in too, wonder if its cloudy etc.
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AUS ENG DRAW market easing like yday before ball bowled
Hopefully it’s actually the sun and not bots -
AS a slight aside to the current Tests currently going on....
It seems in my short time as a 'trader' that the safest way to profit is via the LTD (on selected Tests of course).
In looking at this , i thought i would see how many Internationals England play in 2022 (as i imagine England to be the team playing the most during the year and was astonished to find that they have scheduled....
15 Tests
9 ODIs
18 T20s
Playing 7 different international teams in the process (Oz,WI,NZ,Neth,IND,SA and Pak)AND they are playing in the 2022 T20 World Cup.
My thought was ..... plenty of opportunities to profit !
EDIT : Just checked OZ, and they are playing 17 Tests in 2022 !
So, i would guess there is a total in excess of 50 Tests being played around the globe in 2022 - which led me to this link http://www.howstat.com/cricket/Statistics/Matches/MatchList.asp?Group=2021010120211231&Range=2021
which shows that out of 45 Test Matches played in 2021, there were only 7 draws- 2 of which were played at Antigua.
Which led me to look at the stats since 2015, which shows that there have been 262 Test matches globally, of which 42 have ended in draws. So, about 16 per cent. 3 grounds seemed to crop up regularly for draws, notably Antigua (3), Sydney (4), and Lords (3)
