BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Fraser-cord The forecast is unpredictable and changing all the time. An eventual draw could be a bigger threat than usual, therefore I've been backing and laying mostly between 5 and 6 to slowly build up green.
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So my expectation was England score fast, get over 400 and SRI face 40 overs today, clearly not now.
They said the bad weather was due Monday, forecast now looks like tomorrow could be that, maybe lose most of the day. But ENG have lots of time today to pick up wickets now
Il LTD if it gets around 5.0, potentially greening up at end of day if possible, then re-lay if significant time is lost tomorrow.
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@Stephen-Hancox wasn't sure how much further it might fall if no more play today so held off
Agree with your take and so far proving correct. I was thinking waiting until SRI bat, then have an idea of a target and time left (providing ENG dont get rolled today).
Might get below 4 again, only the weather stops a result for sure. -
and as if by magic, the sun has put his hat on and the draw price is above 5 without play starting yet
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It's always a gamble interpreting weather apps but I'm thinking 3-4 days play, and being England that's often enough to force a result. I'm laying the draw now at just over 4
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England match delayed by bad light at 1.30 in the afternoon. Or are they playing it in NZ or something?
Draw down to 4s already...Edit-OK, rain as well!
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ENG SRI
DRAW back to lay
Backed @9.6
Would green @7.0 or close to 25% green ROI
Or
Take a 25% loss
What ever happens first
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Greened @7.6
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PAK BANG
PAK at it again
Too easy -
@Tony-Hastie Nice one. I didn't hang on as didn't want to rely on the weather again.
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@Stephen-Hancox I missed the sunday morning window, thankfully theres a similar thing happening on a monday morning! PAK 81/6, draw close to 5. Its taken 4 days but finally seeing green
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Had average LTD odds of 2 for Bang v Pak in the test. Woke up this morning and Bang had collapsed to 50-6 and so I greened up with back odds of 2.8. If I'd woken up half an hour earlier I would have been able to back at 4. I'll let myself off for a Sunday morning
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ENG SRI
ENG LAY 1.07 ... 1.2's be nice one of the days -
PAK BANG
Yeah wow draw price surely two days washed out if its this price
When LAY 1.12 last test should of added in an extra mind thought of
AFTERALL IT IS PAKISTAN
got to have some thought rorts in back of mind and that these teams need to earn in more ways than one -
@Stephen-Hancox yeh I'm a bit puzzled it's so low. Yes the 1st test seemed certain for a draw and 5 day forecast almost identical at the same venue. So a wet start day 1 may bring handy bowling conditions early on.
May be worth waiting to lay as the price could come in further with a delayed start. BANG will be happy with a draw so hopefully PAK are aggressive
Will be keeping an eye on ENG vs SRI today too.
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My thoughts on Pakistan v Bangladesh: draw price is 1.9. Subcontinent pitch & rain on day 1 according to BBC weather. Weather looks good for remaining 4 days and Pakistan have their form issues as well as needing to win, so may gamble at some stage. Price feels a little low to me so perhaps with clusters of wickets the opportunity could be there to at least back higher during the test.
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@Nathan-Bennett been following when I can.
Some turnaround, I did say I expected a result, but clearly not like this. BANG have been brilliant.
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ENG SRI
ENG 1.38 taking stake back on the 1.21 lay days ago ha
Thought be dead on that
SRI going well
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Good earn here 1.62 ENG all green
Happy enough -
PAK BANG
DRAW LAY 1.12 .. Stake back at 1.3's if happens
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PAK 5/1 and market 1.25 good enough nice and early to take stake out and free roll the lay
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Loving this taking some 2.6 draw
Roll the rest
How good BANG -
PAK BANG
PAK LAY 1.69
See if can 2.3's
Would also lay again when BANG 3 or 4 down
There middle order can fight some and have earned me some divi's over the years
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There it is 2.3 at lunch I’ll take that -
ENG SRI
ENG LAY 1.21
Sorry two balls before pope wicket
Come on 1.60 areas be outstanding
Good start with ball here
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Holding onto this lay and loaded more on now the spin is on
