BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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NZ ENG weather also a watch as there are record breaking type storms sweeping across the north island
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@stuart-wallace-0 first game was SA v SL, i entered at 1.08 pre match (as SL were batting first), and exited at 1.13 (just queued that up and waited) - took some time that one as SL started very slowly but they ended up beating SA which is crazy given the pre match odds.
Second game was Eng, third was Aus, both detailed in my last post.
Liability each time, 2 points, profit 1 point.
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It is fascinating how everyone gets on with different things.
This womens world cup contains 23 matches and I've set myself a target of 20 points overall. More or less 1 point profit per match, with a small gap for the odd unforeseeable loss.
3 matches in so far, 3 points made.
If anyone is interested in what i traded I'm happy to break it down.
Lay Eng W pre match at 1.05 with 2 points liability (based on WI batting first likely to drift market) - exit at 1.08 for 1 point profit.
The Aus W match is exactly the same numbers, just i entered around the 14/15 over mark in the first innings.
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Worth keeping an eye on the weather in Bulawayo, where the second Test between Zimbabwe and West Indies is due to start at 8am tomorrow.
If the forecasts are to be believed, days 2,3,4 and 5 could be heavily affected by rain, so the draw price of under 1.5 is no great surprise. However, weather predictions are notoriously inaccurate in this part of the world, so if there's movement early on tomorrow a low-risk lay of the draw around 1.4 could be profitable.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Another test match loss. Fundamentally trading test matches poorly. All because i don't like laying at odds over 2.0 so i don't lay draws at 5 pre match and then when it drifts from session 1 like it did in this match i end up laying the team that completely dominate...
Last match i laid the draw at lovely low odds but the match ended up finishing a draw.
I do well with my trading on short formats but tests are supposed to be the big winners yet my overall record is in the red.
I'm still not consistent in shorted format. Feel like I need to wait for really short odds to get a few worthwhile ticks.
Work in progress
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Disappointingly one sided. Nothing for me days 2 or 3, glad I had a green day 1.
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I jumped in on higher odds to lay the draw and laid aus after 5 wickets down. Big liability but the draw was never happening after that first day.
I also laid India at 1.05 when aus lost 2 and that never came back. Wasn't a good choice, I 'knew' aus would struggle and 'hoped' a partnership would form at some point. More fool me on that one
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red me too nothing disastrous but yep re evaluate
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Another test match loss. Fundamentally trading test matches poorly. All because i don't like laying at odds over 2.0 so i don't lay draws at 5 pre match and then when it drifts from session 1 like it did in this match i end up laying the team that completely dominate...
Last match i laid the draw at lovely low odds but the match ended up finishing a draw.
I do well with my trading on short formats but tests are supposed to be the big winners yet my overall record is in the red.
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@matt-ayles not that bad
Jadeja freak twice umpire calls (love that dude tho)yeah im not asking for much in this market if goes in my favour
i will re lay IND if its same duo at crease SMITH and MARNUS for a swing
always worth doing -
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
IND AUS
Greens a better color than red
few more poles and aus 20-0 tmr be nice haStill in the red me... relaid at lower but my average odds are a lay of India at 1.25.
Could do with India drifting to 1.5 or 1.6 really although not sure what my chances are.
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I can’t see Warner lasting very long when Aus bat. Would be nice to see Ind rolled over now, I had feared that Ind would dominate and leave no real opportunities. Holding onto yesterday’s green at the moment and looking for an entry point.
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umpires call sick sh.it
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IND AUS
Greens a better color than red
few more poles and aus 20-0 tmr be nice ha -
RED book starting IND INNS
Have re entered
IND LAY 1.17
Will again if 1.10 rude not too -
Laid Aus at 5, would be nice to see Ind openers by there at close.
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Just fired in a IND LAY 1.44 … 1.6-1.7’s be nice if it’s with AUS batting still
Idea being aus worst case score IND odds be similar to entry
Assess if lands or end INNS
Ok suss haha need a handscombe 50
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I can see Ind piling on the runs when they bat. Looking for a lay of Aus if they go much under 3.
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Gonna try a lay of India at 1.5, looking for 2s to exit.
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WOW HOW GOOD IND START
ok small DRAW BACK 12.5
will bank it if gets back down to 8's
if not all good look for another market angle
BAILED ALL DRAW BACK spec bets
sitting back for a bit
taken green on draw back 12.5 - 8.6
look to lay draw if near 5's be outrageous surely
