BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Waiting for renegades to hit 160 run line (wishful thinking) and I'll start laying.
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@stuart-wallace-0 yeh fair comment. My take on NZ is that they would risk losing a match in order to try and win which is great, as would the new England. Not sure Pak would.
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How much money can be made in tenth wicket partnerships ha
Seems to be hardest wicket to get at times -
@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Given their current price around 2.5, how high do we think NZ odds will go? Even if Pakistan bat until close on day 3?
Do we think NZ will be the only team to push a result with a declaration in their 2nd inning to give a sporting chance, unlike PAK last test who gave nothing. With that said it's hard to see NZ winning despite runs in the board? Is that wrong?
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Given their current price around 2.5, how high do we think NZ odds will go? Even if Pakistan bat until close on day 3?
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@andy surely !!!
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We thinking Pak will bat, bat and bat? I'm gonna lay NZ
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SYDNEY can be flukey
I have no solid opinion
Backed draw 6.4 to assess as play goes on etc
Usually spinners deck especially day 4&5
If delays in play Lyon may not be as affective ??
SA may go with an extra batter (prob should go with 11 ha)
I’m hoping for some extra effort by the SA batsmen and delays for this draw to plunge -
@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
AUS v SA - Weather looking really poor for first 4 days - any reports from you AUS based guys ?
#justathought.... ok, price is high, but worth to keep an eye on 1st hour , if AUS are batting, and get to 40 unscathed, with the likelihood of weather interruptions, i am likely to lump a Lay SA - any thoughts on my madness? Thought being that if there is going to be a result then its only going to be AUS win or draw due to weather.
SCG BTW, has one of the highest ratios of draws (5 out of last 8 have been draws), along with Lords,Antigua and Karachi, and AUS have lost just once there in last 20 years.
It always rains in Sydney. From what I can see day 2, 4, and 5 look ok. I think day 2 and 4 will have rain but I think mostly not during play.
My initial thought was to lay draw after day 1 after rain and the forecast for more during the night. Hope there's a fair bit of play day 2 and trade out. Do the same day 3 on rain delay and look at a result.
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles NZ 1.7ish eyeing big big lay
Not sure we're gonna get this low now.
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NZ PAK
Now not so convinced how short NZ price go first INNS
taken some green all be it small for nowstill look to lay NZ toward end first INNS
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LAYING HURRICANES 1.28
Re laying 1.12
Stake back on the 1.12 lay @1.20another wicket couple dot balls be huge
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Lay Pak at 3 and took some out at 6. Hopefully let that run until end of NZ innings
Then looking to lay NZ under 2 -
@matt-ayles NZ 1.7ish eyeing big big lay
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
NZ PAK
DRAW be 1.01 tonight hahaBacked NZ 2.48
Certainly looks like another flat track already.
Now, last test I made a loss because I laid the draw far too high and it never got near it again, and I said on here something like "laying Pakistan after the first innings was the call". Therefore, assuming it follows a similar trend, I'll say now, laying NZ after their innings should be the right call... hopefully this rings true, mistakes are learnt from, and in 5 days time I'll be talking about a nice green number.
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NZ PAK
DRAW be 1.01 tonight hahaBacked NZ 2.48
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@jonathan-busch last over chaos was awesome
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Otago another loser (actually tied) after hitting 1.1 in Supersmash
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Any Sydney weather gurus for AUS SA
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
PAK NZ
I am absolutely keeping an eye on dominant favs odds on in first INNS for a massive lay if happens
Especially if it’s a road earlyYeh I'll look to lay the fielding side 1st dig
