BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Things settling down a bit since lunch; might get rid of the red yet.
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Mind you
If ENG can get 200 and the IND 1.2 price or lower is the market
Then I’m laying -
What a f*****g pitch
It’s like ok Bumrah rest let’s get mass cracks -
Great decision that. What do I know?
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No sign of any great movement, just a little variable bounce, so having a small lay of India at 1.74
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It's good that England have won the toss and decided to bat first, but it's difficult to know exactly how to play this until we've seen a good few overs, especially from the spinners. Because the pitch looks absolutely awful; clumps of grass, a crumbly surface and giant cracks. On looks alone, you'd guess this might well be over in three days but appearances can sometimes be deceptive.
So, if it does play rather better than it looks, a lay of India could be the play today. Gonna watch an hour or so of play first though!
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IND ENG
Been a earthquake on this pitch ? -
The odds for the fourth Test at Ranchi are almost a carbon copy of those for the last match, in which India played superbly and England simply threw in the towel after two tightly contested days' cricket.
Hopefully Stokes's team will show rather more backbone this time round; even so it's hard to argue that the hosts aren't good value for their strong odds-on status.
But it's hard to know exactly how things will play out. Everyone seems to to think the pitch will be crumbly and cracked and conducive to large amounts of spin.
However, seamers have generally been the main wicket takers in the limited number of Test matches played here, and the average first innings score here is only just under 500.
So, whoever wins the toss is 100 per cent certain to bat first and, once again, their odds will tumble down immediately. The draw is currently around 10, so certainly not layable at the moment but I would be pretty certain that price will at least halve in the first couple of days.
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Will ENG lock it down ?
Nope ha -
R/O No words ha
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Not the most sporting of declarations, but this still looks a good batting pitch and I'll bet my bottom dollar that if England start strongly their price will plummet in ridiculously. With little or no risk, a small back of the tourists at 30 plus could pay dividends; then if it comes in too far, it'll be time to lay because no one has ever got near this level of target in 150 years of Test cricket.
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Nathan Bennettreplied to Fraser cord on 18 Feb 2024, 07:53 last edited by Nathan Bennett 18 Feb 2024, 08:40
@Fraser-cord
I've backed england @38 looking to exit stake @18 ish and maybe flip the lot if gets close to double figures
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always worth a try may not work out today -
@Nathan-Bennett pundits were saying India need 120-130 overs so between 4 and 5 sessions. ud think they would up the rate before it too. Cant see England chasing 400+ but theres definitely this fear that they could. The rate would be under 4 per over even at that so India will surely want over 450 lead.
I agree, with a fast England start, watch their price fly in.
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Any thoughts on a guesstimate declaration total
Aiming to time it when the cameras start looking at rohit and slam a ENG back bet -
Abort draw back
1.2 INDIA
S**t others can have that seems silly
IND LAY it is -
My eyes really on the same as last test lay india close to change of INNS for a swing
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Draw might have legs in it yet
Small back to lay
Backed some at 12
Will flip at 7 -
Well England 1st innings lead didn't go to plan but nice fill up on the LTD.
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So sick eyeing 3.5 lays and didnt pull trigger ha
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Root just doesn't need to play those ridiculous shots. Could have played sensibly and comfortably scored a century today.
401/13217