BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Stuart-Wallace hard to say tumbling in as we speak
1.8-1.7 maybe -
If rain does wash out the first day, how low do you think price could go?
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Centurion (from cricinfo)...
Known for being one of the quicker pitches in South Africa, it also gives plenty of opportunity to batsmen, with the ball generally coming onto the bat. It has never been seen as a spinners paradise. The outfield is level, lush and fast with a drainage system on par with any in the world.In the last SA v IND test in 2021, only 2 wickets were taken by spinners.
In the last 19 Tests, there has been 1 draw at Centurion.
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@Fraser-cord said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
BIG BASH
SUB 1.10 layers filling againTried this today on SA vs Bang, SA hit 1.09 inside 12 overs. Price didnt move for another 25 overs plus (Just sitting waiting on the wicket that had to come......and didn't, great time to find a 200+ opening stand FFS).
Let it run in the hope Bang at least made an attempt at chasing, 2 down inside 2 overs. Oh well
Ouch.
I tend to only get involved in the 1.1 lay when the teams are evenly matched -
Having lived in Joburg for a while, I am steering clear of LTD for a while in that game.
Weather looking reasonably good in Melb, likelihood of rain is small.
There has been 2 draws at Melb in last 24 matches. -
Wow centurion weather bringing draw market right in
Mate in Melb said currently not great perhaps when wake in morning covers maybe on .., 5mil expected in and around the G tmr
rest test could be sweet -
Anyone in the know with the weather for MCG and Centurion over the coming days. The online forcast is suggesting rain for both tests at points, could make trading a little more of a challenge.
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@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
IND AUS W
Day 4 thoughts anyoneFeels like another missed opportunity. How many times does this happen in tests, flurry of wickets towards the end and we get a result. Expected a bit more from AUS initially but as soon as the 1st couple went, only every going 1 way.
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IND AUS W
Day 4 thoughts anyone -
@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
BIG BASH
SUB 1.10 layers filling againTried this today on SA vs Bang, SA hit 1.09 inside 12 overs. Price didnt move for another 25 overs plus (Just sitting waiting on the wicket that had to come......and didn't, great time to find a 200+ opening stand FFS).
Let it run in the hope Bang at least made an attempt at chasing, 2 down inside 2 overs. Oh well
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I greened up early today and glad that i did. Hard to know what way this will go, so happy I cashed out.
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this a really tricky decision re IND v AUS.
do i green up for a small green or let it run and risk losing for a smaller red.greened up
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well tests are still the best
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IND AUS W
Balls on the line here
LAY IND
Like AUS Batting at mo
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Wow draw almost hit evens before wicket
sick
…
Luck on side this time just got lay in in time
DRAW LAY now -
BIG BASH
SUB 1.10 layers filling again -
I got a couple of LTD matched this morning below 4.0, taken it all out at end of innings.
Will see how AUS start, if draw goes below 3 will likely go back in, will need to bat until the end, or close to it now unless they score really quickly. Seems unlikely.
And every wicket that falls should give a chance of an exit if they are looking untroubled with the pitch.
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AUS IND W
IND LAY is on 1.65
Would like 2.2's for the trade before spin ha
..
done with that lay Spin is on -
AUS IND W
Probably lay draw everything i've got as impending declaration happens bound to drift and take a profit there
and then with 25% green will lay IND for a period
Have to believe AUS will be better than the 2/7 ish start first INNS
Pitch is fucked yes
Will aim to green if happens prior to spin probably -
@Stuart-Wallace im a little on guard. Expected more wickets today. But wouldnt be the 1st time in tests that this happens then there's a flurry on the next morning.
Not willing to LTD again yet, reckon it will drop below 5 quite early tomorrow if there's no flurry of wickets. For me, need to see when AUS bat again and what time is left/ runs needed. Thats when the draw will move if AUS start well. I only have a small green right now so not going to do anything rash.
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whats the thoughts on IND V AUS?
I greened up at 3 down as pitch was looking easy to bat on.
but IND likely to get 250+ lead by lunch - can AUS bat 5 sessions to save match?
Lets say they get 100 ahead by 4 sessions .
Then IND have 100 to chase in final sesh.
Also be aware that should there be a declaration (unlikely with 7 wickets down) but if they get 300 lead by begin 2nd sesh then declare could be in order, which will affect prices.
