BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Matt-Ayles what odds would you be looking for if England start well?
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I was just about to ask for thoughts on LTD as it was down around 5.4 but it’s now gone back to around 8.
I would imagine AUS will either be bowled out or declare before EOP. Will ENG play for the draw? Is it worth risking going 2-0 in the series
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@Matt-Ayles If they could take quick wickets England could certainly do it. Which is why I find it unbelievable they haven't taken the new ball. It's overcast and reasonably warm so you would expect some movement with a fresh pill. Almost looks like they're bowling for a draw, but I'm guessing they're banking on the Aussie batsmen running out of patience.
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@Richard-Futter so they're restricted to Head/Smith for spin options? Makes the chase a little more possible... but as we know, record chases don't happen often...
Is draw the best England can hope for?
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@Matt-Ayles Simple - no replacement allowed. Only applies in the case of concussion.
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What are the rules in regards a replacement for Lyon?
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What are the rules in regards a replacement for Lyon?
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This short ball stuff is dreadful. Umps really should do something about it. And why no new ball? Mike Brearley is in the stands. Perhaps he could come on to skipper for a couple of hours!
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Englands bowling attack just doesn't seem to be able to create chances... I've loved Jimmy his whole career but surely it's old peoples home time? Tongue has been the pick so far, so get him and Broad on.
And why not try a spinner? Give Root the ball!
Unfortunately, as entertaining as Bazball is, Australia are likely to embarrass us this series unless something changes.
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@Nathan-Bennett i totally missed the Windies match too. Such an easy lay spot but never mind. There may be a similar chance this evening with the Eng W... weathers good at Edgbaston.
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That’s my plan ish
hope ENG good start 40-60/0 stylesThen assess
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@Martin this for me may be the only remaining entry point beyond the green I've already locked in. If England start a chase of 400 or so with 60-0 they may come in to a very silly price, at which point a lay of England would be very attractive.
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Jimmy OMG
Smith OMG
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yeah, draw seems to be coming in a bit, OZ looking to be a bit more expansive.
Lead currently 260ish, so prob 300 by lunch, then 400 by tea - can see a poss declaration hour before EOP with 460/470 lead. -
ENG short ball stuff
Could be nothing more than containing runs
Sun out hardresult draw may come in
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Lets get some profits !!!
Continuing with my AUS 1.4 lay
LAY all draw green below 6 next plan ... ALL DRAW GREEN LAYED NOW 5.5
Then on the potential declaration watch and smash a back to lay ENG
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West Indies are so s**t
Didn’t lay the starting price
Next time be a don’t think just bet -
@stuart-wallace-0 Don't forget there will be extra playing hours over the final two days to make up for the time lost yesterday, so Australia will feel time is on their side. England's ageing spearhead looked very tired yesterday and, unless there are early wickets this morning, I can see the Aussies making runs at a steady pace today and possibly setting England a record breaking run chase at tea, or just afterwards. England will certainly go for it but they'll need Root to be at his resilient best - not showing the scattergun approach he displayed in the first innings - to have any realistic chance. England are fielding the longest tail I can remember; Broad coming in at six wickets down illustrates that perfectly.
Laying the draw at 7.2 already looks a gift, but if Australia start strongly today, there's a decent chance the price will get even shorter, even though in my estimation the true odds should be around 25/1.
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Have traded this game appallingly, and still showing a small red.
However, should still get a small green. - thats the beauty of trading Test Cricket.AUS currently 220 ahead, should be 400 at least by tea tomorrow, then put ENG in with hour to go with circa 500 lead.
Else ENG bowl well and keep it down to 400.
Either way, in my eyes, there will be a result. Obviously will be if ENG are chasing 400, but scenario could be that Cummins takes
defensive view because of Bazball and just bats ENG out of it, and doesnt declare til morning of day 5.
Draw price coming in mainly coz of rain, but 2 days of full sunshine now.
