BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles well done that's great discipline!
Thank you although I must return the credit to the good folks on the thread here. I have been speaking to several of the more experienced cricket traders about what to do with the shorter format matches and this concept came from them.
Quickly in and out of the market when you expect a partnership or a wicket/pressure (amazing you can get 10-15 ticks if an over has very few runs in it, just due to the required run rate increasing).
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Nice work Matt
I've had a break from trading since the BBL finished, intended to trade the first ODI but was too one sided so just watched it, great start back today and looking forward to Fridays game, although it's a very busy day for cricket!
7 day coutdown to NZvRSA test has begun too, Mrs needs to self isolate before an op so I have very kindly offered to do it with her so I can stay up all night
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@matt-ayles well done mate. Yes, Cricket trading i find very diff to Football , where you will rely more heavily on stats, whereas with Cricket its more knowledge and understanding of the game.
MY IND lay at 1.05 , i bottled out at 1.1 and took my profit - could have been more, but happy with the few extra quid it gave me. I knew Smith could hit a long ball, and traded purely on that fact.
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So a nice little learning session there. I entered the market 3 times, backing India, and queued up an equal stakes lay somewhere between 10-15 ticks lower each time. All 3 were matched within 5-10 minutes which was good. All small stakes, max liability of 1 point etc.
Interesting piece was the mentality of ignoring the green/red numbers but treating each one as a new trade.
Eventually greened up both sides for 0.45 points which i am very pleased with when learning a new staking strategy.
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Got a sneaky lay on IND at 1.05 when Smith came in
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couldn't resist another lay when they hit 5s then, feel better now
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just gutted to have left so much on the table, could have got in multiple times there but held off
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No words WI
Prob win test series against ENG ha -
easy money
Just gonna let my WI lay roll now - think its terminal - and pretty quick too. -
Easy dollars so far
Some green on WI now to get it close to evens
If not all good -
Traded out for a free bet on India.
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Lets get under 2.5 again please Windies
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Indias game IMO, I know it's still early doors but this is a big ask for WI agaisnt this attack
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Brooks has got himself stuck in mud here - can see him out in next couple of overs playing aggressive shot.
WI are poor at rotation - generally looking for big expansive shots, therefore if its a tougher wicket, they are more likely to get 'stuck'
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Krishna looks impressive - first time i've seen him bowl.
2-0-2-2 so far -
thing i've noticed about todays game, is that Holder is due in at 6. Now, Holder is not a bad batter, but not good enough for 6 imo, therefore the WI tail looks fairly long.
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@tom-david-1 Nice one Tom.
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@stuart-wallace One thing i've just realised, as mentioned on Cricinfo, is that, although the wicket appears tricky now, the likely later dew could lead to a more batter friendly wicket. So, possibly re-look at situation circa 20/25 overs and re-evaluate.
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@matt-ayles Its a feel thing for me , state of pitch, batsmen in, bowlers bowling and likely about to bowl (for example, it might be obvious, but i will always lay the batting team when i know when Rashid is about to come on - usually between overs 10-15, and then just take the green at end of spell) , howvere, generally speaking i will always lay the batting side expecting an early wicket, especially if they are chasing a total in excess of 250. I wont normally look at batting side unless they have top 4 exceptional players.
For example, in the current game, i have layed WI at 1.8 thinking that the wicket is tricky , and therefore early wickets are likely (especially given the brittleness of WI batting). Will likely look to green up circa 3.5 or maybe let run should i think that a collapse is imminent (quite regular with WI !)
