BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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methinks its a good day to trade , not worrying about huge swings in the IPL ! though you never know !
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@matt-ayles oh , thanks for heads up.
Yes, Durban can be a bit wet this time of year, i should know i lived there for a little while! Might want to see what market is saying after first session, although if BAN are batting first, i might have a little Lay on them to begin with. -
Fair enough mate! In which case focus on tomorrows test match in Durban which has threat of rain on 3/5 days... plus there's an ODI tomorrow.
Given that they're odds on, their bowling attack is heavily depleted, and it might rain on days 3-5, a lay of SA looks solid on paper.
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@matt-ayles There are just so many swings that i amthinking of staying away for time being until it settles down
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles Wow another huge swing
I know! Amazing stuff! Didn't see this one coming either. Just goes to show, so far, in the IPL at least, lay low!
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@matt-ayles Wow another huge swing
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not much depth here in RCB lineup here
one or two wicket here could have massive swings
i am having lay here at 1.41well.. loss in that trade
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Shows what i know! 1.04 out to 1.45 after 3 early wickets!
Not going to reenter this match but hope somebody got on that lay! -
@andy this felt like another one sided match after the powerplay so learning from yesterday i traded it differently. Only managed to green half a point but better than losing a point like yesterday. Progress.
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Harshal Patel 2 for 0 off 2 overs including the wicket of Andre Russell. Incredible
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Some simple analysis of the IPL thus far.
Obvious spot is that all games have been won by team batting 2nd - would expect the main reason for this is the effect of dew on the ball for team bowling second.
Also notice that games played at Wankhede tend to be lower scoring so far, although small sample size so far.
I only really look at last 3-4 years but wankhede is generally good scoring (170ish off memory) with a trend to the chase (60% again off memory). I do have the venue marked as a chase watch tho.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Horrible IPL game! So one-sided! Took a low lay on RR but looks certain to be a losing trade this time. Undoes my good work on the Aus game!
Never mind, happens!
Same here, ended up about net zero !
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Horrible IPL game! So one-sided! Took a low lay on RR but looks certain to be a losing trade this time. Undoes my good work on the Aus game!
Never mind, happens!
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Hmmm, Oz 1.12 ...tempting, especially as PAK still have their opener unbeaten on 50+
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Got a medium sized lay on PAK at moment - just think its a big total to chase - one worry i have is with the dew for the bowlers. And Babar Azam !!
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Changing the subject to IPL, I'm a little surprised that the Sunrisers aren't favourites looking at the lineups... if the Royals start well and get silly low in odds I'm going to lay them... tempted to lay them now tbh but i want to see the powerplay first.
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@luke-weston interestingly enough recently I've been able to do it consistently but I get myself into trouble trying to get a point on both sides not just one!
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Record run chase at Lahore is 316 in 63 x ODIs. Also the lowest defended total is 170 so it feels to me like Australia should be shorter than this... is that purely down to their bowling attack?
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If you could do that in every match you would be a rich man!
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I managed to get a point on Aus side of the market early but it's scratch on Pak side... this has been a common position for me recently, essentially a free bet on one team. It's fine if they win but feels like a waste when they lose!
