BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Feels like this game is 50/50. Pakistan look like they gave up long ago in the field. Doesn't instil much confidence in their batting.
I'm just going to watch from here. Have learned lots about market movement so appreciate the posts @Nathan-Bennett. I'm still very new to cricket trading past the easy LTD early in tests. Should help me take these other opportunities long term.
Fingers crossed for wickets from here!
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@Nathan-Bennett yep I bailed out of that lay far far far too soon at 2.1.
All that commentator chat about tired batters vs fresh bowlers got to me. You live and learn.
Looks like the draw has bottomed out. Might regret this but will wait a few overs into PAK innings, see if it comes in silly then will have a lay.
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PAK ENG
Gee looking back PAK 1.8’s while batting mental
Hopefully ENG can take wickets -
Seeing little i like in this one. Had a PAK lay in at 2.1 late yesterday for 20 mins and price did not move, so came out. 10 mins later with no change in rate, was 2.7. Everytime since the prices have moved as expected but liability too high.
Think il hold off until the draw gets silly short then maybe have a punt. ENG could bat until this time tomorrow then put PAK in. Guess it depends if Root, Brook and Smith can score really big though. But batting 5 sessions on this track to save still looks very realistic, even for PAK.
Would be far happier if ENG were chasing 350 in 50 overs for the win on day 5 though.
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PAK ENG
DRAW LAY 1.71 to go with initial LAY 2.34 -
Nar PAK going to blow hard closer ENG get
My minds on draw lay all day
Eyeing thoughts at worst case if ENG chase 350 with 50-60 overs left (hopefully a pak sporting declaration ha)
What price would the draw be then .., suspect not much diff to now if its lower LAUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUNNNNNNNNNNCH -
Guessing PAK price will only come in if they take early wickets? Pity, would really like to lay them from here.
Holding off anything at the moment.
Everything is telling me ENG bat long too. Seen little from the pitch, its not IND/ SL where you know it will crumble. Wickets have been errors/fatigue from the batters. Can PAK bowlers get more from it is the real question.
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PAK ENG
DRAW LAY @2.34 hooking in !!!! -
@Stephen-Hancox totally agree, long way. But for me, a small red now, can re-enter later, the price will still be there. Looking like the draw could get very low.
We see clusters of wickets all the time in tests so definitely a chance.
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@Nathan-Bennett yeh, I've watched the draw tumble in fast, taken a red on that for now. Small red for now much better than a huge one later. This looks similar to the 1st test vs BANG, nothing for the bowlers.
I do agree, given what has happened and the lack of penetration in the ENG attack too, a big PAK lay could be the play once they get a big score. I fancy ENG to get some runs, the concern was always their bowling.
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Got some Eng draw lays in at 5.8 and 4, will do same again if gets to 3. Waiting game, long way to go.
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@Fraser-cord Cant say i was to convinced in PAK bowling V Eng last time they toured there
Could easily be a PAK launch lay 1.70 areas -
@Nathan-Bennett not the most lively pitch. Expecting PAK to bat quite long but ENG already missed a couple of chances.
I'm in LTD at 4.2. Probably best to walk away for a few hours and just let things develop.
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PAK ENG
No vision yet me
How's the pitch looking
Draw could get real low especially if PAK wern't to take quick wickets first INNS -
Been a bit perplexed by the prices in PAK vs ENG, especially the draw. Got on below 5.0 before the start and scalped a little green. Waiting for it to go back below 5.0 (hopefully) then in again.
If PAK bat long and score big, ENG will go after it fast, either get close inside 100 overs or be all out miles away in less time. Hard to see the price not going well above at some point.
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Il be keeping an eye on SL W vs AUS W today. Was hoping AUS batted 1st, but if SL put up a decent total, could be a chance to Lay AUS as very low odds.
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Looking very unlikely, was expecting big things from SL but they are miles off so won't be touching this one now
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@Stephen-Hancox early forecast has patchy rain on days 1 and 2. Hopefully bring the price in nicely as England don't do draws!
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Quite a low draw price on the Pak v Eng test next week at 5.8. Worth keeping an eye on any early weather forecasts for early swings.
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IND BANG
Been great
Last stab small small lay IND 1.06
Greened up so much so good -
@Nathan-Bennett great shout. Gutted I've been out all morning, just got home and turned it on. Struggling to believe what I'm seeing.
Huge test for BAN to try and survive today.
