BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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2 days left, feel like Aus will have to bat until after tea tomorrow before a declaration. I will wait - looking for a lay of Aus/the draw when I get up in the morning.
The timings for this test are good for me. I think I tend to lose green in the morning session.
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SA collapsing in the same way as PAK
Surely 2.24 LTD for PAK game is great value ?
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@luke-weston said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Did a hit and run on the draw. When they went 5 down and the draw lay price stuck at 1.5 I had to get on that. Levelled up and waiting until the next spot.
well done mate. Was looking at that too when 5 down, but didnt have any in my tiny bank to put on. Once my Bank is replenished next week (been battered by stupid decisions in both cricket and footy recently) then i will be able to get going again.
Another emotional bet on SA v BAN means i am being battered there too ! - BAN have caused me nothing but red in past couple of months - from now they are on my s**t list.
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actually draw lay till stumps safe
so knowing aus and the rate they tend to score
is the draw lay just a no brainer
and or if wickets of courseonly a stubborn 4th INNS PAK BAT will the draw go back down ?
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stumps soon
hard to see markets moving a lot
safe play lay aus till stumps if ya feel the needhoping cracking days 4&5 for launch angles
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Did a hit and run on the draw. When they went 5 down and the draw lay price stuck at 1.5 I had to get on that. Levelled up and waiting until the next spot.
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@andy personally can't do that just yet
PAK opening duo new ball could be just as sharp as AUS closing that INNS -
Back to lay this draw now? What we think
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Pakistan have fallen apart!
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sick didn't hold haha
but
now the action how good -
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles no rush haha . futures beyond me but will love to hear . i also no clue line ups at mo
I've begun my research but I'll need a few hours to make sure i cover all bases.
In the meantime we have an ODI in SA to focus on!
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LAYING SOME 1.51 would love 1.8's take half back
sensed something was brewing
maybe not
aborting now -
@matt-ayles no rush haha . futures beyond me but will love to hear . i also no clue line ups at mo
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POTENTIAL PRE GAME SCALP
ENG PAK W
ENG price could be complete madness particularly if used pitch and PAK bowl first
There slow spinners tough to get awayEyeing another 5-6 ticks
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So far theses tests Heinz site been easy just lay the bowling team
Would be nice to launch draw lay just not seeing this batting INNS due to likelihood follow on avoided , Pakistan potential to lead sees a lot of time removed etc etc , both teams 1-2 in the championship standings at the mo doubt will throw any advantage awayCould be a case of scalping ticks on wickets etc
Be looking at what happened last test if aus were to declare with potential sizeable lead look to BACK TO LAY PAK on I’m pending decision
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Draw at 1.6 now... are we of the opinion that the best option is LTD or are wickets too hard to come by still?
I'm in a position where i have 2.5 points green on Pak/Aus but scratch on draw... i could green up for 1 point across the board but these are the situations recently I've been going wrong...
Just to add my perspective. I have been guilty of building a good position and then losing my green or worse. I would say that I probably green up in 80% of test matches but the bad ones set me right back. So I am starting to be a bit more miserly with the green when I have it but without missing out on the really good spots. I have set myself a target of 1pt per match or 1pt per day of a test match. Not sure if that’s any value to you, but it’s good for me to put it down on paper!
My rule now is if in doubt take it out.
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Next question...
IPL outright market. Where's the value we think?
I need to investigate the teams etc before I could contribute!
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Draw at 1.6 now... are we of the opinion that the best option is LTD or are wickets too hard to come by still?
I'm in a position where i have 2.5 points green on Pak/Aus but scratch on draw... i could green up for 1 point across the board but these are the situations recently I've been going wrong...
Another tricky one. Watched a bit of the game today, and the pitch looked so benign (how many games have we had recently that have been like that !?), however Lyon did get the occassional ball to spin , and this is only end of 2nd day.
1.6 is about as low as i would expect LTD to get for a day or 2 , so maybe room for some scalping, but again, the slow rate of scoring is not great. So, another wait and see for me, just scalping for wickets early, and then maybe backing PAK when Babar comes in to bat. -
Draw at 1.6 now... are we of the opinion that the best option is LTD or are wickets too hard to come by still?
I'm in a position where i have 2.5 points green on Pak/Aus but scratch on draw... i could green up for 1 point across the board but these are the situations recently I've been going wrong...
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I seem to recall him bowling shed loads of full tosses and half trackers in the last test so he’s obviously having e good day!
