BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Anyone sense ball doing a little bit
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Hi guys, I'm making my Ashes expedition over to the cricket thread!
Just out of curiosity, what makes the draw price move? It's gone from 5 down to 3.6, I understand potential for rain but England started pretty strong but the draw price continued to come in. Is it a lack of belief in our attack?
As I type this I see we've just lost another wicket
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ENG price not coming in at all really
Would love 1.7’s for a first INNS lay trade -
Backed ENG over 387 runs
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Australia playing quite defensively. If England bat sensibly here I can see the draw price coming in towards 3 later this morning.
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Boland time
Intrigued to see if batters advance -
@Richard-Futter England bowling attack is very fragile is the only problem for a full series, Anderson, Stokes, Woakes, Wood and Robinson all have ongoing quite serious injury problems, that leaves Broad at 36 as your only main fit pace bowler. To me the other seamers are knowhere near good enough at the minute AND the major issue is the form of the Old Guard is not giving the young 'uns any opportunity to improve. But I do agree and believe that all 5 Tests WILL produce a result as both teams are so aggressive and will go for the Win with declarations.
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Spewing no starc...Looking forward to seeing Lyon get belted
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England bat, so I'm thinking bazball, or quick wickets are likely to drift the draw price
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England win toss and bat. Sensible decision judging by the pitch, which looks perfect for batting. Appearances can often appear deceptive in these games so I'll be keenly watching the opening overs before making a move.
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@Matt-Ayles If there are no wickets early, the draw usually shortens fairly quickly, before a correction takes place. But with openers looking vulnerable there's a chance it might already be as low as it's going to go before any possible rain arrives on day three.
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although since posting this, it has shortened from 4.6 to 4.2
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BANG still batting kind of comical
hope it rains ha -
@Matt-Ayles my view would echo @Richard-Futter. I don't think either opening pair are up to much, so atleast short term drift is on the cards. It could come back if the middle order on either team gets in, but I see a draw being unlikely
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What are the thoughts around the opening draw price? I missed out on the Bangla one by not entering early enough...
Do we see it being shorter at lunch/tea or are wickets inevitable no matter who bats first and therefore commence layage now?
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@Richard-Futter love this write up !!! i can almost see stokes at the toss not giving a shyt what happens and def leaning towards chasing to win games
bring it on
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@Karl-Pick I'm not totally convinced Stokes will bat first if he wins the toss. He loves to do the unexpected and put the opposition in, and the Aussie openers look like wickets waiting to happen. Warner is Broad's bunny while Kawaja has a woeful record in England.
In the last Test here England reduced a top notch India batting line-up to 98-5 and if Australia bat first I will definitely be having a back of England to do early damage. That will be a short term trade though, as I'm not convinced that Robinson, Anderson and Stokes are entirely match fit, while the absence of Jack Leach means there's no Test class spinner to tie up an end if the Aussies do get into their stride.
In the longer term - and I'm in serious danger of turning into a stuck record (youngsters: ask your parents, or grandparents) - it'll be lay lay lay the draw. There has not been a draw here since 2012, when an incredible three whole days were lost to rain. That's not going to happen this time, with Sunday the only day that looks seriously under threat - although even then, it's likely to be a case of sunshine and occasional showers. That in itself gives some great trading opportunities.
With the pace of England's batting and the strength of the bowling units, only rain can prevent all five Tests producing positive results. I'm very surprised to see Australia even money favourites to win the series. They haven't won a series here in over 20 years and if I were to have a straightforward bet I'd be backing England to win the series 3-2 or 4-1.
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@Bruce-Lum think the toss in all games will be massive!! Both teams I think will Bat and go for a big 1st innings hoping the wickets Stokes has asked for get inconsistent bounce after days of quickies pounding them!
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@Jonathan-West i use xc Weather, mainly because i sail, and XCW gives me wind speeds.
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@Bruce-Lum instead of a reverse sweep, i am doing a reverse Mcgrath......5-0 to ENG.
Mcgrath and Jim Maxwell, the 2 biggest pundit plonkers on the planet.
