BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Yeh it's still a difficult one to fully read.
For AUS win, has to be time to score 500 + at 3-4 an over. Hence I need India to keep batting, and make that impossible. Only way draw gets back close to 10 and swaps places with AUS win price.
If it looks like AUS have time to chase, their odds will definitely drop. Like most chases this big, true odds and actual odds very different so definitely a margin of value. I'd be nervous on AUS win at too big a price though, would probably want it 6/7. Wonder how low it would get with a 40-0 start?
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I missed the overnight draw price, but I'm interested in the Aus win price. A wicket or 2 soon and goes below 10 then the chase is a tough ask isn't it
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Any ideas how low the draw went. Got matched at 12. Looks like that India mid order collapse might have ruined my chance at a big green there, about break even as things stand.
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AUS IND
Appears to be negative bowling by aus to limit run scoring till new ball
Draw coming in
Unreal from trading as high as 1000Ok
Having a IND LAY at the price 1.16
Want 1.4's be superb -
I'm waiting for draw price below 10 to lay again. I need to get involved with the 8 down trades.
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@Nathan-Bennett cheers. Yeh makes sense, if India bat most of tomorrow (hopefully into day 4), will be well over 400 ahead, almost impossible for an AUS win. Draw has to come in as AUS win goes out.
Side note, overs came in again 8 down for WI. They are experts at it.
Was going to go in 9 down too, target 451, but got distracted, just aswell, they declared at 450! -
@Fraser-cord pitch will get worse under the 34 degree heat conditions
hoping IND bat and bat and bat would love them to be batting into early day 4
Surely anything in single figures just start drip lay / monitor -
I backed the draw at 20 before the start, realised what was happening and tried to withdraw at 20 early on day 1. And the 2nd wicket fell during the 5 second betfair delay of my cash out. Couldn't believe it. So just left it and gave up on the cash as wickets went. Amazed where it's at now as I get up today.
Going to hold it and hope the draw dips into green now.
Wish I was able to see all those other angles, real skill indeed @Nathan-Bennett.
Any thoughts on how low the draw could get @Stephen-Hancox/ @Nathan-Bennett
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@Nathan-Bennett Draw price could come in loads, still 3 days left and likely scoreboard pressure, so could be a big opportunity then
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@Stephen-Hancox Cheers
Yeah and mass players for IND to come back into squadDoes the draw get silly low late tmr ?
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@Nathan-Bennett good skills Nathan. All happened overnight for me, so missed the opportunity. Looks worrying for Australia.
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AUS IND
GREENED ALL for now -
AUS IND
DRAW BACK @190 small will lay the lot against @80-90’s
Try double money
Steaming in looks better easier to bat on
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Gees that happened fast so only took stake out @90 monitor now if gets to 50’s green up and same if gets back out to 200-250 take the small green
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Ok any green on draw side now LAY all
Handy lil swing
Now
Backed AUS @4 see what happens -
AUS IND
AUS to score 112 or more
Small bet 25 on
May go again when 8 down small
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89 was the line when Carey got out missed placing bet -
AUS IND
AUS Massive lay 1.21
Jagged price among chaos
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On ya bike smith
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Taken some 1.92 BOOOOOOOM -
AUS IND
Eyes on AUS LAY at the price but not for at least an hour
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Need IND 225+ me thinks for draw angle else curtains
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No benefit of the doubt from 3rd umpire
Crazy scenes
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Didn't post but went runs over after 8th wicket . Need 151 come on something
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Just f$%k off haha some luck but ultimately reemed ha -
@Tony-Hastie very nice, I was born in Ayr but in Fife now. Totally understand, never saw any snow growing up.
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@Fraser-cord West coast of Scotland here(the mighty 'Shire) Dont tend to get a lot of snow normally, being coastal, especially this early. Kids are happy though
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@Tony-Hastie tropical 2°C in Scotland too.
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@Nathan-Bennett about time tests are back. Feels like 2 steps forward, 2 steps back with trading ODI/T20's.
Appreciate the insight, can't see the draw getting to the usual acceptable range to lay, was wondering how high I should go. This is very helpful as il need to queue and hope it matches. Totally agree, 18.5 seems really high. Win the toss and bat in every match here, been runs on day 1 each time too.
Reluctant to touch WI vs BAN until I see what's happening. BAN seem in disarray but the Caribbean has a habit of draws, weather suggesting rain at points too.
