BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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ENG 250 lead say then NZ 20-0 what price ENG ? probably not far off current
hense my brain says decent window to have a throw lay see if doubles at some point
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if say ENG 1.1's when NZ bat again i'll be tempted for sure ha -
Utilising the famous "what has to happen" method of trading, with NZ 2 or 3 down it was feasible to see a partnership develope at some point... however now 7 down for no runs with the tail fully exposed I can't see it... the England of old were terrible at seeing off the tail but we've had less than 30 overs and the balls still swinging...
Yes England are very short seeing as it's so early but personally I don't feel confident that their price will drift until we come to bat and Boult removes our openers for similar.
Thoughts?
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LAYING some 1.27
1.5's be huge -
Draw layers dream this! Already locked in and its still session 1!
Agree that any team odds on in Day 1 (let alone session 1!) is madness... although I don't think now is the right moment to lay, the balls still swinging. -
was about to type what price ENG if NZ scramble 140 ish
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just entered a W.I LAY @1.23
would love 1.4's close to end INNS
could be asking a lot -
@tom-david-1 love these lay types .., fraction too soon for me but eye on the ball doing less etc etc
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5 day game, yadda yadda yadda, going to have a lay of England at 1.55 and do a rain dance
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what's happening to my world champs ha
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Its so much easier when you pick your best players
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been busy
missed rock bottom 2.4's think but 2.9 lay is good -
@dan-mackinnon 2/2
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Good start 1/1
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NZ bat, and Boult does play.
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Looks like a batting day/pitch... so if England bat first the conditions will not be any easier for our fragile top order. However looks an important toss to win as no cloud cover etc could make bowling tricky.
Middlesex have hit some good numbers here recently too so I think win the toss and bat is the way.
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@richard-futter very interesting. So it seems big scores and unpredictable weather is impacting the draw price. From your experience what would you expect it to be? Or is c.2.7 about right?
Like you say, hopefully they’ll be a few early wickets and that will push it back out
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Andrew McDonald will miss the game which was supposed to be his first since being appointed full-time head coach of the Australian cricket team.
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@dan-mackinnon very rare for a team to win the toss and bowl, unless very overcast and/or green conditions. So, will likely need NZ to win toss to get Jimmy bowling first.
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LTD price seems to have stabilised at 2.76.
Anybody here planning to do Run lines ? might be interesting to do for first 10 overs - cant see Jimmy and Broady giving many runs away tbh.
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@dan-mackinnon The weather has been pretty unpredictable in recent days, with some T20 Blast games unexpectedly abandoned after sudden downpours,, so perhaps punters feel something similar could happen at Lord's, but as you say it would be a surprise if any day's play was totally washed out.
Also, two of the last three Tests here have finished in stalemates - including last year's match-up between the same two teams. Also big scores have been the order of the day in the County Championship so far this season, so that could be a major factor too.
Countering that, both sides have big questions to answer about their batting. The retirements of Ross Taylor and BJ Watling have had a big impact on the Kiwis, while Lees, Crawley and Pope look extremely vulnerable at the top of the England order.
If there's any early movement the draw price of around 2.7 will look very silly indeed and if the weather stays fine for day one - as looks likely - I can't see it falling much below 2.5 in the opening exchanges. That may be a good price to lay, and could give a chance of getting some early green on the board.
