BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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I’m currently visiting Santa with my 5 year old boy, so just keeping my eye on what’s happening.
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Also eye on PAK if keep trimming to lay
that is sick a LAY processing babar out
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FWIW draw back was 50@70 since lay back 50@36
see what happens with that equity if got stupid low lay entire value of that draw green
the robots are steaming this in
be a bit to do with time and current run rate of PAK and a perceived lead they may have
#obviousLAYING some draw @14
1700 equity prior really helps this high
if no wickets from now till tea could be looking at single figures and will LAY the restif somehow heads into 5-4's well then the serious loading could happen
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@luke-weston agree with you for sure in regards to how it'll move with a good Pakistan session and the position you'd be in.
Eng will chase which makes it even more sure for me.
In terms of value I just think the market is so far out when it comes to the result. Only rain forecast should have it anywhere near 40s
I'm new though! So just putting my musings out there!
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@gavin-rumsey
You are probably correct. For me, I wouldn’t want to make that big a call with so much time left in the game. If PAK were to bat a full session with no wickets you could be looking at a big red screen in a few hours time, then it’s squeaky bum time. What price would the draw be if it’s 250/3 at the end of play?I’m not averse to a low odds value bet (I backed India at 1.05 in the last test with Bang needing 250+ with 4 wickets in hand overnight), but I prefer not to put myself in that position too often.
Greened out on this morning’s trade, want to see what happens after lunch.
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In terms of long run of the game I can't believe market has the draw at 40's still. It's big liability but it's layable at pretty much any price and 40 is so so short
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some legs in the draw market me thinks
small back @70's
lay that back in the 30's -
Woke up late. Plan was to lay Pak for early wickets. Anything over 150 could be tricky to chase so will look to enter with a lay of eng if a partnership develops.
Edit: got in at 1.6 (fomo!). Looking for 2.0 to remove liability. Don’t want to stay in too long,
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BANG ENG wickets loving life
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PAK ENG
GOING WELL Spewing pak didn’t get up towards 3-$4 yday for big green
Eye on there odds today if twos on def be looking to de lay 1.5 ish mark -
AUS SA
Notice how AUS 34/4 to get the winning runs
Still no matter how bad SA batting still think window of laying aus large for a period can prove profitable -
Dripping out slowly my PAK 1.56 lay would love 4’s PAK for huge fill
Frustrating haha now gotta wait 2 days
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles 1.23 think best annoying
Yeah looks around there. Never mind mate, that's trading. I should have entered earlier at lower than i did.
My cricket trading is going really well though so one loss is fine! Wouldn't mind England getting s few more runs mind!
Going away for a few days this afternoon so I'll be limited trading... got the womens t20s which have been a gold mine so far, otherwise i may have to stick to the tests as they're not as time consuming.
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@matt-ayles 1.23 think best annoying
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Just woken up... what is going on in cricket right now? SA test all over already? Can't believe they didn't get anywhere near the 1.3 i was after.
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PAK LAY 1.56
Frustrating ENG today grr
Run out cowboys -
Taken stake back @1.21 on last nights aus lay
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Can’t see Aus price shifting much now. Heading to bed. SA need to get their act together to get some more value in this match.
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I think i'm right in saying that SA have won the last 3 series in AUS ?
However, they no longer have the likes of Smith,Amla,ABDV,Kallis,Steyn,Philander,Boucher plus a few others i have probably forgotten. When you consider in that era they could also have had KP playing for them, and in todays era the likes of Conway and Labushagne, it shows what a power house SA could have and might well still have become. Also, still producing the likes of Dewalt Brevis now, along with a plethora of quick bowlers. -
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
someone talk to me about SA batting line up
is it any good haSA batting thin - only Elgar and VDD with any real resilience. Opposite to bowling which has a real good feel to it , and variety too, maybe no substance spinner, but might not need it on this wicket.
AUS 1.13 at this stage is a steal imo, still behind, 5 wickets down, might only make a 50 run lead and having to bat last ? - gonna have a Lay on them, and keep some in play once i can take a bit of green.
