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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #4281

    @stuart-wallace 44 quid give or take on 2% commission

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #4282

    Just thinking out loud here and trying to work out numbers....

    If you lay 500 at 1.1 , your liability would be 50
    if you exit at 1.05 then your loss is 25
    if you Back at 1.2 and it gets taken, then what would your approx. profit be?.

    Am i right with my Maffs ??!!

    ? ? 2 Replies Last reply
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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #4283

    @matt-ayles Wont be able to make Tuesday or Wednesday, coz of work, although might be able to get to 2nd innings of ENG v PAK - want to explore the 1.1 lay more.

    Btw , are you getting your historic data purely from Betfair?

    I know its a long way away but i am intending to take the whole of December off work, and i just noticed that, from 28th November and all December there are 8 Test matches being played ! Plus there is a plethora of BBL games on too. What fun !

    What software do you use ? BetAngel?

    ? Nathan BennettN 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4284

    I think that’s the main thing I’ve taken from the last couple of days; patience. It’s always going to be tempting to lump on when a side is 60/70-0 after a power play in T20, hoping that a wicket falls and the lay drops. The 1.1 strategy appears to work extremely well and has legs, just need to keep a lid on it and be disciplined.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #4285

    well done everyone! this thread is such a great example of how working together can make a good profit!

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4286

    @jonathan-busch agree with Nathan on this one. I much prefer to be patient and wait for the lay first as its much lower liability, and if it goes against you the losses are minimal. If you're doing the back first you either have high liability or low yield.

    Classic example yesterday had you backed England needing just 9 runs off 12 balls before they lost 3 quick wickets you'd have been screwed.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4287

    @jonathan-busch early always gets me in trouble ha. never back shorts as my first bet
    hear what your saying tho about 1.3-1.15 and flipping

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #4288

    @nathan-bennett

    I thought Guyana 1.30 was a good entry point early in the match. Are you not tempted to get in earlier ie 1.30 - 1.15 or do you resist temptation, remain disciplined and hold out for 1.1

    Or do both, and if it goes sub 1.1, go big and go hard (situation/time dependent)

    *I used the sub-1.1 entry to get me out of the 1.3 trade which went south

    Nathan BennettN ? 3 Replies Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #4289

    CPL
    ROYALS WARRIORS
    Matched 1.07-1.15 free rolling

    Warriors chasing small total starting chase 1.15 if they go into 1.05 quickley i'll lay hard again

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4290

    @jonathan-busch best

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #4291

    Re 1.1 trading

    WI -W V NZ-W
    WI touched 1.1 with still around 20 over to go and requiring 3 RPO, 7 wickets in hand: Plenty of time for a wobble

    Drip layed everything under 1.1 using liability staking to drag the green down the lower the odds went

    Got matched from 1.1 to 1.06 before the wobble happened (lost couple quick wickets) and got out at 1.2. Went out to 1.4 before coming back down again.

    May look to use this as a staking plan for under 1.1 trading

    150% ROI

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #4292

    @stuart-wallace looks like there's a couple of days off now before the next instalment of T20s on Wednesday. (Unless UAE v Bangladesh calls to you).

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #4293

    Thanks Matt and Nathan, really enjoyed today, was good to hear others views in a live environment.

    Some things to ponder about today.

    1. not to trade 2 games at once unless you have the necessary equipment.
    2. not to gamble on trading markets you know nothing about.
    3. Trading 1.1 lay to 1.2 back looks very promising to me, and something i intend to carry forward to next game(s).
    4. some thoughts re 1.1 to 1.2 .... maybe only trade during certain overs of second innings ...maybe 12-18..... what do you think?
      And as Matt says, only trade this on games between similar quality.

    Good day lads...thanks,enjoyed it.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4294

    @matt-ayles Stressful to say the least!

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4295

    Wow, what a crazy finish to a cricket game! You could have laid both teams at 1.03 in the final 2 overs and got matched! Went from England no chance, to England banker, to England all out in a matter of minutes. Managed to get 1 successful lay on there.

    Ended this session +4 points, which I am really happy with. Thanks guys. Bring on the world cup!

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #4296

    Laid 1.06, want 1.12

    Matched 🙂

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #4297

    Wow, was ready with my 1.1 lay when Pakistan hit 1.15, 2 boundaries later they're at 1.8! Massive swing, although I had no entered the lay.

    3 balls later and they're 3.5!!

    6 - 5 - 4 - 4 and its now England who Im queuing a 1.1 lay at. That must be the quickest swing Ive ever seen.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4298

    Purely for information, the UAE v Bangla match went all the way to 1.01 twice before bouncing out to around 1.18 the first time and looks like 1.9 at the peak the second time! Either way, there was 2 clear 1.1 to 1.2 opportunities there too.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #4299

    Dont see the point in Dawson - has never done it in any game i've seen.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #4300

    England in a spot of bother here without any real recognised batters left...

    1 Reply Last reply
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