BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
didnt realise the game is at Cairns, a little snippet from Cricinfo...
' After some recent rain, the forecast is warm and sunny, but the pitch has been under cover a bit which could mean some early life with Finch expecting a challenge against the new ball.' -
Just found an article stating that 50% of D/N ODIs are won batting first, 45% second with the other 5% washed out/tied etc.
Both Australia and NZ however have more wins bowling first (all the other countries except England win more batting first). However as you rightly say @Stuart-Wallace every single country has a high percentage of choosing to bat first if winning the toss.
If Oz bat first, do we expect Finch to suddenly find form or is an early wicket quite likely?
Interestingly i think both sides have tremendous bowling attacks, but are maybe a touch light in batters? Off I go to investigate recent batter form...
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@matt-ayles yep, thats a high percentage of draws though.
Oval tends to be a flatter track than other grounds, and thats my main concern, especially after the weather we have had this summer.
Might execute my plan of laying SA , with expectations of SA batting first regardless of toss, and the cloud cover providing some swing for Jimmy. Then possibly back out after 30 overs when the Duke ball gets easier, as has been the situation all summer. -
@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
whats the views on ENG v SA.?
LTD currently sitting at 3.75.
Weather looking dodge on day 1 - but will be easily caught up with.37 draws in 103 tests at the Oval, potential rain on 3 of the days (albeit small percentages)... however only 1 draw in the last 12 matches gives hope. Plus Bazball suggests you'd get a result if 4 days got washed out lol.
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@stuart-wallace very interesting.
I am just writing up my trading plan for the game and it seems there's an awful lot of sitting on the fence... if that proves to be correct then Australia are too short a price. Can see the series being 2-1 either way so should be closer to 1.8 for Oz? (Currently 1.5).
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@matt-ayles Hi Matt, yes me too - off all last week just chilling.
Would have thought that win the toss and bat - tougher batting under lights and not much dew in Oz to make it tougher for bowling second. -
Some excellent cricket to look forward to in the week ahead. Took last week off whilst on holiday with the family but welcomed back to a whole mixture including top international matches in all 3 formats.
Currently researching tomorrow's early action in the form of the first ODI between Oz v NZ. Not a huge amount to go on regarding the pitch but plenty of recent rain, and the fact it's a day/night suggests to me you want to win the toss and bowl...
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whats the views on ENG v SA.?
LTD currently sitting at 3.75.
Weather looking dodge on day 1 - but will be easily caught up with. -
this cpl been a real mess weather wise
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@sameer get something out of it ?
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Hope some are on the aus lay dead rubber game … #theorys
greened up ages ago will lay zim 1.10 ish surely aus get a couple wickets
BOOM
IM BACK
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CPL st lucia vs TKR 1.25 lay for me before a bowl even bowled
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arrr the CPL is back
more cricket bang -
@tom-david-1 oh well the old dead rubber game 3 to go . my take away from game is what pu$$y finch is ha
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@nathan-bennett that one was a nightmare, I'd had a few drinks so didn't get involved but would have done similar. All wrapped up very quickly!
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@tom-david-1 agree 100%. Afghans have the ability to get a big score and are massively underrated too. Can't picture Bangladesh getting anything above average in T20.
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AUS ZIM
ZIM Backed over 203.5 runs
And
Lay AUS 1.03 want 1.06 for stake out6 letters
$&@“ me
HaInvolved too soon oh well couldn’t resist
And
Finch is a knob for entertainment value bowl first -
@andy Hi mate, yes would definitely have put Afghanistan at faves before the off, the only problem is that both teams have the capacity to be awful. They were an easy back in play at 3.5 on the chase though.
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AFG BANG
Regardless of toss bias, anyone else have Afghanistan favs against Bangladesh? I don't understand these odds pre toss. -
ZIM AUS
1.03 LOOKS RIDICULOUS
have layed want 1.06 take stake out assess end inns green or not if matchedjoke finish i'd do it again and again
