BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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I totally missed there was this series, cheers all for flagging it up
Currently in Belgium (a betfair is banned zone) but hopefully back in time for the start. If price currently around 3.0 for LTD, seems good but yeh draws here before. Il be laying there if I can get on at the start. Could drop quite a bit early on too.
I'm pretty sure last time WI played for the draw from day 2 here having been hammered by India in 1st test (and saved by rain). I reckon they will fancy this having played well in England, SA not played as a proper test team for a while now. Enough to suggest teams will be positive.
I agree @Stuart-Wallace, equivalent of 4 days play should at least give opportunity for draw to trade well above 3.0, maybe even a result fingers crossed
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@Stuart-Wallace yeah I saw the draw stats were quite high, which helps explain the low price, I've already taken out some liability at 3.25. I'm scalping/monitoring with the aim of trading out after clusters of wickets etc.
Another angle I'm looking at is the SA price, might be worth a small lay to trade, WI lost 3-0 here but they didn't look too bad, just messed up in decisive moments.
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@Stephen-Hancox Yes, my thoughts too.
From my experience of being in the Caribbean, it rains most afternoons for 30 mins max and then play is back 30 mins later - so with the extra play available, i think we should get at least the equiv of 4 days play in.
Ive taken a Lay position at 2.94.
Be aware that there have been 4 draws in last 7 matches at POS (with one weather affected) - however the 10 matches before that all provided results -
@Nathan-Bennett just looked on UK met office and BBC weather, they seem to think sunny with heavy showers most days. My feeling is there will be more play than not, I've taken a LTD at 3 to start with and monitor.
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WI SA
any port of Spain weather gurus -
@Nathan-Bennett It was a small window of opportunity wasn't it, glad you managed to profit from it.
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ENG WI
1.06 is low enough to lay however not to sure of the two at the crease at the moment
Weird but keener to lay when another wicket falls at shorter odds -
@Stephen-Hancox good call on the price WI to back .., i followed this got something out of it while was out cheers
Did make sense -
@Stephen-Hancox good start!
Correction - incredible start!!!
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I've put small stakes backing WI at 5. Eng 3 down already, my thinking is a couple of wickets before lunch and Eng would still be well behind and 5 down, so 5 seems a good price, I'll be monitoring closely to remove liability, England batting last so every chance it's a close test unless Eng dominate today
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I took a red on IRE vs ZIM, even at 5 down, expected IRE to push on. Took that last wicket stand to save quite a bit too. ZIM Price will only come in today unless IRE go through the top order fast.
Going to take a break for now, and be back for SRI series unless something clear pops up in ENG vs WI
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Looking at graphs WOW ENG as low as 1.05 far out
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ENG WI
Took green before bed on WI LAY @6.4 looks like good fight back with the ball by WI
Hopefully later days get some fast moving marketsIRE ZIM similar took some stakes back but didn't go to script well done ZIM fight back thought IRE bat would put on 325+
This test set up well forsure
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@Nathan-Bennett you got 3 !
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@Nathan-Bennett good shout. Should of followed as McKenzie is so fragile at 3 too.
Pity that WI are crumbling again, hopefully they fight back a little.
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ENG WI
WI LAY @6.4
Feeling a wicket -
I tried a back to lay on ENG vs WI, felt the draw was way too high.
But it's hardly moved inside 6 overs so just taken a very small green and moved on.
Going to lay ZIM for now also.
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IRE ZIM
think there's some value to lay ZIM @4.6
Taking stake back at 12's and monitor
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Really suprised market didn’t move faster towards double figures during main partnership
Now two down IRE market suspect stale around the fives for a while -
@Fraser-cord i got in at 4.7 , out at 22.
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IRE vs ZIM
Well none of today went to plan, hopefully someone got on a sub 3.0 draw lay. May lose a little play tomorrow afternoon and perhaps the same Sunday, probably not enough to bring a draw lay back in. But clearly it's an option if the price allows. Will need to see how IRE bat 1st.
Might try a draw back to lay to start tomorrow if the sun is out.
ENG vs WI
All prices currently way off, rain forecast on sat pm, might get a draw lay in later in the test. Probably only starting play would be an ENG lay if the price gets around 1.1 early on.
