BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Shame this mornings ODI didn't provide any entry for me
Quiet couple of days, looking forward to the IND v SL test starting on Friday and the PAK v AUS same day
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Have placed a sizeable Lay to Back on AFG, expecting a wicket or two for price to drift. Liability small, as expected.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Bangladesh fall to 192 all out, their lowest competitive ODI score since their tour of NZ a year ago.
Afghanistan haven't failed to hit that target either batting first or chasing since their game against SA in the 2019 world cup...
In this series Afghanistan have lost early wickets in both matches before recovering.
Makes me feel like their price at 1.45 might drift a touch, but then become very backable. I'm going to exercise caution, wait 5 overs or so and see. If there are no wickets I'll have missed this price so probably won't enter. If there is an early wicket and they drift to 1.66+ I'll back them as i think they'll chase this.
8 overs in, Afghanistan pacing themselves beautifully. No wickets, price into 1.12 so I'm going to leave this one.
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Bangladesh fall to 192 all out, their lowest competitive ODI score since their tour of NZ a year ago.
Afghanistan haven't failed to hit that target either batting first or chasing since their game against SA in the 2019 world cup...
In this series Afghanistan have lost early wickets in both matches before recovering.
Makes me feel like their price at 1.45 might drift a touch, but then become very backable. I'm going to exercise caution, wait 5 overs or so and see. If there are no wickets I'll have missed this price so probably won't enter. If there is an early wicket and they drift to 1.66+ I'll back them as i think they'll chase this.
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Eyes are on NZ 20-0 styles and draw steaming into lay
4’s or less be great 130+ overs for a result
Surely -
Tail teeing off classic
SA still see some lay to back opportunities when they bowl
The old evidence of partnerships to trade for swings -
anybody else experiencing any issues with betfair/betangel tonight?
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Difficult to see any entry at the moment
NZ price should fly in when they bat again so probably lay them on the chase
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@dj-reid said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Anyone able to find the record 4th innings chase stats? Can't seem to locate them...
For the specific ground or highest 4th innings chases in general?
Yes the specific ground... thanks all.
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clearly market believing this could be a draw ...now down to 8
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Anyone able to find the record 4th innings chase stats? Can't seem to locate them...
i saw caption earlier which showed abut 200 as highest run chase at this ground, but dont forget this ground has only had circa 10 tests ever. It also showed that all the run chases were achieved with very few wickets down
Yep its 201 highest run chase
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Anyone able to find the record 4th innings chase stats? Can't seem to locate them...
i saw caption earlier which showed abut 200 as highest run chase at this ground, but dont forget this ground has only had circa 10 tests ever. It also showed that all the run chases were achieved with very few wickets down
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Anyone able to find the record 4th innings chase stats? Can't seem to locate them...
For the specific ground or highest 4th innings chases in general?
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Anyone able to find the record 4th innings chase stats? Can't seem to locate them...
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Thinking takes SA 50-60 overs today if things go well to declare at current run rates aswell so yes draw could come in to play hard
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watched the first 20 mins and clearly no demons in pitch.
i am wondering if there might be a case for backing the draw should there be no wickets taken in first session. SA will only declare with a 400+ lead after tea should they get to it.
Interesting situation.edit...clearly others thinking the same as draw has come in to 12 from 20 at start of play
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Definitely laying SA start today
Would like mid 3’s before assessing
And a re lay 1.5’s
Nz series lead what ever they’re chasing like to think apply themselves better
Surely some fast moving markets and swings coming up -
Neither of these SA batsmen fill me with huge confidence... 2 full days to go. Think if SA can get near to a 300 lead they'll be happy.
I'll then have to crack out the record books to see what kind of 4th innings target is getable.
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Only just got back into some small green last night after a good batting from NZ. Sadly that ruined the SA trade for the first 12 over in 1st inngs.
I have no idea how this will play out. And not sure I'll get to watch any coverage tonight so might just see of anything comes to play.
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Whats everyones view on NZ v SA game?
Draw now sitting at 20, so thats out of the question, unless you want to have a large liability.
Think NZ are a bit skinny at 2.4.
One word of warning though is that the Christchurch pitch tends to not deteriorate as Test goes on - so, hanging on for a draw might be a possibility should SA score enough to put NZ in to bat after tea today. However, historically, this venue produces a result 90% of time.
