BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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u10's piece of cricket that by Kane
Nice for the draw lay tho thanks -
@Stuart-Wallace just reading this . i've re layed more at change of INNS here
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day 5 the rain day if any -
AFG v IRE - got a large lay on IRE at 1.61. Seems like pitch is playing easier, and also IRE have to bat last on maybe day 4 when spin gets to be problematic.
Also, took out all my liability on LTD (all for 5 pounds !) -
@Nathan-Bennett any views on LTD which is, imo, incredible value at 5.2. However,possible weather later?
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NZ AUS
Was busy working to message
But draw lay in the 2's was pretty much a dont think just bet lay -
@Stuart-Wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
AFG V IRE going nicely already for LTD - already up to 34 !
So much for spinners taking the wickets - all 7 of AFG wickets to fall have been to seamers.
so much for AFG batting 1st and doing anything. The draw shot up to 9.0 pre off so i waited for the 1st hour expecting a tumble, but not quite that fast, by the time i checked, draw was already too high.
Lesson for next time, just queue at 5, game was never ending in a draw rather than waiting for better odds incase AFG actually got a start.
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I filled up on LTD too. Waiting for low odds either team to scalp a bit using the green
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AFG V IRE going nicely already for LTD - already up to 34 !
So much for spinners taking the wickets - all 7 of AFG wickets to fall have been to seamers.
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@Fraser-cord UAE always a spinners paradise - dry, dusty pitches.
I notice this is being played at Tolerance Oval which seems to be a different ground to the usual Abu Dhabi ground - however you would expect similar pitch conditions.
/looking at the other grounds Test results, there has been 1 draw in 10 Tests. Although looking at last 2 games there, AFG scored 540-4 in first innings but all out for 180ish in first innings in 2nd - and they were just a week apart !
Ultimately, my view is that IRE will be blown away by mystery spinners.
If AFG bat first then could see draw price contracting somewhat, however if IRE bat first then lump on LTD. IMO. -
@Stuart-Wallace Initially looked well ahead and saw days 4/5 in some rain threat but seams to of eased a fraction, hoped for a market stuff up and draw to high but seems on the mark early . I'll be in touch with my old man whos close ish to the city get a brief on weather . radar as per be greatest guide
I suspect when footage first shows pitch we'll see mass green . draw could spike however maybe chances to back to lay draw if gets too high when green wears off and potential for batting to become easier (non more so when NZ beat ENG after being forced to follow on-thought would bring that up ha) so .., if any rain forecast on or from the middle days say 2/3 draw could become real
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A def early watch / observation of play before entries me think -
@Stuart-Wallace market is up now, draw comparable to the NZ test.
Does anyone know much about AFG or IRE in tests, or this UAE pitch?
If weather holds, seems unlikely both sides can bat for 5 days. I'm guessing the AFG spinners could be quite dangerous?
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NZ v AUS at Wellington on Wednesday - LTD looking low(in comparison to recent matches) at moment at 6ish. Could this be down to possibility of Rain on days 1 and 5? (however, most Test dont reach day 5 nowadays). @Nathan-Bennett you're the Kiwi expert.
Just 1 draw from last 10 games at Wellington.
Is Kane W fit?
The market for next IND v ENG game is up on BF , however, the AFG v IRE Test this wednesday isnt ! EDIT: it now is and LTD currently 9 -
Managed to get lay on India at 1.02 - out at 1.1.
However, also managed to turn an overnight big Green to a medium Green when i lost my nerve at 3 down - could have been worse, i suppose.
But, a Green is a green. I've struggled with trading the IND v ENG Tests (whilst being very profitable with the white-ball stuff, paradoxically), and this is probably my first green of series! -
Yes on the low low IND lay
This is awesome
Taken a truck load back after that 5th wicket
Free rolling plenty
Green up if Eng 1.2’s ish -
India have to be worth a little lay at 1.09. Nothing much to lose and plenty to gain if the ball starts to behave as it did yesterday during the morning session.
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@Stephen-Hancox yeah and you know India will be short odds unless chasing 400+
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Yeah quick wickets have shifted things again in India's favour. If we can dig in and get as much over a 200 lead as we can then we may still be in it
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@Stephen-Hancox hoping England can bat a while as we will get a nice lay price on India if so, not that hopeful though!
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last few wickets have put India slightly on top now. So I'm just sitting tight now. Plenty of twists to come I reckon.
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England are in a decent position here with that 1st innings lead. With the lead I've just entered a few times with England priced over 2 and removed liability when hit under 2.
