BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Bad light could be the biggest factor from now on.
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Could be some light rain soon I reckon, but heavy stuff likely around 4.30 onwards.
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@tom-david-1 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Draw price went down to 2.8, i loaded up at that and have greened up at 10, wouldn't be surprised to see if under 3 again. On an England lay now from 1.71.
Seen much worse starts from England to be fair, all part of the Bazball brand, give them a decent 1st innings lead and chase down with ease
Wont be under 3 again, not with 5 down at lunch on first day and clear weather forecast for days 2,3,4 and 5.
Hopefully get out at EOD with less damage and then try to recoup with LTD thereafter.
Ltes hope the 20 over Duke ball scenario rings true for this afternoonRecovery exercise for me
Ok, its Bazball, but ffs all you need to do is play straight with 1 ball left before lunch !
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Where's this effing rain ????!!!!!!
Yeah my thoughts exactly!! My trading plan for this match was let the draw price crash and enter overnight... now I'm thinking I've missed the low odds.
yep, me too.
If i come out of this game with a green i will be surprised. -
@matt-ayles When it comes to thunderstorms you really cannot count on forecasts because exactly where they fall is extremely unpredictable. Radar is the only way, and it was clear from the outset that any rain was several hours away.
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Draw price went down to 2.8, i loaded up at that and have greened up at 10, wouldn't be surprised to see if under 3 again. On an England lay now from 1.71.
Seen much worse starts from England to be fair, all part of the Bazball brand, give them a decent 1st innings lead and chase down with ease
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Where's this effing rain ????!!!!!!
Yeah my thoughts exactly!! My trading plan for this match was let the draw price crash and enter overnight... now I'm thinking I've missed the low odds.
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Where's this effing rain ????!!!!!!
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Never rely on forecasts; I'm definitely a radar man, and it looks to me there's a good chance Lord's will escape the worst of the storms during the early part of the afternoon. The main rain has given Brighton a good soaking but seems to be slipping to the west of north London. Trouble is there is some really torrential, localised rain to the south east which might strike between 3-4 and if that happens that will probably be it for the day, when the draw price will shorten quickly. In the long run, though, I still think the draw will trade very high later in the match - and very probably at 1000 on the final day.
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SA win toss and bowl.
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@stuart-wallace No rain at the moment.... looks pretty gloomy and humid; might be a very good morning to bowl if the precipitation holds off for a while. Looking at the radar I reckon we should have an uninterrupted first session. Fingers crossed. Everyone seems to think that if he wins the toss Stokes will bowl, while SA might well bat first if the spin falls their way. If that's true, the toss is entirely academic.
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
somebody has lumped on big on LTD ' price gone out to 3.5.
Rain expected all day.Back down to 3.2 quickly.
There's only one way this is going today , and it aint north. Its about judging the best time to jump in on draw. -
Doing the old phone a friend for this as be in the air a couple times
If can get me set and at the time odds under 3 just going to lay 500
If odds 3.4 ish might back it till toss close then lay for total 500 liabilityCan’t wait to get paid in 5 days ha
Something for the battlers -
somebody has lumped on big on LTD ' price gone out to 3.5.
Rain expected all day. -
Laying the draw at 3, will be topping up if it hits evens tomorrow.
Going fairly big here
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First of all, apologies for the dreadful political advice... looks like there's no chance at all for Sunak. I'll stick to the cricket in future.
Speaking of which, it's great to have Test cricket back after all the bish-bash-bosh stuff - although with Bazball, we might not notice the difference at Lord's tomorrow.
The most important thing could be keeping an eye on the weather on day one. There could be quite a lot of rain about, so I reckon there's a good chance of the draw going well under 3.0, which would be great for draw layers.
England's all out attacking style makes a draw a massive outside bet in my opinion. Even if the first day is washed out - which is by no means guaranteed - overs can be made up and England are capable of scoring very quickly as well as being very aggressive with their field placings.
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Layed PAK at 1.07, got out at 1.15, now Backed at 1.19
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@stuart-wallace hate holidays ha massive lay for a free
Roll missed good luck
Change INNS PAK if 1.04 like would be another huge lay
Might phone a friend ha -
PAK to bat first
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NED v PAK today at Rotterdam. Weather looks good all day.
Ready to lay PAK if they bat first, until Babar comes in. Possibly lay NED if they bat first, with Shaheen toe-crushers. Edwards best batter in NED line-up by some way.
