BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@nathan-bennett yeah i get that. I often think what I would deem value and start there... like with NZ later, 1.09 is no good, but give me 1.2 - 1.3 and I'd be happy with that.
However really depends on the toss this one. If NZ bat first I can see them drifting a little but if they bowl first I don't expect much movement upwards. -
@matt-ayles 1.4 did seem fat i just cant start a trade backing low odds on , uppercut myself if goes pear rather lose this way ha
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@nathan-bennett amazing how 2 people can trade the exact same numbers, i just backed Bangladesh at 1.4 first then exited at 1.19 lol.
Will be waiting on the toss for NZ. If they bat first again they may lose early wickets, but if they bowl first there's every chance they take early wickets and the price never drifts...
Also got Ireland v SA later too.
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NZ NED
Also have queued a lay 1.09
Think could repeat like game one and see higher
1.3’s be niceTaken some 1.10 to LAY
Backed half liability lay stake 1.15 NZ
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BANG ZIM ODI
BANG 1.19 first lay another late in INNS if odds similar
Hoping to get some insurance 1.35-1.40Locked some green and rolling now big result
Couldn't help 1.12 add another lay while BANG are none down .., likely go on to boss the INNS hope for swings would take stake back 1.2's this trade
Taken 1.24 that invest
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@matt-ayles Thanks for this Matt.
Must admit, i am treading very carefully with regard to 100, not likely to do any trading til i can understand teams/overseas players/any other variables - but it is so volatile you have to be on the ball -
Yeah, I got out for a small profit. I noticed yesterday that NZ were about 1.03 prematch but shot out to 1.15 after the toss. Could be some low risk value in this competition.
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@luke-weston said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Morning everyone. Not been around for a while. Currently watching the Aus v Pak women. Had a big lay of Aus at 1.01 prematch, liability now removed. Hoping for a couple more wickets now!
Yeah this is one of those double or nothing matches where you can lay at 1.01 pre match and exit at 1.02 should it get there (often does).
I think they touched 1.04 but its key not to be too greedy as these kinds of matches don't often drift too far in the market. Aus well on top now, back in to 1.01 lay only.
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Morning everyone. Not been around for a while. Currently watching the Aus v Pak women. Had a big lay of Aus at 1.01 prematch, liability now removed. Hoping for a couple more wickets now!
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Very quick piece of analysis before tomorrow's Hundred begins. Its a totally unique format and I'd advise caution trading (as there are a large number of variables I have not yet investigated such as lineup changes/availability and the fact each team plays the other just once bar local rivals and those who were at home last season will be away this etc).
However, perhaps this will be useful, even if purely to get the research started:
Ground scoring averages!
MENS:
Old Trafford 111
Headingly 152
Edgbaston 137
Trent Bridge 138
Sophia Gardens 153
Lords 138
The Oval 137
Ageas Bowl 142WOMENS:
Old Trafford 116
Headingly 126
Edgbaston 132
Trent Bridge 127
Sophia Gardens 108
Lords 122
The Oval 116
Ageas Bowl 129I've factored in those that were rain impacted... there weren't very many.
This is just during the league phase not knockouts.
Just gives you an idea which grounds were higher scoring and the types of scores typically achieved in 100 balls.
Also for reference the highest scoring matches were Headingly for men, 341 runs total and Lords for women 284 runs total. Lowest non rain impacted matches were Old Trafford for men, 167 total runs and Lords again for women with 190 total runs.
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@stuart-wallace I know this isn't any consolation, but we've all been there. It eff-ing sucks! But it's important to action those lessons and you'll find you come back stronger and more in control. Last year I lost 50% of my bank by being complacent but I've got it back and I'm confident you will too.
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@martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace as big as my lay England one?
Yep, wiped out 50 pts of my (small) bank- just as i was starting to get to a decent balance.
3 things learnt from it...
- Dont get complacent with batting records - such as ENG and PAK wins recently.
- Keep possible losses to a minimum (i know you preach this over and over, but complacency had crept in, thinking 'i know my cricket' !)
- Only trade matches where you can keep an eye on the progress - for example, for work reasons i couldnt monitor both ENG and PAK games, and before i knew it, odds had run away from me.
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backed SA W again 5.7 want odds on lets go
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missed a beauty
ZIM BANG
Bang 1.04 favs now 1.75
ZIM 67/6 now 137/6 four overs later ha -
just tuning in
um
ENG W 5/95 and short favs hmmm
Had a lay 1.36
Thinking of another lay eng in 3-4 overs time ish and seeing where trade stands after SA power play
1.8 ENG be great
see how it goes i know SA where poor against NZ maybe have a bit of fight todaybehind yuk
re Lay 1.19 till end INNS this trade
RED second fav color #liverpool
not the best trading ha
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@stuart-wallace as big as my lay England one?
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@matt-ayles it seems that i was doing ok, and the only downder was that PAK lay. biiiig loss.
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Dunno about you chaps but i have found this month a real struggle with some strange results. Also not helped by England who are either amazing or sh*t and have become highly unpredictable.
Yep, echo that.
All going swimming until that huge loss on Pak lay - reminds me to stop chasing when i already have a good green LTD.
ENG v SA Tests to come in AUG and SEP !7 point loss this month. Disappointing after 5 profitable ones in a row, thought I'd cracked it! Variance or have i made errors? Will have to analyse the data...
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AUS W v BARBADOS
thought 1.03 worth a lay stake back at 1.06 and assess 1.10 in play could probably do me if happens lock it away
