BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@darryll said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Hi all! What are my options when looking for a live feed?
I use hesgoal.com - has most (but not all) of the Test matches live.
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England bat first. I may not get involved, depends if there are early wickets. I see England at value between 1.4 - 1.5 so if they price becomes available I'll have a back, alternatively I'll just enjoy the game.
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Happy to lay SRI 2.3
Want 3.5-4.0 to drip some out
Re assess if SRI become 1.7’s with ball when Babar inseeing red for a while me thinks
LAYING 1.4 want 1.8 to get stake back ... see what happens . if SRI are to dominate could be another lay as PAK begin 4th INNS
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@nathan-bennett hoping there's a result here... my green is locked in already should it not be void.
I'll also be trading the India game shortly. Very likely back India if Windies make a strong start. See if they hit 1.5 after the toss.
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ENG SA
SA backed over 289 runs @1.87 -
TEST
SRI PAK
Starting small lay SRI till lunch see if get some green
missed the lay pre wicketLAY SRI again till stumps
Day 1 loss
All good -
No action me lastnight too late
WI IND would been a fill up haha what a game no doubt
Need to win more and bet and travel with the summers
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England match reduced to 29 overs each, but I wouldn't rule out further rain towards 7-8pm BST...
Very tough to call trade-wise as it's not a T20, and not an ODI... Team news shortly, and wonder if teams will opt for more power hitters?
Anyway, I'm about to start a show at the theatre, and had hoped to lock in green by now... as a result I'll be leaving this match alone.
Good luck folks!
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
dodge weather todays ODI ENG SA?
Yes definitely. Looks from the radar that its likely its raining now, and may be a delayed start... then it looks like it might be a bit interrupted throughout the match.
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dodge weather todays ODI ENG SA?
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@richard-futter followed . when do i get paid ha as in what day this decided #clueless
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This is the challenge facing Sunak. Be some effort if he pulls it off. There are a fair few undecideds however so a solid debate performance or two could really close the gap at least. All I will say is, Tory members are currently an absolute gift for Labour!
*Truss into 1.52 since this morning. Guess punters have seen these polls
Could be time to get involved just before the first debate... -
@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Okay, this is nothing to do with cricket but I do follow politics very closely and have been keeping a keen eye on the odds for Britain's next prime minister.
The field has been narrowed down to former chancellor Rishi Sunak and the foreign secretary Liz Truss, with the winner being decided over the next six weeks by the votes of around 160,000 Conservative party members.
At the moment Truss is favourite at 1.72, but she is a very poor performer as far as speeches and debates are concerned and there are going to be plenty of those during the coming weeks. I expect Sunak to close the gap significantly and - if anyone held a gun to my head - I would pick him as the winner.
It's a long term trade by my standards and I won't be investing a fortune, but I feel it's a pretty safe one.
Hi Richard. This is a very intersting one imo. I also follow politics very closely and have been this leadership race for a while. (made a decent amount following Paul Krishnamurty in backing Penny Mordaunt for next leader at 17s a few months ago and recently tradeed out at odds on), but it was one thing trying to predict how Tory MPs would vote comared to those Tory party members!
There's been plenty of polling of the membership recently and they have been decently in favour of Truss which is essentially the cause of the current odds. My own view is this would be a very different situation were these tv debates before a general election for example, however they don't have to appeal to the electorate at all right now but only to those 160k party members. I just have the feeeling that most of them have their minds made up already based on their own views/principles, and having seen the stats for the party members today (95% white, a lot 65+ etc), I have a feeling that however badly these debates go for Truss (and they will go badly for her as she is awful at this), they just aren't going to change their minds and have their hearts set on a Thatcher wannabe.
I guess as a short term trade, regular punters will watch the debates and pile onto Rishi so he probably will shorten in the short term, but it's such a nuanced market that I wouldn't really have particular confidence in it one way or the other personally.
Let's be honest, if the Party had any real inclination to put forward the candidates most likely to win at the next General Election they would have put forward Tugenhadt or Mordaunt at the very least, so you can't really trust the competence of the party these days, MPs or members alike!
I certainly wouldn't put anyone off backing Sunak currently, personally I'll be keeping a close eye and looking to jump in at a later date, hopefully after a little drift at first.
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Okay, this is nothing to do with cricket but I do follow politics very closely and have been keeping a keen eye on the odds for Britain's next prime minister.
The field has been narrowed down to former chancellor Rishi Sunak and the foreign secretary Liz Truss, with the winner being decided over the next six weeks by the votes of around 160,000 Conservative party members.
At the moment Truss is favourite at 1.72, but she is a very poor performer as far as speeches and debates are concerned and there are going to be plenty of those during the coming weeks. I expect Sunak to close the gap significantly and - if anyone held a gun to my head - I would pick him as the winner.
It's a long term trade by my standards and I won't be investing a fortune, but I feel it's a pretty safe one.
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@matt-ayles Will be interesting to see if these two matches were just anomalies, or whether they mark a change of trend. Pakistan's win in Galle was the bigger surprise for me, especially after the way the Aussies completely folded there against the SL spinners recently. But it could be these results will encourage a confidence in the ability to make big fourth innings scores - maybe sensible to hold fire on these types of trades for a while, although I would say they've made really big profits in the long term for many years.
On the plus side, laying the draw at the right time continues to be a regular money-spinner.
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loss in this game,time to move on.
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Twice this month I've been done over by teams chasing big totals in tests! Not actually lost anything as had simply moved the green onto SL, but had i stuck with plan A I'd have made a few points. Typical!
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Nice 4 wicket win to Pakistan there!
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Trading never over till it’s over ha
