BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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1 tick from locking the green in on India game when the wicket fell, but it only dropped 1.09 which is still 1 tick to the good so holding for now.
SA20, should be a very simple target but all the talk suggests this pitch has life in it for the bowlers and with PCs bowling lineup it might be fun. No entry yet, will see how they start and maybe enter if it gets near 1.1
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Expecting WI to be on par with ZIM score by close of day
Eye on a low lay of WI could provide a divi -
Let mine ride, think I will probably trade out at the end of the innings and look to ride the draw price back down when it rains.
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FLL UP ZIM WI lovely
suspect a lot of weather trading tmr onwards now
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@nathan-bennett lovely stuff.
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go on WI rip through em
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@matt-ayles ive taken 1/3rd stake out 1.72 see if keeps going well to stumps
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Yeah agree. Either the 1.8 lands or I'll be taking whatever green/red is offered at stumps.
Ballance being out helps us as he was the main problem for WI bowlers.
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Nice pre lunch collapse. Would be good to see Zim skittled before tea and get some value out of the game before the rains come.
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@matt-ayles probably eye double 1.8’s and back bet 75% to bank and monitor
Nice if happens early -
@nathan-bennett what's your exit target?
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ZIM WI
ZIM BATTING
Entered
DRAW LAY 1.42(Bonus 12 ticks ahead before a ball bowled)
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ENG IRE W monday
Just laid all the 1.04 ENG that was there to lay
see if can make four figures green here -
NZ ENG weather also a watch as there are record breaking type storms sweeping across the north island
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@stuart-wallace-0 first game was SA v SL, i entered at 1.08 pre match (as SL were batting first), and exited at 1.13 (just queued that up and waited) - took some time that one as SL started very slowly but they ended up beating SA which is crazy given the pre match odds.
Second game was Eng, third was Aus, both detailed in my last post.
Liability each time, 2 points, profit 1 point.
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It is fascinating how everyone gets on with different things.
This womens world cup contains 23 matches and I've set myself a target of 20 points overall. More or less 1 point profit per match, with a small gap for the odd unforeseeable loss.
3 matches in so far, 3 points made.
If anyone is interested in what i traded I'm happy to break it down.
Lay Eng W pre match at 1.05 with 2 points liability (based on WI batting first likely to drift market) - exit at 1.08 for 1 point profit.
The Aus W match is exactly the same numbers, just i entered around the 14/15 over mark in the first innings.
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Worth keeping an eye on the weather in Bulawayo, where the second Test between Zimbabwe and West Indies is due to start at 8am tomorrow.
If the forecasts are to be believed, days 2,3,4 and 5 could be heavily affected by rain, so the draw price of under 1.5 is no great surprise. However, weather predictions are notoriously inaccurate in this part of the world, so if there's movement early on tomorrow a low-risk lay of the draw around 1.4 could be profitable.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Another test match loss. Fundamentally trading test matches poorly. All because i don't like laying at odds over 2.0 so i don't lay draws at 5 pre match and then when it drifts from session 1 like it did in this match i end up laying the team that completely dominate...
Last match i laid the draw at lovely low odds but the match ended up finishing a draw.
I do well with my trading on short formats but tests are supposed to be the big winners yet my overall record is in the red.
I'm still not consistent in shorted format. Feel like I need to wait for really short odds to get a few worthwhile ticks.
Work in progress
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Disappointingly one sided. Nothing for me days 2 or 3, glad I had a green day 1.
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I jumped in on higher odds to lay the draw and laid aus after 5 wickets down. Big liability but the draw was never happening after that first day.
I also laid India at 1.05 when aus lost 2 and that never came back. Wasn't a good choice, I 'knew' aus would struggle and 'hoped' a partnership would form at some point. More fool me on that one
