BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Fraser-cord said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@Stephen-Hancox did the same in AUS vs IND.
Got some draws queued below 10 in SA vs SL too.
Might have jumped a little early but removed liability on the draw in SA vs SL with the wicket flurry just now.
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NZ ENG
ENG LAY 1.06 with 1/3rd of my green -
AUS IND
Suprised
Huge effort aus last night under lights won’t be
Still holding on to the lay cop it sweet if doesn’t turn back towards my entry
Will lay again 1.10 ish for a swing -
@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
AUS IND
AUS LAY BIG 1.3 happy to roll this aus to bat under lights won’t be easyHave you kept this in @Nathan-Bennett ?Appreciate the price cant drop much more but feel the best chance for wickets was at night, worried AUS get far ahead now so I came out.
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@Stephen-Hancox did the same in AUS vs IND.
Got some draws queued below 10 in SA vs SL too.
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Managed to LTD on NZ and Aus average 9. Removed liability already and will let them ride for now. Still being patient on SA match before entering.
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AUS IND
AUS LAY BIG 1.3 happy to roll this aus to bat under lights won’t be easy -
AUS IND
IND to score 196 or more
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Hmm pant out very next ball grrrr -
Working home soon
Just saw 1.38 NZ
Screw that
NZ LAY 1.38 is on
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Stake back NZ @1.8 bang now to hold till end INNS
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NZ have fought back price may not differ much till end inns now
Taken green
Good start
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RE LAYING NZ 1.69 till stumps
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NZ 2.12 will do for the days play for me
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GRRRRR Should of held ha -
Any thoughts on the draw price for NZ vs ENG. Trying to decide how far it could come in if the conditions are batter friendly like the reports suggest.
I definitely feel ENG aggressive style and scoring rate make a draw so unlikely, no weather issues and 1 draw in past 10 years which lost a day for rain.
Wondering if it gets to/below 5 with a few partnerships.
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Gosh this ENG approach is mental. Thought they might play with a little caution until the pitch flattens
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Just up, so it was wickets galore then. So much for this being a great batting deck and lots of runs from lunch onwards Alistair Cook
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AUS v IND W
AUS LAY 1.06 till end of INNS and or 1.12 for some back
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Useless team India ffs -
@Stephen-Hancox yeh can't see this going 5 days now. Forecast is 24 and sunny tomorrow. So I thought good day 3 batting and better batting day on day 4, this could get close with NZ capable to put up a decent score in favourable conditions. Clearly not.
Yet again, LTD proves profitable though.
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I managed to queue up and match some draw lays at average 9 overnight, looking good now, will let that ride as 2 days left and weather looks good.
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@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
NZ ENG
Time to LAY ENG me thinks
ENG LAY 1.68
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Also aborted this at a small loss for meantimeYesterday seems like a day of near misses. Was going to take some draw if it dipped below 7, nearly did.
But looked a decent day to bat so thought I'd wake up with Kiwi's ahead maybe 3 down. So plenty of opportunities to come on day 4.Instead, all but done unless something special comes from the tail.
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@Nathan-Bennett I miss a good bit of kiwi slang. Cheers for the memory
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NZ ENG
Time to LAY ENG me thinks
ENG LAY 1.68
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Also aborted this at a small loss for meantime -
NZ ENG
NZ LAY 1.46
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Taken some 2.08 NZ
Green up soon like my position
Probably when either pope brook in the 90’s
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Greened up 2.42 NZ
Happy with this after two daysNZ dropping catches mental
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NEK MINNIT PHILLIPS CATCH OF THE YEAR -
SA SRI
Feel obliged here 1.04 looks stupid
SA LAY 1.04
Stake back at 1.08 for sure -
NZ ENG
DRAW BACKED @15.5 av price
Flip @8’s thinking
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Chipped away drip lays before second wicket
Decided that will do first hour
Take the cash
Greened @12
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NZ LAY 1.61
Hopefully see 2.2’s before ENG bat be nice -
I'm struggling to read draw markets at the moment. Generally any starting price above 10 is high, but of late we are getting them 15+. But my bigger concern is how slowly they are dropping into single figures.
Last AUS test was wild but would expect draw to come in from 5 overs onwards if no wickets fall. But was instances of ENG vs WI in the summer when it didn't move at all after 15 despite WI scoring very slowly. I see NZ draw has come in quite a bit today. I backed the AUS draw in 1st test expecting the same and it shot out. So not confident what will happen.
Only move I'm certain on is LTD if no weather issues. Just trying to find an acceptable price incase things go wrong. I always aim for 5.0 but am definitely pricing myself out. So going to be increasing that given how high the draw keeps trading.
Thought WI vs BAN had a genuine chance at a draw but after 3 days was still trading at 7 despite little to suggest wickets would come, and was still over with ages to spare. And that venue is draw central.
Hope I'm wrong but maybe the markets starting to realise draws so unlikely.
