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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #2601

    Catching up on the chat
    Always learning
    Look back to look forward
    Recent
    NZ PAK
    only regret was when I identified a green light lay didn’t re mortgage and lay the crap out of the draw
    Became obvious toward end NZ second INNS they were about to declare when Mitchell came out to back
    First ball reverse sweep HELLO !!!!
    Draw was around 1.44
    5 balls later declaration Draw 1.90
    This time of the game and lay got me roughly 80% of my winnings
    Something to think about at times considering effort put in daily
    Early days aim to build towards a possible green light situation before determining final trades and position want to take on the outcome

    And with this lay there was very minimal risk maybe 5-10c if no declaration and market shifted against the lay

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #2602

    @matt-ayles I agree with you on laying low after the first innings. I am new on this platform and also new to cricket trading. I have been using this strategy on BBL and its working fine for me.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2603

    @stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @stuart-wallace-0 I've considered laying both sides at 1.1, and this certainly would have landed on occasion. However what i don't know is whether that would land enough to be profitable long term. Would need researching.

    IPL isn't far away.

    25th March to 28th May !! - got 2 more teams i believe this season .

    Interesting concept (1.1 lay on both sides).

    1.1 does come in sometimes, when the market thinks a team can't lose after the first innings but they do... although I'm not confident about it as a viable strategy, i think laying low after the first innings is the way forward.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2604

    @matt-ayles I really wanted to try and track the lowest odds of both teams in play over the bbl.

    But I couldn't be available to odds watch every game!

    I did play about a bit in getting past data off Betfair but didn't get far enough to actually work out how to open it in clear readable format.

    Would be very interesting and possibly give a clear odds range that a pre match lay might profitable at

    If time allows at some point I'd be tempted to dig into it further

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2605

    @stuart-wallace-0 I've considered laying both sides at 1.1, and this certainly would have landed on occasion. However what i don't know is whether that would land enough to be profitable long term. Would need researching.

    IPL isn't far away.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2606

    @stuart-wallace-0 you should check out this thread

    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3923/fairbot-automation-discussion

    There has already been a go at automating the 1:1 i believe (although i dont really understand Cricket yet to have had a look hence starting to follow this thread)

    There are a few horse racing ones there already and people have been happy to help when ive been trying to learn automation

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2607

    Yep, lots learnt this first month and a half.

    Not been easy with the tests being through the night.

    I've made losses overall so far on t20s swing trading. Keep hitting low odd lays but not getting a swing back up. Plenty of overs left too but just ok the wrong games.

    Think I need to try and be a bit more confident following my gut earlier in games at more around 1.4 ish lays as I've followed plenty and been 'calling' them right.

    Eng in NZ will be interesting. Often good batting wickets but sure we will see some results with the current approach

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2608

    @stuart-wallace-0 yeah my frustration comes as i had green on the draws but dropped it down to zero on low draw lays hoping for big big profit.

    Anyway, another win in the BBL today helps.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2609

    Those 2 test draws were incredibly frustrating for me and i need to start locking in i guess.

    Both of them traded nicely, and had 10 points potentially across the 2 results, but because I flipped the green from the draw to the result thinking it would increase profit, i ended up with 2 scratches.

    Greed i guess.

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    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #2610

    Backing overs here on thunder. Got another waiting at 148. I'll start laying from 180.

    Grim start. Both matched so I'll start laying 165

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #2611

    WinViz has Aussies at 57% to win the match. It needs a serious talking to 😄

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #2612

    Amazing that if SA draw this match it will be their first draw in 47 Test matches.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #2613

    anyone else having another dig
    LAY 1.04
    back 1.2 ish assess

    bonus funds from my small back bets SA runs line going on this recent lay

    75% back bet 1.12 on that 1.04 lay

    bang !!! lets go 4/45 again SA ha

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    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2614

    Auckland have been a pretty safe unders play so far. I've had matched lays at 180 and 170

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    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #2615

    come on SA avoid follow on and declare
    then AUS bat 5 overs declare
    #scripts

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #2616

    AUCK W
    BACKED more @11

    poor

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #2617

    far out Carey

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2618

    New ball in a few overs. Might bring about a few

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #2619

    Draw was down to about 1.13 ish

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    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #2620

    Turned channel BACK AUCK WOMAN

    Did I miss a 1.10 ish draw lay grrrrrr

    Come on poles now new batter to get set

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