BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@stuart-wallace are these 4 day games?
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
county cricket season starts today...one game is Leicester v Worcester.....predicted low temp today in Leicester?.....1 degree.
I notice there are markets on Betfair for these games.
In view of the fact thatthere are markets for the county champs, i had a look at the games and the associated weather.
It seems, despite the low temps that there is likely little chance of rain across the the 8 locations being played. Virtually all games have LTD prices between 5-6 , all except for Hove which has zero liquidity at the moment.
One game that i will be keeping an eye on is Warwick v Surrey, both sides should have all their England players on duty, so the likes of Burns,Woakes,Foakes,Pope,Sibley,Overton,Roy,Jordan,Topley,Curran(s) plus the likes of Amla and Roach, although not sure what formats they will all play might all feature, plus existing injuries.
Edgbaston normally gives a good wicket (cue 16 wickets in a day!), so may be a high scoring game with the potential for a draw. -
county cricket season starts today...one game is Leicester v Worcester.....predicted low temp today in Leicester?.....1 degree.
I notice there are markets on Betfair for these games.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Pat Cummins, 56 of 15 balls! Wow...
50 off 14 - equal fastest ever IPL 50.
Incredible. last over went for 35 ! -
Pat Cummins, 56 of 15 balls! Wow...
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PAK to bat
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@andy said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace can't wait! Not sure what odds RR opened at for the title but they look really impressive so far.
RCB are favourites to win today with the bookmakers. I presume this is to do with the historical head to head record between the two...
Also, Wankhede has so far been a below par batting pitch in the first few games... I'd be interested to see the bowling lineups when they are announced. The majority of the wickets that have fallen here so far have been to pace (not exclusively e.g. Chahar has a couple, Khan one etc) but most are pacers.
In response to my own comment, the pitch is apparently alot more batting friendly this time so scores are expected to be higher.
RCB opt to bowl.... so will it be another Jos Buttler masterclass? I think RCB have the better batting lineup though so RR probably want 180, although RR have thr stronger bowling lineup...
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RCB choose to field
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace Pakistan are 1.8 to win this afternoon which to me seems very high... I assume that this is classic bookies "big team weighting" because it's Australia but a full strength Pakistan side, who are amazing in T20's, especially at home, versus a very weakened Australia team, surely should be shorter? I don't usually go for pre-match entry times if they're going to go in play but feels like a value position to me...
Thoughts anyone?
Hmmm, yes Matt i sorta concur with what you are saying. This is another tricky one. PAK possibly have the 2 best limited overs batsmen at the moment in Babur and Ul_Haq. i notice that the price has come in to 1.74 for PAK, but i wonder if the dew might have some effect on team bowling 2nd? One of those situations where i am going to wait until after the toss and then def lay AUS if they are batting, but might be a bit more circumspect if PAK are batting with the likelihood of the above two batters getting good scores.
A long winded way to say...not clear at moment.! -
@stuart-wallace Pakistan are 1.8 to win this afternoon which to me seems very high... I assume that this is classic bookies "big team weighting" because it's Australia but a full strength Pakistan side, who are amazing in T20's, especially at home, versus a very weakened Australia team, surely should be shorter? I don't usually go for pre-match entry times if they're going to go in play but feels like a value position to me...
Thoughts anyone?
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@andy said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace can't wait! Not sure what odds RR opened at for the title but they look really impressive so far.
RCB are favourites to win today with the bookmakers. I presume this is to do with the historical head to head record between the two...
Also, Wankhede has so far been a below par batting pitch in the first few games... I'd be interested to see the bowling lineups when they are announced. The majority of the wickets that have fallen here so far have been to pace (not exclusively e.g. Chahar has a couple, Khan one etc) but most are pacers.
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@stuart-wallace can't wait! Not sure what odds RR opened at for the title but they look really impressive so far.
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
RR V RCB at 15.00 today and PAK V AUS at 16.30.
Indeed!! Looking forward to it.
Yesterdays IPL game was good, so many swings, especially in the last 10 overs of the chase.
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RR V RCB at 15.00 today and PAK V AUS at 16.30.
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NZ v NED would have been interesting to trade when NED were 83-0 off 11 chasing 330 overnight.!
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@luke-weston Fantastic Luke, well done. So nice when you are staring at a red, but then recover to pull it round.
BAN collapsed before i could even get a Back on the Draw !
I was right in my observation of Sat night, in that how the hell was Draw still 2.3 when SA were approx 100 ahead and 2 full days to go ! it didnt make any sense to me ,so i piled in, and so it proved. I know weather was a factor, but the App i used (Accuweather) said there was only a small chance of rain during play hours ( makes me wonder if some of the market only look at the weather for the day instead of looking at the weather forecast between 10 - 18.00).
Anyway, bottom line for me was a 17 pt Green (tiny Bank), which was very nice . Once i get starting to play with a much bigger bank in May then i would expect those points figures to drastically reduce. -
I was massively overexposed in this match. Went into the red early, then everything I did went wrong.
Fortunately Bang have had a massive meltdown and I have come out with 6.5 points of green which nearly makes up for the red in the IPL on Friday. I had a fantastic March where pretty much everything went right and got carried away. Discipline!
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BAN rolling over here - already 6 down, and LTD has gone out to 400.- to use Nathans word, looking now to cash out and maybe a peanut on a Back of draw, with maybe weather intervention ?
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Not already testing for light are they SA BANG
LTD 2.3 overnight, now 7.5
