BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Nathan Bennett

SYDNEY can be flukey
I have no solid opinion
Backed draw 6.4 to assess as play goes on etc
Usually spinners deck especially day 4&5
If delays in play Lyon may not be as affective ??
SA may go with an extra batter (prob should go with 11 ha)
I’m hoping for some extra effort by the SA batsmen and delays for this draw to plunge

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@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

AUS v SA - Weather looking really poor for first 4 days - any reports from you AUS based guys ?

#justathought.... ok, price is high, but worth to keep an eye on 1st hour , if AUS are batting, and get to 40 unscathed, with the likelihood of weather interruptions, i am likely to lump a Lay SA - any thoughts on my madness? Thought being that if there is going to be a result then its only going to be AUS win or draw due to weather.

SCG BTW, has one of the highest ratios of draws (5 out of last 8 have been draws), along with Lords,Antigua and Karachi, and AUS have lost just once there in last 20 years.

It always rains in Sydney. From what I can see day 2, 4, and 5 look ok. I think day 2 and 4 will have rain but I think mostly not during play.

My initial thought was to lay draw after day 1 after rain and the forecast for more during the night. Hope there's a fair bit of play day 2 and trade out. Do the same day 3 on rain delay and look at a result.

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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@matt-ayles NZ 1.7ish eyeing big big lay

Not sure we're gonna get this low now.

Nathan Bennett

NZ PAK
Now not so convinced how short NZ price go first INNS
taken some green all be it small for now

still look to lay NZ toward end first INNS

Nathan Bennett

LAYING HURRICANES 1.28

Re laying 1.12
Stake back on the 1.12 lay @1.20

another wicket couple dot balls be huge

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Lay Pak at 3 and took some out at 6. Hopefully let that run until end of NZ innings
Then looking to lay NZ under 2

Nathan Bennett

@matt-ayles NZ 1.7ish eyeing big big lay

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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

NZ PAK
DRAW be 1.01 tonight haha

Backed NZ 2.48

Certainly looks like another flat track already.

Now, last test I made a loss because I laid the draw far too high and it never got near it again, and I said on here something like "laying Pakistan after the first innings was the call". Therefore, assuming it follows a similar trend, I'll say now, laying NZ after their innings should be the right call... hopefully this rings true, mistakes are learnt from, and in 5 days time I'll be talking about a nice green number.

Nathan Bennett

NZ PAK
DRAW be 1.01 tonight haha

Backed NZ 2.48

Nathan Bennett

@jonathan-busch last over chaos was awesome

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Otago another loser (actually tied) after hitting 1.1 in Supersmash

Nathan Bennett

Any Sydney weather gurus for AUS SA

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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

PAK NZ
I am absolutely keeping an eye on dominant favs odds on in first INNS for a massive lay if happens
Especially if it’s a road early

Yeh I'll look to lay the fielding side 1st dig

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@stuart-wallace-0 exactly what I had picked out earlier when reading.

I'd like to think both teams will want to try and win the series...

If the new ball gets seen off i think there could still be first innings runs to be had.

For now I'm staying out and will see what I wake up too. Happy to take higher lay odds later if the evidence is there that wickets will continue to fall over the test

Nathan Bennett

@bruce-lum so many things can say about this strategy
The easiest one is
Don’t think just bet
Or
one thing before joining I heard a lot from the guys was to
observe the market sit on your hands and learn how it reacts etc get a feel an understanding for human behaviour , and for when the market hits these 1.10 areas what it takes for it to spike to a 1.20 or 1.30 like a wicket then a couple of dot balls , or a 6 hit followed by quick twos or another boundary
Overtime learning the players and the state of match will be a key aswell to help support yourself applying the strategy with even more confidence (that would go for any entry point and any odds)
There’s no exact science as to when you get out of a trade after entering , will eventually come down to what you feel is right and what your happy with
Feel free to private msg myself or any of the guys on here pick our brains all learn together
So so much can be said

Greatest thing I love around these entries is how much you can get set for
Millions of dollars floating around
It’s the best

Nathan Bennett

PAK NZ
I am absolutely keeping an eye on dominant favs odds on in first INNS for a massive lay if happens
Especially if it’s a road early

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@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

How does everyone feel about the 1.1 strategy ?

Do you agree with my comment about it works (to 1.2 at least) 8 times out of 10 ?

Any thoughts / improvements? Applause to @Nathan-Bennett and @matt-ayles who have driven this forward - think this could be a real go-to strategy if it isnt already.

I just recently found out about this strategy from this forum.

I would be interested in hearing about other traders' views on the following:

do you hedge out of the position or leave the profit on the favourite?
are there any situations where you would not lay at 1.10, e.g. late in the second innings.
do you always lay at 1.10 and exit at 1.20, or are there times when you will extend the exit above 1.20?

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@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

How does everyone feel about the 1.1 strategy ?

Do you agree with my comment about it works (to 1.2 at least) 8 times out of 10 ?

Any thoughts / improvements? Applause to @Nathan-Bennett and @matt-ayles who have driven this forward - think this could be a real go-to strategy if it isnt already.

I love this strategy. I'm very much up with this. My losses have come more often from straying away from this than it losing...

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I definitely think not being too greedy is important on the 1.1 strategy. I typically get out as soon as i can, but sometimes remove half liability at 1.2 if i think it'll go 1.4 etc.

Today however, laid at 1.14 between innings, exit at 1.31 (appreciate it went higher but i queued the 1.31 just in case i missed a brief peak in the odds).

Good start to new year though.

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@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@bruce-lum making plenty money

that catch rule sux

methinks there might be a rule change acoming.

Just seen it how was that given out