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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #1661

    Trent Bridge hosts the women's Test match between England and Australia, starting today, and for me it poses a number of interesting questions.

    Will there be a result? Normally I would say there's a very good chance of it being a draw. After all, England's last four Test matches have all ended in stalemates. But they've all been over four days, whereas this is the first women's Test over five days in 32 years, which makes it very difficult to predict.

    Even so, with rain possible today and on Sunday, I would say the current draw odds of around 4.7 are much too high. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see them trade much much lower than that at some stage of the match.

    The biggest difference between men's and women's cricket at this level is the speed of the bowling. Even the fastest women bowlers are 15 to 20 mph slower than the quickest of the men. And that makes it much more difficult to winkle out the last few remaining wickets if the side batting in the final innings decide to shut up shop.

    Are the Aussies too short at 1.7? I think they are. They're definitely favourites but odds on might be stretching it a bit. Inspirational skipper Meg Lanning is not on the tour and some of their stars are, I think, slightly past their peak; if England win the toss, bat first and post a decent total, I give them every chance of springing a surprise - especially if there's a bit of turn later in the game and the world's best spinner Sophie Ecclestone can work her magic.

    It's going to be fascinating encounter and on which I'm pretty certain will serve up some juicy trading opportunities. If I spot them, I'll be sure to highlight them here. Good luck to all!

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #1662

    AUS ENG W
    Intrigued as what you all say about the weather
    Wowee AUS 1.66 no thanks
    Toss then trade perhaps

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1663

    Got my LTD first tranche in on girls game tomorrow though thinking of immediately backing out due to weather.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1664

    Both games today my strategy was back the batting team if early wickets fell... which they did. Then i was able to exit at HT in the Ireland game and when Oman were 7-2 early in the chase. Ideal.

    Amazingly at one point i think Ireland touched 1.04 and went on to lose...

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to David Milligan on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #1665

    @David-Milligan and also if partnership hits 100 ish usually means trades going well and good idea take some risk back
    ok
    most red out now eyeing if my green looks around 70% of maximum to green up
    this healthy at mo
    and
    if scot come back into and they go back into 1.5 favs before the above , might just take that profit and run

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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Milligan
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #1666

    @Nathan-Bennett great stuff thanks mate

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to David Milligan on last edited by
    #1667

    @David-Milligan hows things .., just taken some liability back
    i'll be assessing trade in the 40's overs for next trade
    very likely if SCOT 1.9's remove all red

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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Milligan
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #1668

    @Nathan-Bennett what sort of exit price are you hoping for Nathan? Got in at 1.38

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #1669

    WCQualifier
    IRE SCOT
    LAY SCOT 1.4 till end closing overs this INNS

    Taken 1/4 liability back @1.65

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #1670

    Some partnership to win that by AUS

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1671

    Draw flying in, presumbly as @Richard-Futter says, due to light... officially 21 overs to go, or 1 hour but what's the light doing?

    When umps say no more pace that's a clear sign it's fading. Could be a swing somewhere but it would take a brave person to predict which way...

    If the draw goes odds on with England needing just 1 wicket I'd be tempted to have a lay but with 3 needed I'm sticking with my green as is!

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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    David Milligan
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by
    #1672

    @Richard-Futter great stuff, thanks again for all the advice!

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #1673

    A draw not out of the question here with the light beginning to go - just short term scalps from me for the rest of the match. Nice green for the First Test - up next the Women's Ashes Test match; could be lots of opportunities there.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    D 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1674

    @stuart-wallace-0 40 overs to go according to cricinfo, only 100 runs required. Should be easy at a run rate around 3... feel like England need wickets.

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #1675

    Lots of easy scalping the draw price this afternoon; it's jumping up and down nicely between overs.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1676

    Khawaja batting AUS into a bit of a hole - and putting pressure on his partner too.
    Draw now becomes more of a possibility even with no weather breaks because of how slow Khawaja is.
    Tempted to Green out .

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1677

    Travis Head showing a bit of weakness here with the short ball.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1678

    AUS going nowhere here.

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by
    #1679

    @Richard-Futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @stuart-wallace-0 They have to bowl 67 overs so there's no point trying to slow the game down. Couldn't see that happening anyway to be honest.

    Yeah, was thinking more along the lines of if there was another weather interruption (which seems unlikely now)

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #1680

    ENG LAY 2.1
    For a swing
    4’s be good
    Might lay more if market over reacts if Boland next out

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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