BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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watched the first 20 mins and clearly no demons in pitch.
i am wondering if there might be a case for backing the draw should there be no wickets taken in first session. SA will only declare with a 400+ lead after tea should they get to it.
Interesting situation.edit...clearly others thinking the same as draw has come in to 12 from 20 at start of play
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Definitely laying SA start today
Would like mid 3’s before assessing
And a re lay 1.5’s
Nz series lead what ever they’re chasing like to think apply themselves better
Surely some fast moving markets and swings coming up -
Neither of these SA batsmen fill me with huge confidence... 2 full days to go. Think if SA can get near to a 300 lead they'll be happy.
I'll then have to crack out the record books to see what kind of 4th innings target is getable.
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Only just got back into some small green last night after a good batting from NZ. Sadly that ruined the SA trade for the first 12 over in 1st inngs.
I have no idea how this will play out. And not sure I'll get to watch any coverage tonight so might just see of anything comes to play.
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Whats everyones view on NZ v SA game?
Draw now sitting at 20, so thats out of the question, unless you want to have a large liability.
Think NZ are a bit skinny at 2.4.
One word of warning though is that the Christchurch pitch tends to not deteriorate as Test goes on - so, hanging on for a draw might be a possibility should SA score enough to put NZ in to bat after tea today. However, historically, this venue produces a result 90% of time. -
Flip soon
Drip lay SA 1.8 ish -
Same as you Nathan, small drip lays on NZ and a big draw lay, maybe starting at 3, got real feel we could see super low draw odds in this one at some stage
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Draw potential low again for a round two hit
Nz also odds on could drip lay for a target swing -
@stuart-wallace that's what i thought. Got my wwc antepost trades matched so will wait for the main event.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Do cricket traders ever touch "warm up" matches?
Hi Matt, i suppose the overall answer for me is....no. !
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Do cricket traders ever touch "warm up" matches?
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@tom-david-1 well done Tom.
I saw the score when IND were 5 overs in, and also saw the opening partnership of SL and thought you would have mullered the market. -
NZ should close down on this lead on day 3, would fancy them to get within 50?
If they do everything is shaping up for the perfect day 5 massive swing trade
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Perfect game to trade
Laid India at 1.10
Laid Sri Lanka at 2.4
SL odds on again in the chase, did SL backers not learn after Aus?
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@tom-david-1 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
India are incredibly short
IND have gone from 1.11 to 1.07 in 20 mins, and the game has yet to start !
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India are incredibly short
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@luke-weston Same here, i dont like leaving open bets and going to bed , like you, i have been caught out by this before (NZ v BAN first test).
I havnt watched any of the game , is it a green wicket? 3rd day at Hagley tends to be best day for batting. 2.72 does seem a bit generous for a side still 200 behind, a couple of early wickets will knock the stuffing out of 2.72 thats for sure.
Def Lay NZ, big wins if they lose early wickets, small losses if they dont. -
cashed out a small green on LTD before I went to bed last night. I don't like leaving trades running when I can't do anything about them, have been caught out like that before!
Looking at NZ odds now, and 2.72 seems very generous considering they are still over 200 runs behind. A rapid spell from Rabada could finish them off. Having said that, they do have a strong tail capable of knocking off a deficit in quick time. I'm thinking a back of SA at evens for some early wickets and letting it run if they get them.
