BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Cause I’m sick laying 1.01 with 2% of green
Want 1.10 to bag it allMore tests please ha
haha
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Cause I’m sick laying 1.01 with 2% of green
Want 1.10 to bag it allMore tests please ha
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FYI, out of the 8 County games that have finished today, 6 were draws.
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@luke-weston said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace
You might get another chance. Down to 5 now, Bang still 270 behind 5 wickets down!Yes, i got a little bit more on. Thinking of greening out as total green showing is approx 97 per cent of total lay at present.
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Happy to lay 1.15 DC
Want 1.6 for most out -
How's this opposite momentum after DC touched 1.2's
Not seen a lot of this IPL so far
But gold angle for mine at times -
Bangs 10 & 11 combined batting average of 1.68. I don’t think this will last much longer
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@stuart-wallace
You might get another chance. Down to 5 now, Bang still 270 behind 5 wickets down! -
Big ask for BANG to make another 114 aye ?
If so 1.12 SA is stupidonly small lay SA
still on draw lay
go again if low -
S**t, missed out ! was looking at Draw at Tea at circa 2.8 and thinking this was a goer, but had tied all my tiny bank in Liability for the footy. Now at 9's !
Was going to plough it back in once i'd got some liab back after footy ! too late. -
IPL on at s**t times for me
But
Backed CSK till close INNS and over 147.5 runs
Dot ball Dhoni scares me hahaSomething
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@luke-weston nice work, as times gone on I use run lines a lot
You can usually get very good entries on extremes, especially in T20, Punjab today was good example where they were allowing 8 runs in final 2 overs for 9&10 batters, they went on to get 20+
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I have been tinkering in the run line market in the Test. Thought it had gone too high early on and had a couple of fiddles throughout the day. Pretty happy with how it’s gone. 0 -415 +5pts, 416 to 450 +15pts, 451-482 5pts, 483+ -5pts
Feel pretty safe that they won’t get 484 now so keen to see SA all out for 417!
Anyone else use the run lines?
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@richard-futter good point !! Would prob take a 20-0 start by BANG to lower draw significantly
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Not sure exactly how low the draw price can go. I'll be surprised if it dips as low as 2.5 because punters will be factoring in a comfortable SA win with a big first innings score. But who knows? People often back the draw at much lower odds than I think are at all reasonable! For me, anything around 3 or below is huge value.
Thats why i was really surprised at end of day 3 of previous test between these two, with SA circa 100 ahead with 2 days to go the LTD price was about 2.4 ! OK, weather was around, but there was hardly any expected during playing hours.
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Not sure exactly how low the draw price can go. I'll be surprised if it dips as low as 2.5 because punters will be factoring in a comfortable SA win with a big first innings score. But who knows? People often back the draw at much lower odds than I think are at all reasonable! For me, anything around 3 or below is huge value.
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ive just entered with a small lay, with some more queued below 3
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Hard to see this SA price ballooning much even if a wicket every 30-40 runs ish on average
Draw lay forsure
I’ve also layed some now and think my biggest lay will be close change of INNS like say when SA are 7,8 down -
I notice via the graphics that Bangla started around 7's, and now running at 18's - that quite some movement on first day, which considering they are bowling is surprising.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
With SA batting first, I'm hoping for a decent amount of runs today, and very few wickets, maybe 3 tops... that should bring the draw price in. I hope... looking to lay under 2.5
yes, expecting it to come in.
Gqeberha (is the Xhosa renamed Port Elizabeth) has had only 1 draw in past 11 tests, and most of the wins have been by big margins, so expecting much of the same.
Weather wise , looks reasonable except for maybe a little on day 3, but PE is easily changeable.
