BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@nathan-bennett The draw moves the most, obvs with wickets it flies out but you have this little mini moves after wickets, where 30s looks quite high. Sure you can lose another few wickets and lose a small stake at 30s but upside is pretty big . £100 at 30s and then laying it off at 15s within 10 mins , you're looking at a good £100 odd quid for absolutely no work. You also get the draw train where it just crashes and you follow the money.... various ways to play it
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@josh-shaw eyes on the 4th innings chase so wouldn't be out personally. 30 ticks is a good result though so fair play.
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@luke-ridger laid at 1.3 - out for 1.6
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@luke-ridger hearing that ha.., mass intrigue
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@nathan-bennett Specialise in draw trading only ..... you'll be the richest trader around
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Sri Lanka is very easy to scalp the Sri Lanka on the outright market on Betfair.
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@luke-ridger amazing how good.., 1.19 think spiked after taylor wicket love it
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layed Sri 1.55 - a partnership will make this price fly
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If i was bold enough, Draw in Sri was 32 on smarkets, 15 now within 10 minutes.
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Aus price not moved, it's a gift of a lay imo
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Aus lay is still pretty handy at this point, as it will put the rain on your side aswell.
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would say it's grey tomorrow so Aus could be in trouble , and if so the draw is in trouble
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Difficult to bat in this , could lose a few here
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Boom
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Had a lay of Australia at 2.72..... doubt Bancroft will last long
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@paul-keighley I never get involved just because of the forecast alone. I'll wait to see the radar tomorrow morning and early afternoon; it soon becomes pretty clear when the rain is going to arrive. As you say, the draw price has been artificially depressed because everyone is expecting a deluge tomorrow. Forecasts are better than they used to be, but they're by no means 100%.
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@richard-futter In your experience Richard what times have you found best to get involved with the draw price assuming this knowledge? Assuming everyone else knows the forecast etc. I've seen people predict it will crash this evening, or planning to wait til lunch, or even waiting until it actually starts raining?!
I've been keeping an eye on the price all day while watching the game and even with the potential for a wicket every ball and a good collapse it seems like the draw price is trying to hold steady in spite of the action as everyone is readying for the rain tomorrow! Interested to know your thoughts on this situation if you don't mind?!
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@nathan-bennett the forecast is for the rain to arrive shortly after lunch tomorrow
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@richard-futter yeah I’m out for a profit today and keeping my powder dry until then. Heavy market support for the draw.
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@richard-futter how is the estimates on that looking
