BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Dawned on me as well that the series is in the balance and we're 3 tests in, I never thought that would be the case.
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@Stuart-Wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
EOP ENG 238 runs behind with 8 wickets left.
Its a good wicket to bat - groundsman says days 2 and 3 will be best days to bat.
Possible scenario: England score 360 runs tomorrow (90 overs x 4- ok, i know ENG are going at circa 6, but once/if it starts going around the park, IND will slow it down with slow over rates etc.) - so gives a lead of 130+ . Assume all out by EOP.
So, if that is the situation , then India will either 1) Bat for as long as poss for draw, or 2) will be bowled out for less than 300 . Or another scenario is that ENG just bat IND out of it by scoring 600+ (in the last 2 tests here the teams batting first have scored 550 and 650ish.
India have 1.5 days to bat to save the Test , to get 250 ahead.Ashwin just said that this wicket will be hard to bat on on day 5.
So, in essence given the wicket, and the rate that England go at, I cant see IND being able to win this. The only way they could is by getting circa 300 and England not being able to make 170ish in their innings.
So, my strategy will be , if England dont lose a wicket in first Bumrah burst tomorrow morning, say, 10 overs , then lump on IND lay, then again, Bumrah looked to be struggling with a hammy problem (couldnt bowl last over)
Any thoughts anyone? Based on my appalling trading of the IND v ENG games so far then this will likely be absolute bollox !Ashwin news is huge, I LTD at 7 and queued at 4 now, not many wickets falling but England moving the game along at pace and always will do, so I'm comfortable with that. My thoughts were India would be panicking now about getting us all out by tea, otherwise if we slow down to 5 an over then we'll be looking at a 100+ 1st innings lead. If we bat all day then India really will be under pressure.
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Ashwin out of this test due to family emergency no sub bowler or batter allowed.
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EOP ENG 238 runs behind with 8 wickets left.
Its a good wicket to bat - groundsman says days 2 and 3 will be best days to bat.
Possible scenario: England score 360 runs tomorrow (90 overs x 4- ok, i know ENG are going at circa 6, but once/if it starts going around the park, IND will slow it down with slow over rates etc.) - so gives a lead of 130+ . Assume all out by EOP.
So, if that is the situation , then India will either 1) Bat for as long as poss for draw, or 2) will be bowled out for less than 300 . Or another scenario is that ENG just bat IND out of it by scoring 600+ (in the last 2 tests here the teams batting first have scored 550 and 650ish.
India have 1.5 days to bat to save the Test , to get 250 ahead.Ashwin just said that this wicket will be hard to bat on on day 5.
So, in essence given the wicket, and the rate that England go at, I cant see IND being able to win this. The only way they could is by getting circa 300 and England not being able to make 170ish in their innings.
So, my strategy will be , if England dont lose a wicket in first Bumrah burst tomorrow morning, say, 10 overs , then lump on IND lay, then again, Bumrah looked to be struggling with a hammy problem (couldnt bowl last over)
Any thoughts anyone? Based on my appalling trading of the IND v ENG games so far then this will likely be absolute bollox ! -
LTD now approaching 4
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Loving this
Bloke told me a long time ago laying teams odds on first INNS usually a profitable strategy
went well here
Greened more up 2.1 ENG -
IND v ENG - just cant trade this properly , everything i touch goes to red - been the same for virtually all 3 Tests .
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@Stuart-Wallace no stale markets when bat so good
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One thing you cant call this England team is boring ! They really have rejuvenated Test cricket. Going at 7 runs per over off first 11.
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IND ENG
My IND LAY taken 1/4 stake back out 1.55
Evens next target be huge then eye towards draw price lays -
@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
HMMM Did Siraj do a hammy here far this could be huge
Would rather it was Bumrah who has done knee in !
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HMMM Did Siraj do a hammy here far this could be huge
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Quite a static market in Rajkot. Need England to get into bat and score some substantial, quick runs to even up the odds a bit.
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IND LAY for me at the mo
Think rock bottom -
whats thoughts re LTD on ENG game? im really undecided at present as to what way to go - leaning on LTD once ENG start batting but then know that if Crawley and Duckett go their usual pace and score a thousand runs in first 10 overs then draw price will swiftly come in - but will it? However, should there be quick wickets then price will move out.
hmmm, undecided. -
NZ SA
NZ LAY 1.13 rude not to for a swing
Spin looking threatening enough still 150 odd to win
BANG
TIMING
1/4 stake back 1.26 -
nz V sa game is a bit of a conundrum...
Would be the biggest chase ever at that ground.
However, its generally thought to be SA's third choice bowling attack - albeit Paterson and Piedt have looked a handful so far this game.
Another strange thing for me was that Brand took 9? wickets in first Test , yet didnt even bowl himself in 1st innings !
As usual, Williamson (and now Ravindra) will be walls that SA will have to push through.
Might have a large lay of NZ for first 5 overs or so to see what is possible.
Might do the same with ENG.
Sarfaraz looks a good player, however, you would think he would struggle in somewhere like England. -
Happy to lay 1.37 INDIA
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The draw price has been roller coasting quite nicely in Rajkot - dropped as low at 5.5 before hitting 20 briefly and is now down to around 8. This looks an excellent batting track so I could easily see it dropping to around 5 again.
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@Stuart-Wallace Nice one!
