BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@stuart-wallace-0
Weather?
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Now it's Xmas in the UK too, so a very merry xmas one and all!
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Everyone getting there Xmas stocking filled in BANG v IND
Absolutely. Very productive lay at the start of the chase!
Presume NZ/Aus are past midnight so Merry Xmas all those out that way.
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Everyone getting there Xmas stocking filled in BANG v IND
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@andy said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Anyone trading well v Otago? I'll be looking at overs in the run market. I think Wellington should be north of 170 today.
Scratched out
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Anyone trading well v Otago? I'll be looking at overs in the run market. I think Wellington should be north of 170 today.
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@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@gavin-rumsey you'll find that India odds wont move that much in most games regardless.
A resolute huge backing all the time?
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@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
big lay 1.09. looking for 1.19 exit.
Bottled out at 1.15 - worried about the India effect/bias.
Funnily enough I did the same a while ago at 1.14.
Odds weren't shifting much at all and I thought there'd be a chance of a tail end partnership staying in for enough to hold the odds low.
Added more to my ltd draw earlier at high odds and letting it ride. High liability but seeing India struggle to really take hold of an innings gave me confidence Bang won't do enough to get runs on the board for a draw to be an option
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two lays happy to do for double the odds
LAY SCORCHERS 1.1 want 1.22
will re lay 1.05 want 1.10 if happens -
LAYING IND 1.29 after that Pujara wicket and lunch 6 overs away ish
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NZ W Domestic comp chasing team went under 1.10 now they are 2.10
This could be a fruitful comp to follow -
dont like this current IND price
massive lay @1.2Happy 1.27 IND took stake back that lay
Banggreened up IND 1.2
waiting for later now
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@gavin-rumsey never mind. Happens!
Small stakes. No panic
Did better than the thunder!
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@gavin-rumsey never mind. Happens!
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Getting involved now at 1.03, hoping Williams can get bat on ball at least!
Or gets out LBW for a duck...
hmm. Could be a whitewash coming here.Capitulated
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Getting involved now at 1.03, hoping Williams can get bat on ball at least!
Or gets out LBW for a duck...
hmm. Could be a whitewash coming here. -
Another thing i do is check the graph for odds ranges. If you're thinking a T20 side is "flying" and can only come down in price, check the graph. If they're currently sat at the lowest price they've ever been it's tempting to be a mug punter and lump on (follow the money)... however that hardly ever works in T20s. If i see a team is at an all time low, especially in the first innings, cos they've had a strong powerplay for example, you're better to lay, or wait for the price to drift back out.
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@gavin-rumsey said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Eng women opening up at 1.1 for a lay right now
WI chosen to bat first.
So far this series I have done well. First match laid at 1.08 to 1.16, second one was 1.04 lay and i split the backs between 1.08 and 1.12 just for a bit extra. Other 2 i didn't get involved just due to the timing.
Windies unlikely to win so you're pretty safe putting all profits on the England side of the market and scratching the Windies.
Windies lineup is not at full strength though. I'll wait a couple of overs as if Matthews falls the odds will fly in.
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Eng women opening up at 1.1 for a lay right now
WI chosen to bat first.
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@gavin-rumsey its personal preference but i have 2 approaches.
My number 1 rule with my cricket trading is i have to be following it - e.g. live commentary on espn minimum. Not just in the background, but actively focused on it.
Once that's established its one of these 2 styles:
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if just following commentary, queue the back to give me the profit i desire, usually a minimum of 50% stake (e.g. £20 liability, £10 profit at worst)
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if watching the match live, I'll have betfair up on my phone so i can make a call based on what i can see happening and then exit when i want.
I do all my trading on my phone, no software etc.
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