BTC Cricket Trading Thread

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@stuart-wallace 44 quid give or take on 2% commission

Stuart Wallace

Just thinking out loud here and trying to work out numbers....

If you lay 500 at 1.1 , your liability would be 50
if you exit at 1.05 then your loss is 25
if you Back at 1.2 and it gets taken, then what would your approx. profit be?.

Am i right with my Maffs ??!!

Stuart Wallace

@matt-ayles Wont be able to make Tuesday or Wednesday, coz of work, although might be able to get to 2nd innings of ENG v PAK - want to explore the 1.1 lay more.

Btw , are you getting your historic data purely from Betfair?

I know its a long way away but i am intending to take the whole of December off work, and i just noticed that, from 28th November and all December there are 8 Test matches being played ! Plus there is a plethora of BBL games on too. What fun !

What software do you use ? BetAngel?

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I think that’s the main thing I’ve taken from the last couple of days; patience. It’s always going to be tempting to lump on when a side is 60/70-0 after a power play in T20, hoping that a wicket falls and the lay drops. The 1.1 strategy appears to work extremely well and has legs, just need to keep a lid on it and be disciplined.

Martin

well done everyone! this thread is such a great example of how working together can make a good profit!

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@jonathan-busch agree with Nathan on this one. I much prefer to be patient and wait for the lay first as its much lower liability, and if it goes against you the losses are minimal. If you're doing the back first you either have high liability or low yield.

Classic example yesterday had you backed England needing just 9 runs off 12 balls before they lost 3 quick wickets you'd have been screwed.

Nathan Bennett

@jonathan-busch early always gets me in trouble ha. never back shorts as my first bet
hear what your saying tho about 1.3-1.15 and flipping

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@nathan-bennett

I thought Guyana 1.30 was a good entry point early in the match. Are you not tempted to get in earlier ie 1.30 - 1.15 or do you resist temptation, remain disciplined and hold out for 1.1

Or do both, and if it goes sub 1.1, go big and go hard (situation/time dependent)

*I used the sub-1.1 entry to get me out of the 1.3 trade which went south

Nathan Bennett

CPL
ROYALS WARRIORS
Matched 1.07-1.15 free rolling

Warriors chasing small total starting chase 1.15 if they go into 1.05 quickley i'll lay hard again

Nathan Bennett

@jonathan-busch best

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Re 1.1 trading

WI -W V NZ-W
WI touched 1.1 with still around 20 over to go and requiring 3 RPO, 7 wickets in hand: Plenty of time for a wobble

Drip layed everything under 1.1 using liability staking to drag the green down the lower the odds went

Got matched from 1.1 to 1.06 before the wobble happened (lost couple quick wickets) and got out at 1.2. Went out to 1.4 before coming back down again.

May look to use this as a staking plan for under 1.1 trading

150% ROI

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@stuart-wallace looks like there's a couple of days off now before the next instalment of T20s on Wednesday. (Unless UAE v Bangladesh calls to you).

Stuart Wallace

Thanks Matt and Nathan, really enjoyed today, was good to hear others views in a live environment.

Some things to ponder about today.

not to trade 2 games at once unless you have the necessary equipment.
not to gamble on trading markets you know nothing about.
Trading 1.1 lay to 1.2 back looks very promising to me, and something i intend to carry forward to next game(s).
some thoughts re 1.1 to 1.2 .... maybe only trade during certain overs of second innings ...maybe 12-18..... what do you think?
And as Matt says, only trade this on games between similar quality.

Good day lads...thanks,enjoyed it.

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@matt-ayles Stressful to say the least!

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Wow, what a crazy finish to a cricket game! You could have laid both teams at 1.03 in the final 2 overs and got matched! Went from England no chance, to England banker, to England all out in a matter of minutes. Managed to get 1 successful lay on there.

Ended this session +4 points, which I am really happy with. Thanks guys. Bring on the world cup!

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Laid 1.06, want 1.12

Matched

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Wow, was ready with my 1.1 lay when Pakistan hit 1.15, 2 boundaries later they're at 1.8! Massive swing, although I had no entered the lay.

3 balls later and they're 3.5!!

6 - 5 - 4 - 4 and its now England who Im queuing a 1.1 lay at. That must be the quickest swing Ive ever seen.

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Purely for information, the UAE v Bangla match went all the way to 1.01 twice before bouncing out to around 1.18 the first time and looks like 1.9 at the peak the second time! Either way, there was 2 clear 1.1 to 1.2 opportunities there too.

Stuart Wallace

Dont see the point in Dawson - has never done it in any game i've seen.

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England in a spot of bother here without any real recognised batters left...