BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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So far theses tests Heinz site been easy just lay the bowling team
Would be nice to launch draw lay just not seeing this batting INNS due to likelihood follow on avoided , Pakistan potential to lead sees a lot of time removed etc etc , both teams 1-2 in the championship standings at the mo doubt will throw any advantage awayCould be a case of scalping ticks on wickets etc
Be looking at what happened last test if aus were to declare with potential sizeable lead look to BACK TO LAY PAK on I’m pending decision
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Draw at 1.6 now... are we of the opinion that the best option is LTD or are wickets too hard to come by still?
I'm in a position where i have 2.5 points green on Pak/Aus but scratch on draw... i could green up for 1 point across the board but these are the situations recently I've been going wrong...
Just to add my perspective. I have been guilty of building a good position and then losing my green or worse. I would say that I probably green up in 80% of test matches but the bad ones set me right back. So I am starting to be a bit more miserly with the green when I have it but without missing out on the really good spots. I have set myself a target of 1pt per match or 1pt per day of a test match. Not sure if that’s any value to you, but it’s good for me to put it down on paper!
My rule now is if in doubt take it out.
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Next question...
IPL outright market. Where's the value we think?
I need to investigate the teams etc before I could contribute!
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Draw at 1.6 now... are we of the opinion that the best option is LTD or are wickets too hard to come by still?
I'm in a position where i have 2.5 points green on Pak/Aus but scratch on draw... i could green up for 1 point across the board but these are the situations recently I've been going wrong...
Another tricky one. Watched a bit of the game today, and the pitch looked so benign (how many games have we had recently that have been like that !?), however Lyon did get the occassional ball to spin , and this is only end of 2nd day.
1.6 is about as low as i would expect LTD to get for a day or 2 , so maybe room for some scalping, but again, the slow rate of scoring is not great. So, another wait and see for me, just scalping for wickets early, and then maybe backing PAK when Babar comes in to bat. -
Draw at 1.6 now... are we of the opinion that the best option is LTD or are wickets too hard to come by still?
I'm in a position where i have 2.5 points green on Pak/Aus but scratch on draw... i could green up for 1 point across the board but these are the situations recently I've been going wrong...
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I seem to recall him bowling shed loads of full tosses and half trackers in the last test so he’s obviously having e good day!
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Not seen Swepson bowl before - looks to have some control for a leggie.
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happy to lay AUS these odds
would like 8-9's2.9-4.4 sound enough to sleep on
squared up
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LAYING some 1.91 here
got some equity for awhile . now aborted for now
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home from work as well . change of INNS lay AUS on partnerships perhaps
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Just woke up and not fancying much. Maybe a small punt on Pak for a post lunch wicket but can’t see much that makes me want to risk my green
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Doh, thanks Stuart! I’m on holiday so doing everything on an iPhone and iPad and finding it confusing
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Staying up to watch the AUS W v SA W , well, at least for first half.!
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@luke-weston said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
If I wake up early enough tomorrow I will look at an early Draw lay/pak back (not sure yet) New ball fresh bowlers, could knock Aus over. Otherwise will see how it sits when I get up.
Guyana can be quite humid so if the pitch has a bit more pace in it then our swing/seam attack could come into its own. Definitely laying the team batting first if the pictures support my thinking
Luke, its at Grenada not Guyana.
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If I wake up early enough tomorrow I will look at an early Draw lay/pak back (not sure yet) New ball fresh bowlers, could knock Aus over. Otherwise will see how it sits when I get up.
Guyana can be quite humid so if the pitch has a bit more pace in it then our swing/seam attack could come into its own. Definitely laying the team batting first if the pictures support my thinking
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
PRE GAME SCALP
Think the price 1.21 for AUS W tmr could ease before a balls bowled . while they win (ha who can beat this side) think can make an earn before a balls bowled
got 2500 lay on
would take 5-6 ticks if get to kick things off1.24 now
Out to 1.27/28 now. Excellent stuff. Free point of green on Aus pre game. Cheers Nathan.
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
PRE GAME SCALP
Think the price 1.21 for AUS W tmr could ease before a balls bowled . while they win (ha who can beat this side) think can make an earn before a balls bowled
got 2500 lay on
would take 5-6 ticks if get to kick things off1.24 now
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3rd Test starts in Grenada on Thursday - very little history at that ground aside from Eng win some years back. Weather looking good as usual -a little bit of afternoon rain, but you expect that in Caribbean , it soon goes away.
I saw an interview with Kemar Roach where he said that Grenada will be a quicker deck. -
I did a quick check of Lahore stats, and see that 3 of last 4 have been draws. However, these games have all been played some time ago because of the boycott. One noticeable trend in those matches is big scores with big hundreds and tough to take wickets.
I didnt watch much of the game today, but of what i did see, it seemed fairly flat.
Personally, i would do my usual trick of Laying Oz in expectation of early wicket(s) then reassess after 10 overs.One of those games was against SA, whose batting lineup was ...
Not bad , eh ? Imagine if KP hadnt defected too.!
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Those wickets have pushed the draw price back out. Never touched my queued lay.
What are your thoughts on tomorrow? There's been more wickets today than expected.
