BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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PAK LAY 1.31 assess if 1.5-1.6 for some insurance
Took some 1.5 .., market really doesn't want to burst here yet despite runs line being 300.5
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runs line tempting to go overs
run a ball will get paid -
I can't believe how little the markets moved! Must be the run rate as still only 1 down 18 overs in.
Still no entry from me yet.
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@stuart-wallace sorry .., that was just attempt at gaining some ticks pre live play
i'm involved now got in 1.31 aiming to take 25% back around 1.5-1.6 ish if gets there
thinking way partnership going total end INNS worst case be above 1.31
here's hoping -
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Noticed the last few ODI’s world wide with short price favs if the FAVS bay first there odds have all eased
Might do a scalp attempt if
WI v PAK
PAK bat first lay them for 5-8 ticksLooked like that worked with WI batting - PAK went from 1.28 to 1.4 currently.
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PAK LAY 1.31 assess if 1.5-1.6 for some insurance
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
WI bat no pre game launch lay of PAK
onto the live action
Agreed. Will see how it starts. If Windies can survive a few overs, maybe even most of the Powerplay, we should get some value on a back of Pakistan...
I'd prefer that strategy to a lay now and "hope" Windies bat well...
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WI bat no pre game launch lay of PAK
onto the live action
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Ok so first 2 matches I have recorded early prices of 1.37 for Pakistan and Australia and 3.6 for WI and SL.
Australia bullied SL yesterday, although SL were a respectable 100-1 before collapsing and losing 9 wickets for just 28 runs. Todays game is at the same ground so its reasonable to think the Aussies will find batting easy. This makes for a difficult opening position as 1.37 is not an attractive back price for me, however if they bat first there's a good chance it's not a good lay price either (unless Finch goes early!). My plan here is wait for the toss. If SL bat first i hope for another reasonable opening partnership and I'll drip back Aus from 1.5 upwards. If Aus bat first I'll hope for an early wicket and again start backing them, however if like yesterday they make a mockery of SL bowlers, this may not ever present an opportunity to enter.
The other game reads similar although is a longer format so movements are slower. Not much recent data in the H2H stats, but Pakistans recent home series win over Australia was impressive. The flip side has the Windies losing ODI series to India and Ireland... again I don't like backing at low odds but I also can see Pakistan winning comfortably which means I can't bring myself to lay just yet either... So just as the Australia match I'll be waiting for the toss in the hopes Pakistan drift so I can drip back, but if they don't drift I'll be moving on to the Womens game.
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Noticed the last few ODI’s world wide with short price favs if the FAVS bay first there odds have all eased
Might do a scalp attempt if
WI v PAK
PAK bat first lay them for 5-8 ticks -
Lots of cricket today to enjoy, starting with Pakistan v Windies.
Also different formats today too to test the skills!
Looking forward to it. Get those alarms set.
1200 BST - Pakistan v Windies ODI
1430 - Sri Lanka v Australia T20
1630 - Ireland W v South Africa W T20
1830 - 3 x Blast matches T20 -
Mitchell Starc is out of the game against Sri Lanka today with an injury to his hand
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Took a peanut Aussies 1.8’s when half asleep
What a balls up by SRI -
Already out of trade and Made 50% profit
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Lay aus?
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Back to the T20s today with the SLvAUS game, Australia are a little too high for me to just jump in with a blind lay like in the last series. I'm surprised to see Finch is still stealing a living in these formats and with Hasaranga on fire it wouldn't surprise me to see him go early. Australia have a really strong batting line up here so probably better for them the earlier he goes.
Whoever wins the toss is likely to bowl first, not a particularly high scoring ground so if Australia bat first and post what is a seemingly average score then should be able to back them at higher odds but as always with T20 will just see how the game plays out.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Had a back of Yorkshire, they're going along nicely. Looking for 20-25 ticks only...
And green.
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Had a back of Yorkshire, they're going along nicely. Looking for 20-25 ticks only...
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Gone wrong this. Never mind. Will keep an eye on the Blast still but no trades yet
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SA v Ire W in about an hour. SA lost the first T20 and are in somewhat of a transitional period with no Lee, Van Niekerk, Kapp etc...
That said they're one of the "big teams".I made a red on the first T20 because all the stats suggested a comfortable SA win.
This time I'm going to give Ireland some respect. I'll lay them first up, then look to drip back as the price moves. However i plan to be very watchful, and will make calls as things progress.
There's also a Blast game at 630 which again I'll be looking at but may not trade it, depends how it unfolds as the Blast is proving difficult to predict.
